The relevance of information and communication technologies for environmental sustainability - A prospective simulation study
(2006) In Environmental Modelling & Software 21(11). p.1618-1629- Abstract
- Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) have relevant positive and negative impacts on environmental sustainability on various levels: First-order effects such as increasing electronic waste streams; second-order effects such as improved energy-efficiency of production; third-order effects such as a product-to-service shift in consumption or rebound effects in transport. In the simulation study described in this article, all known relevant effects on all three levels were modeled using a System Dynamics approach in combination with scenario techniques and expert consultations. The prospective study for the European Union with a time-horizon until 2020 revealed great potential for ICT-supported energy management and for a... (More)
- Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) have relevant positive and negative impacts on environmental sustainability on various levels: First-order effects such as increasing electronic waste streams; second-order effects such as improved energy-efficiency of production; third-order effects such as a product-to-service shift in consumption or rebound effects in transport. In the simulation study described in this article, all known relevant effects on all three levels were modeled using a System Dynamics approach in combination with scenario techniques and expert consultations. The prospective study for the European Union with a time-horizon until 2020 revealed great potential for ICT-supported energy management and for a structural change towards a less material-intensive economy, but strong rebound effects in the transport sector whenever ICT applications lead to time or cost savings for transport. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/397472
- author
- Hilty, Lorenz A. ; Arnfalk, Peter LU ; Erdmann, Lorenz ; Goodman, James ; Lehmann, Martin and Waeger, Patrick A.
- organization
- publishing date
- 2006
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- structural change, system dynamics, and simulation, socio-economic modelling, information society, sustainable development, environmental impact, information technology, communication technology, material intensity, rebound effect, prospective technology assessment
- in
- Environmental Modelling & Software
- volume
- 21
- issue
- 11
- pages
- 1618 - 1629
- publisher
- Elsevier
- external identifiers
-
- wos:000239855700013
- scopus:33746634758
- ISSN
- 1364-8152
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.05.007
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- a7de864c-1753-46f3-a089-94884fc6ef2a (old id 397472)
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-01 12:36:59
- date last changed
- 2022-04-21 17:54:59
@article{a7de864c-1753-46f3-a089-94884fc6ef2a, abstract = {{Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) have relevant positive and negative impacts on environmental sustainability on various levels: First-order effects such as increasing electronic waste streams; second-order effects such as improved energy-efficiency of production; third-order effects such as a product-to-service shift in consumption or rebound effects in transport. In the simulation study described in this article, all known relevant effects on all three levels were modeled using a System Dynamics approach in combination with scenario techniques and expert consultations. The prospective study for the European Union with a time-horizon until 2020 revealed great potential for ICT-supported energy management and for a structural change towards a less material-intensive economy, but strong rebound effects in the transport sector whenever ICT applications lead to time or cost savings for transport. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.}}, author = {{Hilty, Lorenz A. and Arnfalk, Peter and Erdmann, Lorenz and Goodman, James and Lehmann, Martin and Waeger, Patrick A.}}, issn = {{1364-8152}}, keywords = {{structural change; system dynamics; and simulation; socio-economic modelling; information society; sustainable development; environmental impact; information technology; communication technology; material intensity; rebound effect; prospective technology assessment}}, language = {{eng}}, number = {{11}}, pages = {{1618--1629}}, publisher = {{Elsevier}}, series = {{Environmental Modelling & Software}}, title = {{The relevance of information and communication technologies for environmental sustainability - A prospective simulation study}}, url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.05.007}}, doi = {{10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.05.007}}, volume = {{21}}, year = {{2006}}, }