Developmental cost theory predicts thermal environment and vulnerability to global warming
Marshall, Dustin J ; Pettersen, Amanda K LU
; Bode, Michael
and White, Craig R
(2020)
In Nature Ecology and Evolution
4(3).
p.406-411
- Abstract
Metazoans must develop from zygotes to feeding organisms. In doing so, developing offspring consume up to 60% of the energy provided by their parent. The cost of development depends on two rates: metabolic rate, which determines the rate that energy is used; and developmental rate, which determines the length of the developmental period. Both development and metabolism are highly temperature-dependent such that developmental costs should be sensitive to the local thermal environment. Here, we develop, parameterize and test developmental cost theory, a physiologically explicit theory that reveals that ectotherms have narrow thermal windows in which developmental costs are minimized (Topt). Our developmental cost theory-derived estimates... (More)
Metazoans must develop from zygotes to feeding organisms. In doing so, developing offspring consume up to 60% of the energy provided by their parent. The cost of development depends on two rates: metabolic rate, which determines the rate that energy is used; and developmental rate, which determines the length of the developmental period. Both development and metabolism are highly temperature-dependent such that developmental costs should be sensitive to the local thermal environment. Here, we develop, parameterize and test developmental cost theory, a physiologically explicit theory that reveals that ectotherms have narrow thermal windows in which developmental costs are minimized (Topt). Our developmental cost theory-derived estimates of Topt predict the natural thermal environment of 71 species across seven phyla remarkably well (R2 ~0.83). Developmental cost theory predicts that costs of development are much more sensitive to small changes in temperature than classic measures such as survival. Warming-driven changes to developmental costs are predicted to strongly affect population replenishment and developmental cost theory provides a mechanistic foundation for determining which species are most at risk. Developmental cost theory predicts that tropical aquatic species and most non-nesting terrestrial species are likely to incur the greatest increase in developmental costs from future warming.
(Less)
- author
- Marshall, Dustin J
; Pettersen, Amanda K
LU
; Bode, Michael
and White, Craig R
- organization
- publishing date
- 2020-03
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- in
- Nature Ecology and Evolution
- volume
- 4
- issue
- 3
- pages
- 6 pages
- publisher
- Nature Publishing Group
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85081007183
- pmid:32127682
- ISSN
- 2397-334X
- DOI
- 10.1038/s41559-020-1114-9
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 3f5bf428-f0fa-480d-a34a-e3c06f6ea32f
- date added to LUP
- 2020-03-06 08:40:51
- date last changed
- 2024-06-12 09:58:30
@article{3f5bf428-f0fa-480d-a34a-e3c06f6ea32f,
abstract = {{<p>Metazoans must develop from zygotes to feeding organisms. In doing so, developing offspring consume up to 60% of the energy provided by their parent. The cost of development depends on two rates: metabolic rate, which determines the rate that energy is used; and developmental rate, which determines the length of the developmental period. Both development and metabolism are highly temperature-dependent such that developmental costs should be sensitive to the local thermal environment. Here, we develop, parameterize and test developmental cost theory, a physiologically explicit theory that reveals that ectotherms have narrow thermal windows in which developmental costs are minimized (Topt). Our developmental cost theory-derived estimates of Topt predict the natural thermal environment of 71 species across seven phyla remarkably well (R2 ~0.83). Developmental cost theory predicts that costs of development are much more sensitive to small changes in temperature than classic measures such as survival. Warming-driven changes to developmental costs are predicted to strongly affect population replenishment and developmental cost theory provides a mechanistic foundation for determining which species are most at risk. Developmental cost theory predicts that tropical aquatic species and most non-nesting terrestrial species are likely to incur the greatest increase in developmental costs from future warming.</p>}},
author = {{Marshall, Dustin J and Pettersen, Amanda K and Bode, Michael and White, Craig R}},
issn = {{2397-334X}},
language = {{eng}},
number = {{3}},
pages = {{406--411}},
publisher = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
series = {{Nature Ecology and Evolution}},
title = {{Developmental cost theory predicts thermal environment and vulnerability to global warming}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-1114-9}},
doi = {{10.1038/s41559-020-1114-9}},
volume = {{4}},
year = {{2020}},
}