Uncertainties in evacuation modelling: Current flaws and future improvements
Tavares, Machado and Ronchi, Enrico LU
(2015)
6th international symposium: Human Behaviour in Fire, 2015
p.185-196
- Abstract
- During the whole evacuation modelling process, there are uncertainties in every task. To date, scarce literature is available on the assessment of those uncertainties and evacuation model users generally do not present this information consistently (if omitted at all) in evacuation modelling studies. Considering the classification made in other modelling fields (e.g. fire modelling), uncertainties are distributed along three main steps of evacuation modelling, namely: 1) definition of the input, 2) the evacuation modelling per se, 3) the analysis of the output. This paper focuses on identifying and classifying the uncertainties in these three steps. This paper presents different solutions to address evacuation modelling uncertainties, such... (More)
- During the whole evacuation modelling process, there are uncertainties in every task. To date, scarce literature is available on the assessment of those uncertainties and evacuation model users generally do not present this information consistently (if omitted at all) in evacuation modelling studies. Considering the classification made in other modelling fields (e.g. fire modelling), uncertainties are distributed along three main steps of evacuation modelling, namely: 1) definition of the input, 2) the evacuation modelling per se, 3) the analysis of the output. This paper focuses on identifying and classifying the uncertainties in these three steps. This paper presents different solutions to address evacuation modelling uncertainties, such as the use of Design of Experiments (DoE) techniques and the use of functional analysis. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/8057112
- author
- Tavares, Machado
and Ronchi, Enrico
LU
- organization
- publishing date
- 2015
- type
- Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- Evacuation, modelling, Egress, uncertainty
- host publication
- [Host publication title missing]
- editor
- Boyce, Karen
- pages
- 185 - 196
- publisher
- Interscience Communications Ltd
- conference name
- 6th international symposium: Human Behaviour in Fire, 2015
- conference location
- Cambridge, United Kingdom
- conference dates
- 2015-09-28 - 2015-09-30
- ISBN
- 978-0-9933933-0-3
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 31ba4bef-5fde-4f7f-9b7a-392ec3fce885 (old id 8057112)
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-04 10:09:05
- date last changed
- 2021-02-09 10:15:19
@inproceedings{31ba4bef-5fde-4f7f-9b7a-392ec3fce885,
abstract = {{During the whole evacuation modelling process, there are uncertainties in every task. To date, scarce literature is available on the assessment of those uncertainties and evacuation model users generally do not present this information consistently (if omitted at all) in evacuation modelling studies. Considering the classification made in other modelling fields (e.g. fire modelling), uncertainties are distributed along three main steps of evacuation modelling, namely: 1) definition of the input, 2) the evacuation modelling per se, 3) the analysis of the output. This paper focuses on identifying and classifying the uncertainties in these three steps. This paper presents different solutions to address evacuation modelling uncertainties, such as the use of Design of Experiments (DoE) techniques and the use of functional analysis.}},
author = {{Tavares, Machado and Ronchi, Enrico}},
booktitle = {{[Host publication title missing]}},
editor = {{Boyce, Karen}},
isbn = {{978-0-9933933-0-3}},
keywords = {{Evacuation; modelling; Egress; uncertainty}},
language = {{eng}},
pages = {{185--196}},
publisher = {{Interscience Communications Ltd}},
title = {{Uncertainties in evacuation modelling: Current flaws and future improvements}},
year = {{2015}},
}