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The Welfare State or the Economy? Preferences, Constituencies, and Strategies for retrenchment

Giger, Nathalie and Nelson, Moira LU (2013) In European Sociological Review 29(5). p.1083-1094
Abstract
The assumption that voters systematically defend the welfare state is challenged by recent research showing that parties are on average not punished and sometimes even rewarded for welfare state retrenchment. We work to understand better the micro-foundations for this finding of non-punishment by exploring individuals’ preferences over social policy. In particular, we distinguish general support for redistribution from views that existing levels of government spending strains the economy. Since voters value economic stability in addition to equality, they are hypothesized to tolerate or support retrenchment when they feel that there are economic costs at stake. Analyzing a sample of 13 European societies with data from the European Social... (More)
The assumption that voters systematically defend the welfare state is challenged by recent research showing that parties are on average not punished and sometimes even rewarded for welfare state retrenchment. We work to understand better the micro-foundations for this finding of non-punishment by exploring individuals’ preferences over social policy. In particular, we distinguish general support for redistribution from views that existing levels of government spending strains the economy. Since voters value economic stability in addition to equality, they are hypothesized to tolerate or support retrenchment when they feel that there are economic costs at stake. Analyzing a sample of 13 European societies with data from the European Social Survey Round 4, our results show that only welfare state supporters who do not believe that the welfare state hampers the economy punish retrenching governments. This finding helps explain the lack of more widespread electoral punishment following retrenchment, although other results suggest that retrenchment involves a rather delicate process of juggling the preferences of quite diverse constituencies. (Less)
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author
and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
European Sociological Review
volume
29
issue
5
pages
1083 - 1094
publisher
Oxford University Press
external identifiers
  • wos:000325764700016
  • scopus:84885902226
ISSN
0266-7215
DOI
10.1093/esr/jcs082
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
30886d76-5397-471a-930e-fd8785866d67 (old id 3102033)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 09:49:44
date last changed
2022-04-27 07:56:16
@article{30886d76-5397-471a-930e-fd8785866d67,
  abstract     = {{The assumption that voters systematically defend the welfare state is challenged by recent research showing that parties are on average not punished and sometimes even rewarded for welfare state retrenchment. We work to understand better the micro-foundations for this finding of non-punishment by exploring individuals’ preferences over social policy. In particular, we distinguish general support for redistribution from views that existing levels of government spending strains the economy. Since voters value economic stability in addition to equality, they are hypothesized to tolerate or support retrenchment when they feel that there are economic costs at stake. Analyzing a sample of 13 European societies with data from the European Social Survey Round 4, our results show that only welfare state supporters who do not believe that the welfare state hampers the economy punish retrenching governments. This finding helps explain the lack of more widespread electoral punishment following retrenchment, although other results suggest that retrenchment involves a rather delicate process of juggling the preferences of quite diverse constituencies.}},
  author       = {{Giger, Nathalie and Nelson, Moira}},
  issn         = {{0266-7215}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{5}},
  pages        = {{1083--1094}},
  publisher    = {{Oxford University Press}},
  series       = {{European Sociological Review}},
  title        = {{The Welfare State or the Economy? Preferences, Constituencies, and Strategies for retrenchment}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcs082}},
  doi          = {{10.1093/esr/jcs082}},
  volume       = {{29}},
  year         = {{2013}},
}