COVID-19 epidemic in Libya
(2021) In Libyan Journal of Medicine 16(1).- Abstract
The first case of COVID-19 was identified in Libya on 24/3/2020, and about 2 months later, the number of reported COVID-19 cases started to increase notably. The outbreak was first prominent in the southern region (Sabha) and then spread to the western and eastern parts of Libya. By 24/12/2020, the reported total number of deaths from COVID-19 reached 1415. There seems to be no published data on the size of the epidemic in Libya. Here, we estimated the number of Libyans exposed to COVID-19 by using a COVID-19 mortality adjusted mathematical model for the spread of infectious diseases. We estimated that 14–20% of the Libyan population have been exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, the risk of spread of COVID-19 infections during the... (More)
The first case of COVID-19 was identified in Libya on 24/3/2020, and about 2 months later, the number of reported COVID-19 cases started to increase notably. The outbreak was first prominent in the southern region (Sabha) and then spread to the western and eastern parts of Libya. By 24/12/2020, the reported total number of deaths from COVID-19 reached 1415. There seems to be no published data on the size of the epidemic in Libya. Here, we estimated the number of Libyans exposed to COVID-19 by using a COVID-19 mortality adjusted mathematical model for the spread of infectious diseases. We estimated that 14–20% of the Libyan population have been exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, the risk of spread of COVID-19 infections during the coming months is high, and a considerable number of Libyans, particularly the elderly and people with chronic diseases, should be protected against COVID-19 infection. This is particularly urgent in the light of unofficial reports that the relevant healthcare facilities are under extreme stress.
(Less)
- author
- Bredan, Amin and Bakoush, Omran LU
- organization
- publishing date
- 2021
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- COVID-19, epidemic spread, Libya, modeling
- in
- Libyan Journal of Medicine
- volume
- 16
- issue
- 1
- article number
- 1871798
- publisher
- Univ Alfateh, Fac Med
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85099087411
- pmid:33407008
- ISSN
- 1993-2820
- DOI
- 10.1080/19932820.2021.1871798
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 58161836-b73e-407b-bb40-ccb712a60e08
- date added to LUP
- 2021-01-20 10:17:49
- date last changed
- 2024-04-18 00:38:17
@article{58161836-b73e-407b-bb40-ccb712a60e08,
abstract = {{<p>The first case of COVID-19 was identified in Libya on 24/3/2020, and about 2 months later, the number of reported COVID-19 cases started to increase notably. The outbreak was first prominent in the southern region (Sabha) and then spread to the western and eastern parts of Libya. By 24/12/2020, the reported total number of deaths from COVID-19 reached 1415. There seems to be no published data on the size of the epidemic in Libya. Here, we estimated the number of Libyans exposed to COVID-19 by using a COVID-19 mortality adjusted mathematical model for the spread of infectious diseases. We estimated that 14–20% of the Libyan population have been exposed to the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, the risk of spread of COVID-19 infections during the coming months is high, and a considerable number of Libyans, particularly the elderly and people with chronic diseases, should be protected against COVID-19 infection. This is particularly urgent in the light of unofficial reports that the relevant healthcare facilities are under extreme stress.</p>}},
author = {{Bredan, Amin and Bakoush, Omran}},
issn = {{1993-2820}},
keywords = {{COVID-19; epidemic spread; Libya; modeling}},
language = {{eng}},
number = {{1}},
publisher = {{Univ Alfateh, Fac Med}},
series = {{Libyan Journal of Medicine}},
title = {{COVID-19 epidemic in Libya}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19932820.2021.1871798}},
doi = {{10.1080/19932820.2021.1871798}},
volume = {{16}},
year = {{2021}},
}