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Validating the Global Surgery Geographical Accessibility Indicator : Differences in Modeled Versus Patient-Reported Travel Times

Rudolfson, Niclas LU ; Gruendl, Magdalena ; Nkurunziza, Theoneste ; Kateera, Frederick ; Sonderman, Kristin ; Nihiwacu, Edison ; Ramadhan, Bahati ; Riviello, Robert and Hedt-Gauthier, Bethany (2020) In World Journal of Surgery 44(7). p.2123-2130
Abstract

Background: Since long travel times to reach health facilities are associated with worse outcomes, geographic accessibility is one of the six core global surgery indicators; this corresponds to the second of the “Three Delays Framework,” namely “delay in reaching a health facility.” Most attempts to estimate this indicator have been based on geographical information systems (GIS) algorithms. The aim of our study was to compare GIS derived estimates to self-reported travel times for patients traveling to a district hospital in rural Rwanda for emergency obstetric care. Methods: Our study includes 664 women who traveled to undergo a Cesarean delivery in Kirehe, Rwanda. We compared self-reported travel time from home to the hospital... (More)

Background: Since long travel times to reach health facilities are associated with worse outcomes, geographic accessibility is one of the six core global surgery indicators; this corresponds to the second of the “Three Delays Framework,” namely “delay in reaching a health facility.” Most attempts to estimate this indicator have been based on geographical information systems (GIS) algorithms. The aim of our study was to compare GIS derived estimates to self-reported travel times for patients traveling to a district hospital in rural Rwanda for emergency obstetric care. Methods: Our study includes 664 women who traveled to undergo a Cesarean delivery in Kirehe, Rwanda. We compared self-reported travel time from home to the hospital (excluding waiting time) with GIS estimated travel times, which were computed using the World Health Organization tool AccessMod, using linear regression. Results: The majority of patients used multiple modes of transportation (walking = 48.5%, public transport = 74.2%, private transport = 2.9%, and ambulance 70.6%). Self-reported times were longer than GIS estimates by a factor of 1.49 (95% CI 1.40–1.57). Concordance was higher when the GIS model took into account that all patients in Rwanda are referred via their health center (β = 1.12; 95% CI 1.05–1.18). Conclusions: To our knowledge, in this largest to date GIS validation study for geographical access to healthcare in low- and middle-income countries, a standard GIS model was found to significantly underestimate real travel time, which likely is in part because it does not model the actual route patients are travelling. Therefore, previous studies of 2-h access to surgery will need to be interpreted with caution, and future studies should take local travelling conditions into account.

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author
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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
World Journal of Surgery
volume
44
issue
7
pages
8 pages
publisher
Springer
external identifiers
  • scopus:85083423489
  • pmid:32274536
ISSN
0364-2313
DOI
10.1007/s00268-020-05480-8
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
418ef894-7973-4f24-ae51-73b6be29aa6a
date added to LUP
2020-05-08 14:20:37
date last changed
2024-06-13 15:59:03
@article{418ef894-7973-4f24-ae51-73b6be29aa6a,
  abstract     = {{<p>Background: Since long travel times to reach health facilities are associated with worse outcomes, geographic accessibility is one of the six core global surgery indicators; this corresponds to the second of the “Three Delays Framework,” namely “delay in reaching a health facility.” Most attempts to estimate this indicator have been based on geographical information systems (GIS) algorithms. The aim of our study was to compare GIS derived estimates to self-reported travel times for patients traveling to a district hospital in rural Rwanda for emergency obstetric care. Methods: Our study includes 664 women who traveled to undergo a Cesarean delivery in Kirehe, Rwanda. We compared self-reported travel time from home to the hospital (excluding waiting time) with GIS estimated travel times, which were computed using the World Health Organization tool AccessMod, using linear regression. Results: The majority of patients used multiple modes of transportation (walking = 48.5%, public transport = 74.2%, private transport = 2.9%, and ambulance 70.6%). Self-reported times were longer than GIS estimates by a factor of 1.49 (95% CI 1.40–1.57). Concordance was higher when the GIS model took into account that all patients in Rwanda are referred via their health center (β = 1.12; 95% CI 1.05–1.18). Conclusions: To our knowledge, in this largest to date GIS validation study for geographical access to healthcare in low- and middle-income countries, a standard GIS model was found to significantly underestimate real travel time, which likely is in part because it does not model the actual route patients are travelling. Therefore, previous studies of 2-h access to surgery will need to be interpreted with caution, and future studies should take local travelling conditions into account.</p>}},
  author       = {{Rudolfson, Niclas and Gruendl, Magdalena and Nkurunziza, Theoneste and Kateera, Frederick and Sonderman, Kristin and Nihiwacu, Edison and Ramadhan, Bahati and Riviello, Robert and Hedt-Gauthier, Bethany}},
  issn         = {{0364-2313}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{7}},
  pages        = {{2123--2130}},
  publisher    = {{Springer}},
  series       = {{World Journal of Surgery}},
  title        = {{Validating the Global Surgery Geographical Accessibility Indicator : Differences in Modeled Versus Patient-Reported Travel Times}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00268-020-05480-8}},
  doi          = {{10.1007/s00268-020-05480-8}},
  volume       = {{44}},
  year         = {{2020}},
}