The Only Probability is Verbal Probability
(2014) In Metaphysica 15(1). p.69-84- Abstract
- In 1977 van Fraassen showed convincingly, and in detail, how one can
give a dissentive answer to the question “[a]re there necessities in nature?”. In
this paper, I follow his lead and show in a similar fashion and detail, how it is 5
possible to give a dissentive answer to: Are there probabilities in nature? This is
achieved by giving a partial analysis – with the aid of Kaplanian pragmatics – of
objective chance in terms of that credence that is reasonable where prevailing
laws and conditions exhaust one’s evidence. This template belongs firmly within
the established Bayesian program of analysing objective chance as ultimate 10
belief. Its contribution to that... (More) - In 1977 van Fraassen showed convincingly, and in detail, how one can
give a dissentive answer to the question “[a]re there necessities in nature?”. In
this paper, I follow his lead and show in a similar fashion and detail, how it is 5
possible to give a dissentive answer to: Are there probabilities in nature? This is
achieved by giving a partial analysis – with the aid of Kaplanian pragmatics – of
objective chance in terms of that credence that is reasonable where prevailing
laws and conditions exhaust one’s evidence. This template belongs firmly within
the established Bayesian program of analysing objective chance as ultimate 10
belief. Its contribution to that program is the same as van Fraassen’s contribution
to the empiricist program of analysing physical necessity; namely, it demonstrates the logical possibility of such an analysis. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/4228416
- author
- Masterton, George LU
- organization
- publishing date
- 2014
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- objective probability, physical necessity, van Fraassen, empiricism
- in
- Metaphysica
- volume
- 15
- issue
- 1
- pages
- 69 - 84
- publisher
- Springer
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:84898960970
- ISSN
- 1437-2053
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 010ba82a-6813-49a3-b8d5-8b5c2d79d7d0 (old id 4228416)
- date added to LUP
- 2016-04-01 10:35:08
- date last changed
- 2022-01-26 00:39:29
@article{010ba82a-6813-49a3-b8d5-8b5c2d79d7d0,
abstract = {{In 1977 van Fraassen showed convincingly, and in detail, how one can<br/><br>
give a dissentive answer to the question “[a]re there necessities in nature?”. In<br/><br>
this paper, I follow his lead and show in a similar fashion and detail, how it is 5<br/><br>
possible to give a dissentive answer to: Are there probabilities in nature? This is<br/><br>
achieved by giving a partial analysis – with the aid of Kaplanian pragmatics – of<br/><br>
objective chance in terms of that credence that is reasonable where prevailing<br/><br>
laws and conditions exhaust one’s evidence. This template belongs firmly within<br/><br>
the established Bayesian program of analysing objective chance as ultimate 10<br/><br>
belief. Its contribution to that program is the same as van Fraassen’s contribution<br/><br>
to the empiricist program of analysing physical necessity; namely, it demonstrates the logical possibility of such an analysis.}},
author = {{Masterton, George}},
issn = {{1437-2053}},
keywords = {{objective probability; physical necessity; van Fraassen; empiricism}},
language = {{eng}},
number = {{1}},
pages = {{69--84}},
publisher = {{Springer}},
series = {{Metaphysica}},
title = {{The Only Probability is Verbal Probability}},
volume = {{15}},
year = {{2014}},
}