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Improving commuter train punctuality using lead indicators

Kristoffersson, Ida and Palmqvist, Carl-William LU orcid (2021) 24th EURO Working Group on Transportation Meeting
Abstract
Train delays are often monitored using lag indicators of achieved punctuality levels, but indicators can also be used proactively as lead indicators to help reach a certain level of punctuality. In this paper, two lead indicators – the share of delayed dwell times and the share of delayed run times – are formulated and tested on Swedish commuter train data for the years 2001-2020. Results show that in general a larger share of dwell times are delayed compared to run times, and that the differences between metropolitan areas are substantial. Furthermore, results indicate that no more than 25 % of dwell times and 3 % of run times can be delayed if operations are to reach 95 % overall punctuality. Results also show that both dwell time and... (More)
Train delays are often monitored using lag indicators of achieved punctuality levels, but indicators can also be used proactively as lead indicators to help reach a certain level of punctuality. In this paper, two lead indicators – the share of delayed dwell times and the share of delayed run times – are formulated and tested on Swedish commuter train data for the years 2001-2020. Results show that in general a larger share of dwell times are delayed compared to run times, and that the differences between metropolitan areas are substantial. Furthermore, results indicate that no more than 25 % of dwell times and 3 % of run times can be delayed if operations are to reach 95 % overall punctuality. Results also show that both dwell time and run time delays have decreased substantially during 2020, at least partially due to the lower ridership during the pandemic. (Less)
Abstract (Swedish)
Train delays are often monitored using lag indicators of achieved punctuality levels, but indicators can also be used proactively as
lead indicators to help reach a certain level of punctuality. In this paper, two lead indicators – the share of delayed dwell times and
the share of delayed run times – are formulated and tested on Swedish commuter train data for the years 2001-2020. Results show
that in general a larger share of dwell times are delayed compared to run times, and that the differences between metropolitan areas
are substantial. Furthermore, results indicate that no more than 25 % of dwell times and 3 % of run times can be delayed if operations
are to reach 95 % overall punctuality. Results also show that... (More)
Train delays are often monitored using lag indicators of achieved punctuality levels, but indicators can also be used proactively as
lead indicators to help reach a certain level of punctuality. In this paper, two lead indicators – the share of delayed dwell times and
the share of delayed run times – are formulated and tested on Swedish commuter train data for the years 2001-2020. Results show
that in general a larger share of dwell times are delayed compared to run times, and that the differences between metropolitan areas
are substantial. Furthermore, results indicate that no more than 25 % of dwell times and 3 % of run times can be delayed if operations
are to reach 95 % overall punctuality. Results also show that both dwell time and run time delays have decreased substantially
during 2020, at least partially due to the lower ridership during the pandemic. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to conference
publication status
published
subject
pages
8 pages
conference name
24th EURO Working Group on Transportation Meeting
conference location
Aveiro, Portugal
conference dates
2021-09-08 - 2021-09-10
project
Nyckeltal för punktlighet för punktlighet på järnväg - del 2 (Nypunkt2.0)
language
Swedish
LU publication?
yes
id
2c3a6f50-a990-4845-b61d-4e3d5aa96d61
date added to LUP
2022-02-28 09:41:17
date last changed
2023-03-28 02:29:46
@misc{2c3a6f50-a990-4845-b61d-4e3d5aa96d61,
  abstract     = {{Train delays are often monitored using lag indicators of achieved punctuality levels, but indicators can also be used proactively as lead indicators to help reach a certain level of punctuality. In this paper, two lead indicators – the share of delayed dwell times and the share of delayed run times – are formulated and tested on Swedish commuter train data for the years 2001-2020. Results show that in general a larger share of dwell times are delayed compared to run times, and that the differences between metropolitan areas are substantial. Furthermore, results indicate that no more than 25 % of dwell times and 3 % of run times can be delayed if operations are to reach 95 % overall punctuality. Results also show that both dwell time and run time delays have decreased substantially during 2020, at least partially due to the lower ridership during the pandemic.}},
  author       = {{Kristoffersson, Ida and Palmqvist, Carl-William}},
  language     = {{swe}},
  month        = {{09}},
  title        = {{Improving commuter train punctuality using lead indicators}},
  url          = {{https://lup.lub.lu.se/search/files/114666072/EWGT2021_Paper4_Kristoffersson_Palmqvist_Camera_ready_paper.pdf}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}