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Traffic Performance Indicators for Evacuation : The Case Study of the 2020 Silverado Wildfire

Janfeshanaraghi, Nima ; Rohaert, Arthur LU orcid ; Ronchi, Enrico LU orcid ; Bénichou, Noureddine and Kuligowski, Erica D. (2025) In Fire Technology 61(7). p.5815-5839
Abstract

This study aims to facilitate the study of traffic dynamics in wildfire evacuation scenarios. To do so, it defines a set of traffic performance indicators to investigate traffic dynamics before and during wildfire evacuation events. These indicators include the following: system efficiency, travel time ratio, level of service, and jam time. To highlight the benefits and effectiveness of using these indicators, we demonstrated their application through the context of the 2020 Silverado fire in California, USA. In total, 66,924 traffic data points from 18 locations were obtained through the publicly available dataset of the California Department of Transportation. Results indicate a 7.5 km/h speed reduction during evacuation compared to... (More)

This study aims to facilitate the study of traffic dynamics in wildfire evacuation scenarios. To do so, it defines a set of traffic performance indicators to investigate traffic dynamics before and during wildfire evacuation events. These indicators include the following: system efficiency, travel time ratio, level of service, and jam time. To highlight the benefits and effectiveness of using these indicators, we demonstrated their application through the context of the 2020 Silverado fire in California, USA. In total, 66,924 traffic data points from 18 locations were obtained through the publicly available dataset of the California Department of Transportation. Results indicate a 7.5 km/h speed reduction during evacuation compared to routine conditions. In addition, traffic performance indicators confirmed that evacuation conditions may increase the times needed to reach destinations. This paper also demonstrates the need for using dedicated relationships for wildfire evacuation for developing, calibrating, and validating traffic modeling tools.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Evacuation, Fire safety, Silverado fire, Traffic modelling, Wildfire, Wildland-urban interface
in
Fire Technology
volume
61
issue
7
pages
5815 - 5839
publisher
Springer
external identifiers
  • scopus:105017897001
ISSN
0015-2684
DOI
10.1007/s10694-025-01813-y
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
29f1d3f7-d0b6-43c9-afd0-d47e9f3f138e
date added to LUP
2025-12-05 11:32:52
date last changed
2025-12-19 16:16:50
@article{29f1d3f7-d0b6-43c9-afd0-d47e9f3f138e,
  abstract     = {{<p>This study aims to facilitate the study of traffic dynamics in wildfire evacuation scenarios. To do so, it defines a set of traffic performance indicators to investigate traffic dynamics before and during wildfire evacuation events. These indicators include the following: system efficiency, travel time ratio, level of service, and jam time. To highlight the benefits and effectiveness of using these indicators, we demonstrated their application through the context of the 2020 Silverado fire in California, USA. In total, 66,924 traffic data points from 18 locations were obtained through the publicly available dataset of the California Department of Transportation. Results indicate a 7.5 km/h speed reduction during evacuation compared to routine conditions. In addition, traffic performance indicators confirmed that evacuation conditions may increase the times needed to reach destinations. This paper also demonstrates the need for using dedicated relationships for wildfire evacuation for developing, calibrating, and validating traffic modeling tools.</p>}},
  author       = {{Janfeshanaraghi, Nima and Rohaert, Arthur and Ronchi, Enrico and Bénichou, Noureddine and Kuligowski, Erica D.}},
  issn         = {{0015-2684}},
  keywords     = {{Evacuation; Fire safety; Silverado fire; Traffic modelling; Wildfire; Wildland-urban interface}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{7}},
  pages        = {{5815--5839}},
  publisher    = {{Springer}},
  series       = {{Fire Technology}},
  title        = {{Traffic Performance Indicators for Evacuation : The Case Study of the 2020 Silverado Wildfire}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10694-025-01813-y}},
  doi          = {{10.1007/s10694-025-01813-y}},
  volume       = {{61}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}