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Amplitudes, rates, periodicities and causes of temperature variations in the past 2485 years and future trends over the central-eastern Tibetan Plateau

Liu, Y; Cai, Q; Song, H; An, Z and Linderholm, Hans (2011) In Chinese Science Bulletin 56(28-29). p.2986-2994
Abstract
Amplitudes, rates, periodicities, causes and future trends of temperature variations based on tree rings for the past 2485 years on the central-eastern Tibetan Plateau were analyzed. The results showed that extreme climatic events on the Plateau, such as the Medieval Warm Period, Little Ice Age and 20th Century Warming appeared synchronously with those in other places worldwide. The largest amplitude and rate of temperature change occurred during the Eastern Jin Event (343-425 AD), and not in the late 20th century. There were significant cycles of 1324 a, 800 a, 199 a, 110 a and 2-3 a in the 2485-year temperature series. The 1324 a, 800 a, 199 a and 110 a cycles are associated with solar activity, which greatly affects the Earth surface... (More)
Amplitudes, rates, periodicities, causes and future trends of temperature variations based on tree rings for the past 2485 years on the central-eastern Tibetan Plateau were analyzed. The results showed that extreme climatic events on the Plateau, such as the Medieval Warm Period, Little Ice Age and 20th Century Warming appeared synchronously with those in other places worldwide. The largest amplitude and rate of temperature change occurred during the Eastern Jin Event (343-425 AD), and not in the late 20th century. There were significant cycles of 1324 a, 800 a, 199 a, 110 a and 2-3 a in the 2485-year temperature series. The 1324 a, 800 a, 199 a and 110 a cycles are associated with solar activity, which greatly affects the Earth surface temperature. The long-term trends (>1000 a) of temperature were controlled by the millennium-scale cycle, and amplitudes were dominated by multi-century cycles. Moreover, cold intervals corresponded to sunspot minimums. The prediction indicated that the temperature will decrease in the future until to 2068 AD and then increase again. (Less)
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author
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
central-eastern Tibetan Plateau, temperature, amplitude, rate, periodicity, cause, future trend
in
Chinese Science Bulletin
volume
56
issue
28-29
pages
2986 - 2994
publisher
Science China Press
external identifiers
  • scopus:80053107104
ISSN
1001-6538
DOI
10.1007/s11434-011-4713-7
project
BECC
language
English
LU publication?
no
id
2cb76478-684d-46fa-b8a2-abe88d80f1f8 (old id 4448545)
date added to LUP
2014-05-23 12:11:16
date last changed
2017-07-30 04:16:45
@article{2cb76478-684d-46fa-b8a2-abe88d80f1f8,
  abstract     = {Amplitudes, rates, periodicities, causes and future trends of temperature variations based on tree rings for the past 2485 years on the central-eastern Tibetan Plateau were analyzed. The results showed that extreme climatic events on the Plateau, such as the Medieval Warm Period, Little Ice Age and 20th Century Warming appeared synchronously with those in other places worldwide. The largest amplitude and rate of temperature change occurred during the Eastern Jin Event (343-425 AD), and not in the late 20th century. There were significant cycles of 1324 a, 800 a, 199 a, 110 a and 2-3 a in the 2485-year temperature series. The 1324 a, 800 a, 199 a and 110 a cycles are associated with solar activity, which greatly affects the Earth surface temperature. The long-term trends (>1000 a) of temperature were controlled by the millennium-scale cycle, and amplitudes were dominated by multi-century cycles. Moreover, cold intervals corresponded to sunspot minimums. The prediction indicated that the temperature will decrease in the future until to 2068 AD and then increase again.},
  author       = {Liu, Y and Cai, Q and Song, H and An, Z and Linderholm, Hans},
  issn         = {1001-6538},
  keyword      = {central-eastern Tibetan Plateau,temperature,amplitude,rate,periodicity,cause,future trend},
  language     = {eng},
  number       = {28-29},
  pages        = {2986--2994},
  publisher    = {Science China Press},
  series       = {Chinese Science Bulletin},
  title        = {Amplitudes, rates, periodicities and causes of temperature variations in the past 2485 years and future trends over the central-eastern Tibetan Plateau},
  url          = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11434-011-4713-7},
  volume       = {56},
  year         = {2011},
}