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Application of multiple spatial interpolation approaches to annual rainfall data in the Wadi Cheliff basin (north Algeria)

Achite, Mohammed ; Tsangaratos, Paraskevas ; Pellicone, Gaetano ; Mohammadi, Babak LU orcid and Caloiero, Tommaso (2024) In Ain Shams Engineering Journal 15(3).
Abstract

This study addresses a challenging problem of predicting mean annual precipitation across arid and semi-arid areas in northern Algeria, utilizing deterministic, geostatistical (GS), and machine learning (ML) models. Through the analysis of data spanning nearly five decades and encompassing 150 monitoring stations, the result of Random Forest showed the highest training performance, with R square value (of 0.9524) and the Root Mean Square Error (of 24.98). Elevation emerges as a critical factor, enhancing prediction accuracy in mountainous and complex terrains when used as an auxiliary variable. Cluster analysis further refines our understanding of station distribution and precipitation characteristics, identifying four distinct... (More)

This study addresses a challenging problem of predicting mean annual precipitation across arid and semi-arid areas in northern Algeria, utilizing deterministic, geostatistical (GS), and machine learning (ML) models. Through the analysis of data spanning nearly five decades and encompassing 150 monitoring stations, the result of Random Forest showed the highest training performance, with R square value (of 0.9524) and the Root Mean Square Error (of 24.98). Elevation emerges as a critical factor, enhancing prediction accuracy in mountainous and complex terrains when used as an auxiliary variable. Cluster analysis further refines our understanding of station distribution and precipitation characteristics, identifying four distinct clusters, each exhibiting unique precipitation patterns and elevation zones. This study helps for a better understanding of precipitation prediction, encouraging the integration of additional variables and the exploration of climate change impacts, thereby contributing to informed environmental management and adaptation strategies across diverse climatic and terrain scenarios.

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author
; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Spatial interpolation, Deterministic techniques, Geostatistical analysis, Machine learning, Rainfall
in
Ain Shams Engineering Journal
volume
15
issue
3
article number
102578
publisher
Ain Shams University
external identifiers
  • scopus:85178174011
ISSN
2090-4479
DOI
10.1016/j.asej.2023.102578
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 2023 Faculty of Engineering, Ain Shams University
id
37cdedb7-e0f9-48cd-bfdc-e32f36b0f374
date added to LUP
2024-01-08 14:44:48
date last changed
2024-01-24 10:53:37
@article{37cdedb7-e0f9-48cd-bfdc-e32f36b0f374,
  abstract     = {{<p>This study addresses a challenging problem of predicting mean annual precipitation across arid and semi-arid areas in northern Algeria, utilizing deterministic, geostatistical (GS), and machine learning (ML) models. Through the analysis of data spanning nearly five decades and encompassing 150 monitoring stations, the result of Random Forest showed the highest training performance, with R square value (of 0.9524) and the Root Mean Square Error (of 24.98). Elevation emerges as a critical factor, enhancing prediction accuracy in mountainous and complex terrains when used as an auxiliary variable. Cluster analysis further refines our understanding of station distribution and precipitation characteristics, identifying four distinct clusters, each exhibiting unique precipitation patterns and elevation zones. This study helps for a better understanding of precipitation prediction, encouraging the integration of additional variables and the exploration of climate change impacts, thereby contributing to informed environmental management and adaptation strategies across diverse climatic and terrain scenarios.</p>}},
  author       = {{Achite, Mohammed and Tsangaratos, Paraskevas and Pellicone, Gaetano and Mohammadi, Babak and Caloiero, Tommaso}},
  issn         = {{2090-4479}},
  keywords     = {{Spatial interpolation; Deterministic techniques; Geostatistical analysis; Machine learning; Rainfall}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{3}},
  publisher    = {{Ain Shams University}},
  series       = {{Ain Shams Engineering Journal}},
  title        = {{Application of multiple spatial interpolation approaches to annual rainfall data in the Wadi Cheliff basin (north Algeria)}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.asej.2023.102578}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.asej.2023.102578}},
  volume       = {{15}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}