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Analyses of a 238-year long monthly precipitation time sequence by use of filtering techniques

Kawamura, A. ; Jinno, K. and Berndtsson, R. LU orcid (1993) In IAHS Publications 213. p.103-111
Abstract

This study aims at investigating the occurrence and characteristics of drought patterns by analyzing a 238-year long monthly precipitation time sequence observed at Lund in Sweden using an ordinary Kalman filter (OKF) and an adaptive Kalman filter (AKF). The OKF identifies the periods (in the time sequence) with anomalous precipitation by comparing the observed and average precipitation patterns. The AKF detects the changes of the long-term precipitation patterns in the time sequence. These changes are associated with the abrupt changes in the parameters of a periodic-stochastic model. The time sequence is divided into several precipitation epochs, where an epoch is uniquely represented by one set of parameter values. The precipitation... (More)

This study aims at investigating the occurrence and characteristics of drought patterns by analyzing a 238-year long monthly precipitation time sequence observed at Lund in Sweden using an ordinary Kalman filter (OKF) and an adaptive Kalman filter (AKF). The OKF identifies the periods (in the time sequence) with anomalous precipitation by comparing the observed and average precipitation patterns. The AKF detects the changes of the long-term precipitation patterns in the time sequence. These changes are associated with the abrupt changes in the parameters of a periodic-stochastic model. The time sequence is divided into several precipitation epochs, where an epoch is uniquely represented by one set of parameter values. The precipitation pattern in each epoch reveals whether the risk of drought occurrence is high or not in an epoch. -Authors

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; and
organization
publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
host publication
Extreme Hydrological Events: Precipitation, Floods and Droughts (Proceedings of the Yokohama Symposium, July 1993)
series title
IAHS Publications
volume
213
pages
9 pages
publisher
IAHS
external identifiers
  • scopus:85058870118
  • scopus:0027811394
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
30b056ff-6050-460f-83b9-34515b19bfe4
alternative location
https://iahs.info/uploads/dms/9345.103-111-213-Kawamura.pdf
date added to LUP
2023-08-17 15:05:02
date last changed
2024-01-05 04:45:20
@inproceedings{30b056ff-6050-460f-83b9-34515b19bfe4,
  abstract     = {{<p>This study aims at investigating the occurrence and characteristics of drought patterns by analyzing a 238-year long monthly precipitation time sequence observed at Lund in Sweden using an ordinary Kalman filter (OKF) and an adaptive Kalman filter (AKF). The OKF identifies the periods (in the time sequence) with anomalous precipitation by comparing the observed and average precipitation patterns. The AKF detects the changes of the long-term precipitation patterns in the time sequence. These changes are associated with the abrupt changes in the parameters of a periodic-stochastic model. The time sequence is divided into several precipitation epochs, where an epoch is uniquely represented by one set of parameter values. The precipitation pattern in each epoch reveals whether the risk of drought occurrence is high or not in an epoch. -Authors</p>}},
  author       = {{Kawamura, A. and Jinno, K. and Berndtsson, R.}},
  booktitle    = {{Extreme Hydrological Events: Precipitation, Floods and Droughts (Proceedings of the Yokohama Symposium, July 1993)}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{103--111}},
  publisher    = {{IAHS}},
  series       = {{IAHS Publications}},
  title        = {{Analyses of a 238-year long monthly precipitation time sequence by use of filtering techniques}},
  url          = {{https://iahs.info/uploads/dms/9345.103-111-213-Kawamura.pdf}},
  volume       = {{213}},
  year         = {{1993}},
}