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Global energy security under different climate policies, GDP growth rates and fossil resource availabilities

Cherp, Aleh LU ; Jewell, Jessica; Vinichenko, Vadim; Bauer, Nico and de Cian, Enrica (2013) In Climatic Change 121(1).
Abstract
Energy security is one of the main drivers of energy policies. Understanding energy security implications of long-term scenarios is crucial for informed policy making, especially with respect to transformations of energy systems required to stabilize climate change. This paper evaluates energy security under several global energy scenarios, modeled in the REMIND and WITCH integrated assessment models. The paper examines the effects of long-term climate policies on energy security under different assumptions about GDP growth and fossil fuel availability. It uses a systematic energy security assessment frame- work and a set of global and regional indicators for risks associated with energy trade and resilience associated with diversity of... (More)
Energy security is one of the main drivers of energy policies. Understanding energy security implications of long-term scenarios is crucial for informed policy making, especially with respect to transformations of energy systems required to stabilize climate change. This paper evaluates energy security under several global energy scenarios, modeled in the REMIND and WITCH integrated assessment models. The paper examines the effects of long-term climate policies on energy security under different assumptions about GDP growth and fossil fuel availability. It uses a systematic energy security assessment frame- work and a set of global and regional indicators for risks associated with energy trade and resilience associated with diversity of energy options. The analysis shows that climate policies significantly reduce the risks and increase the resilience of energy systems in the first half of the century. Climate policies also make energy supply, energy mix, and energy trade less dependent upon assumptions of fossil resource availability and GDP growth, and thus more predictable than in the baseline scenarios. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
energy security, decarbonization scenarios
in
Climatic Change
volume
121
issue
1
publisher
Springer
external identifiers
  • scopus:84886735948
  • wos:000375682100007
ISSN
0165-0009
DOI
10.1007/s10584-013-0950-x
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
5e517aa1-4e52-4b6b-9a1f-4135671b1f48 (old id 4195656)
alternative location
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-013-0950-x
date added to LUP
2013-12-16 14:28:07
date last changed
2018-11-11 03:08:19
@article{5e517aa1-4e52-4b6b-9a1f-4135671b1f48,
  abstract     = {Energy security is one of the main drivers of energy policies. Understanding energy security implications of long-term scenarios is crucial for informed policy making, especially with respect to transformations of energy systems required to stabilize climate change. This paper evaluates energy security under several global energy scenarios, modeled in the REMIND and WITCH integrated assessment models. The paper examines the effects of long-term climate policies on energy security under different assumptions about GDP growth and fossil fuel availability. It uses a systematic energy security assessment frame- work and a set of global and regional indicators for risks associated with energy trade and resilience associated with diversity of energy options. The analysis shows that climate policies significantly reduce the risks and increase the resilience of energy systems in the first half of the century. Climate policies also make energy supply, energy mix, and energy trade less dependent upon assumptions of fossil resource availability and GDP growth, and thus more predictable than in the baseline scenarios.},
  author       = {Cherp, Aleh and Jewell, Jessica and Vinichenko, Vadim and Bauer, Nico and de Cian, Enrica},
  issn         = {0165-0009},
  keyword      = {energy security,decarbonization scenarios},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {1},
  publisher    = {Springer},
  series       = {Climatic Change},
  title        = {Global energy security under different climate policies, GDP growth rates and fossil resource availabilities},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0950-x},
  volume       = {121},
  year         = {2013},
}