An exploratory analysis of the impact of climate change on Macedonian agriculture
(2015) International Conference of Agricultural Economists- Abstract
- Using a mixed input-output framework, this study examined potential changes in sector output and water requirements at national level in Macedonia arising from climate change. By defining three climate change scenarios and exogenously specifying the warming shocks for five key agricultural sub-sectors, the direct and indirect effects on the economy in terms of output and water demand were quantified. In general, the results indicated that except for cereals and grapes, agricultural production would benefit from the low climate change scenario, while there would be negligible effects on the rest of the economy. In contrast, the medium and high climate change scenarios would most likely negatively affect agriculture, with severe losses in... (More)
- Using a mixed input-output framework, this study examined potential changes in sector output and water requirements at national level in Macedonia arising from climate change. By defining three climate change scenarios and exogenously specifying the warming shocks for five key agricultural sub-sectors, the direct and indirect effects on the economy in terms of output and water demand were quantified. In general, the results indicated that except for cereals and grapes, agricultural production would benefit from the low climate change scenario, while there would be negligible effects on the rest of the economy. In contrast, the medium and high climate change scenarios would most likely negatively affect agriculture, with severe losses in grape, apple and cereal production, but again with low effects on other economic sectors. These results on the potential economic and physical impacts of climate change can help decision makers formulate future adaptation measures for the Macedonian agriculture sector. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/34a9e419-19d0-4287-9fc1-69de82dd0cdd
- author
- Hristov, Jordan LU
- organization
- publishing date
- 2015
- type
- Contribution to conference
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- agriculture, climate change, crop production, mixed input-output model, water consumption
- conference name
- International Conference of Agricultural Economists
- conference location
- Milan, Italy
- conference dates
- 2015-08-08 - 2015-08-15
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 34a9e419-19d0-4287-9fc1-69de82dd0cdd
- alternative location
- http://An exploratory analysis of the impact of climate change on Macedonian agriculture
- date added to LUP
- 2016-09-09 15:09:54
- date last changed
- 2018-11-21 21:25:47
@misc{34a9e419-19d0-4287-9fc1-69de82dd0cdd,
abstract = {{Using a mixed input-output framework, this study examined potential changes in sector output and water requirements at national level in Macedonia arising from climate change. By defining three climate change scenarios and exogenously specifying the warming shocks for five key agricultural sub-sectors, the direct and indirect effects on the economy in terms of output and water demand were quantified. In general, the results indicated that except for cereals and grapes, agricultural production would benefit from the low climate change scenario, while there would be negligible effects on the rest of the economy. In contrast, the medium and high climate change scenarios would most likely negatively affect agriculture, with severe losses in grape, apple and cereal production, but again with low effects on other economic sectors. These results on the potential economic and physical impacts of climate change can help decision makers formulate future adaptation measures for the Macedonian agriculture sector.}},
author = {{Hristov, Jordan}},
keywords = {{agriculture; climate change; crop production; mixed input-output model; water consumption}},
language = {{eng}},
title = {{An exploratory analysis of the impact of climate change on Macedonian agriculture}},
url = {{http://An exploratory analysis of the impact of climate change on Macedonian agriculture}},
year = {{2015}},
}