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The relevance of information and communication technologies for environmental sustainability - A prospective simulation study

Hilty, Lorenz A. ; Arnfalk, Peter LU ; Erdmann, Lorenz ; Goodman, James ; Lehmann, Martin and Waeger, Patrick A. (2006) In Environmental Modelling & Software 21(11). p.1618-1629
Abstract
Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) have relevant positive and negative impacts on environmental sustainability on various levels: First-order effects such as increasing electronic waste streams; second-order effects such as improved energy-efficiency of production; third-order effects such as a product-to-service shift in consumption or rebound effects in transport. In the simulation study described in this article, all known relevant effects on all three levels were modeled using a System Dynamics approach in combination with scenario techniques and expert consultations. The prospective study for the European Union with a time-horizon until 2020 revealed great potential for ICT-supported energy management and for a... (More)
Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) have relevant positive and negative impacts on environmental sustainability on various levels: First-order effects such as increasing electronic waste streams; second-order effects such as improved energy-efficiency of production; third-order effects such as a product-to-service shift in consumption or rebound effects in transport. In the simulation study described in this article, all known relevant effects on all three levels were modeled using a System Dynamics approach in combination with scenario techniques and expert consultations. The prospective study for the European Union with a time-horizon until 2020 revealed great potential for ICT-supported energy management and for a structural change towards a less material-intensive economy, but strong rebound effects in the transport sector whenever ICT applications lead to time or cost savings for transport. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. (Less)
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author
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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
structural change, system dynamics, and simulation, socio-economic modelling, information society, sustainable development, environmental impact, information technology, communication technology, material intensity, rebound effect, prospective technology assessment
in
Environmental Modelling & Software
volume
21
issue
11
pages
1618 - 1629
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • wos:000239855700013
  • scopus:33746634758
ISSN
1364-8152
DOI
10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.05.007
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
a7de864c-1753-46f3-a089-94884fc6ef2a (old id 397472)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 12:36:59
date last changed
2020-12-29 03:50:22
@article{a7de864c-1753-46f3-a089-94884fc6ef2a,
  abstract     = {Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) have relevant positive and negative impacts on environmental sustainability on various levels: First-order effects such as increasing electronic waste streams; second-order effects such as improved energy-efficiency of production; third-order effects such as a product-to-service shift in consumption or rebound effects in transport. In the simulation study described in this article, all known relevant effects on all three levels were modeled using a System Dynamics approach in combination with scenario techniques and expert consultations. The prospective study for the European Union with a time-horizon until 2020 revealed great potential for ICT-supported energy management and for a structural change towards a less material-intensive economy, but strong rebound effects in the transport sector whenever ICT applications lead to time or cost savings for transport. (c) 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.},
  author       = {Hilty, Lorenz A. and Arnfalk, Peter and Erdmann, Lorenz and Goodman, James and Lehmann, Martin and Waeger, Patrick A.},
  issn         = {1364-8152},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {11},
  pages        = {1618--1629},
  publisher    = {Elsevier},
  series       = {Environmental Modelling & Software},
  title        = {The relevance of information and communication technologies for environmental sustainability - A prospective simulation study},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.05.007},
  doi          = {10.1016/j.envsoft.2006.05.007},
  volume       = {21},
  year         = {2006},
}