The validation of evacuation simulation models through the analysis of behavioural uncertainty
Lovreglio, Ruggiero ; Ronchi, Enrico LU
and Borri, Dino
(2014)
In Reliability Engineering & System Safety
131.
p.166-174
- Abstract
- Both experimental and simulation data on fire evacuation are influenced by a component of uncertainty caused by the impact of the unexplained variance in human behaviour, namely behavioural uncertainty (BU). Evacuation model validation studies should include the study of this type of uncertainty during the comparison of experiments and simulation results. An evacuation model validation procedure is introduced in this paper to study the impact of BU. This methodology is presented through a case study for the comparison between repeated experimental data and simulation results produced by FDS+Evac, an evacuation model for the simulation of human behaviour in fire, which makes use of distribution laws.
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/4580930
- author
- Lovreglio, Ruggiero
; Ronchi, Enrico
LU
and Borri, Dino
- organization
- publishing date
- 2014
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- Evacuation modelling, Model validation, Behavioural uncertainty, Evacuation experiments, FDS+Evac
- in
- Reliability Engineering & System Safety
- volume
- 131
- pages
- 166 - 174
- publisher
- Elsevier
- external identifiers
-
- wos:000341466500016
- scopus:84904980891
- ISSN
- 0951-8320
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.ress.2014.07.007
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 34127cd6-8cee-4f2d-8524-3eb066570ef3 (old id 4580930)
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-01 14:05:23
- date last changed
- 2022-03-21 22:11:05
@article{34127cd6-8cee-4f2d-8524-3eb066570ef3,
abstract = {{Both experimental and simulation data on fire evacuation are influenced by a component of uncertainty caused by the impact of the unexplained variance in human behaviour, namely behavioural uncertainty (BU). Evacuation model validation studies should include the study of this type of uncertainty during the comparison of experiments and simulation results. An evacuation model validation procedure is introduced in this paper to study the impact of BU. This methodology is presented through a case study for the comparison between repeated experimental data and simulation results produced by FDS+Evac, an evacuation model for the simulation of human behaviour in fire, which makes use of distribution laws.}},
author = {{Lovreglio, Ruggiero and Ronchi, Enrico and Borri, Dino}},
issn = {{0951-8320}},
keywords = {{Evacuation modelling; Model validation; Behavioural uncertainty; Evacuation experiments; FDS+Evac}},
language = {{eng}},
pages = {{166--174}},
publisher = {{Elsevier}},
series = {{Reliability Engineering & System Safety}},
title = {{The validation of evacuation simulation models through the analysis of behavioural uncertainty}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2014.07.007}},
doi = {{10.1016/j.ress.2014.07.007}},
volume = {{131}},
year = {{2014}},
}