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Frailty in middle adulthood and associations with negative health-related outcomes in NHANES

Finamore, Panaiotis ; Pedone, Claudio ; Ekström, Magnus LU orcid ; Mannino, David M. ; Incalzi, Raffaele Antonelli and Scarlata, Simone (2026) In Aging clinical and experimental research 38(1).
Abstract

Background: Frailty represents a state of compromised ability to cope with environmental stressors and is associated with negative health-related outcomes in older adults. The study objective is to investigate the prevalence and whether frailty associates with negative health-related outcomes in middle-aged adults. Methods: Data were sourced from three 2-year cycles of NHANES surveys and combined with Public-use Linked Mortality Files. A frailty index incorporating thirty variables was developed according to recommended criteria. “Prefrail” individuals were defined with a frailty index value ranging from 0.08 to 0.25, while “Frail” ≥0.25. A 10-year survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan-Meier estimator, stratified by frailty... (More)

Background: Frailty represents a state of compromised ability to cope with environmental stressors and is associated with negative health-related outcomes in older adults. The study objective is to investigate the prevalence and whether frailty associates with negative health-related outcomes in middle-aged adults. Methods: Data were sourced from three 2-year cycles of NHANES surveys and combined with Public-use Linked Mortality Files. A frailty index incorporating thirty variables was developed according to recommended criteria. “Prefrail” individuals were defined with a frailty index value ranging from 0.08 to 0.25, while “Frail” ≥0.25. A 10-year survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan-Meier estimator, stratified by frailty state, and hazard ratios were calculated. Associations between frailty and outcomes were quantified using logistic regression models. Bootstrapped C-index and Brier score were calculated in the overall sample and stratified by decades of age. Results: In a sample of 5,745 middle-aged adults, 11% were identified as frail. Over a median follow-up of 5.9 years, 3% of participants died. The frailty index increased with age and its determinants differed across decades of age. Frail, middle aged, individuals faced a three-to-fourfold higher mortality risk, with a C-index of around 65%. Additionally, frailty was associated with a higher likelihood of hospitalization, increased health-care utilization, and changes in health status. Multimorbidity represented a confounder of frailty in the fourth decade, but not in the fifth. Conclusion: Frailty associates with negative health-related outcomes in middle-aged adults, emphasizing the importance of a comprehensive assessment. Multimorbidity only partially accounts for this association.

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author
; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Frailty, Frailty index, Middle aged, Mortality, Outcomes
in
Aging clinical and experimental research
volume
38
issue
1
article number
150
publisher
Kurtis
external identifiers
  • pmid:42001373
  • scopus:105041340266
ISSN
1594-0667
DOI
10.1007/s40520-026-03400-9
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
32e88a55-707a-4c58-81ef-97fc42d1249b
date added to LUP
2026-07-01 11:45:17
date last changed
2026-08-26 20:14:00
@article{32e88a55-707a-4c58-81ef-97fc42d1249b,
  abstract     = {{<p>Background: Frailty represents a state of compromised ability to cope with environmental stressors and is associated with negative health-related outcomes in older adults. The study objective is to investigate the prevalence and whether frailty associates with negative health-related outcomes in middle-aged adults. Methods: Data were sourced from three 2-year cycles of NHANES surveys and combined with Public-use Linked Mortality Files. A frailty index incorporating thirty variables was developed according to recommended criteria. “Prefrail” individuals were defined with a frailty index value ranging from 0.08 to 0.25, while “Frail” ≥0.25. A 10-year survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan-Meier estimator, stratified by frailty state, and hazard ratios were calculated. Associations between frailty and outcomes were quantified using logistic regression models. Bootstrapped C-index and Brier score were calculated in the overall sample and stratified by decades of age. Results: In a sample of 5,745 middle-aged adults, 11% were identified as frail. Over a median follow-up of 5.9 years, 3% of participants died. The frailty index increased with age and its determinants differed across decades of age. Frail, middle aged, individuals faced a three-to-fourfold higher mortality risk, with a C-index of around 65%. Additionally, frailty was associated with a higher likelihood of hospitalization, increased health-care utilization, and changes in health status. Multimorbidity represented a confounder of frailty in the fourth decade, but not in the fifth. Conclusion: Frailty associates with negative health-related outcomes in middle-aged adults, emphasizing the importance of a comprehensive assessment. Multimorbidity only partially accounts for this association.</p>}},
  author       = {{Finamore, Panaiotis and Pedone, Claudio and Ekström, Magnus and Mannino, David M. and Incalzi, Raffaele Antonelli and Scarlata, Simone}},
  issn         = {{1594-0667}},
  keywords     = {{Frailty; Frailty index; Middle aged; Mortality; Outcomes}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{1}},
  publisher    = {{Kurtis}},
  series       = {{Aging clinical and experimental research}},
  title        = {{Frailty in middle adulthood and associations with negative health-related outcomes in NHANES}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40520-026-03400-9}},
  doi          = {{10.1007/s40520-026-03400-9}},
  volume       = {{38}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}