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Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk Analysis - Characterisation and Methods of Treatment

Abrahamsson, Marcus LU (2002)
Abstract
The fundamental problems related to uncertainty in quantitative risk analyses, used in decision making

in safety-related issues (for instance, in land use planning and licensing procedures for hazardous

establishments and activities) are presented and discussed, together with the different types of

uncertainty that are introduced in the various stages of an analysis. A survey of methods for the practical treatment of uncertainty, with emphasis on the kind of information that is needed for the different methods, and the kind of results they produce, is also presented. Furthermore, a thorough discussion of the arguments for and against each of the methods is given, and of different levels of treatment based on the... (More)
The fundamental problems related to uncertainty in quantitative risk analyses, used in decision making

in safety-related issues (for instance, in land use planning and licensing procedures for hazardous

establishments and activities) are presented and discussed, together with the different types of

uncertainty that are introduced in the various stages of an analysis. A survey of methods for the practical treatment of uncertainty, with emphasis on the kind of information that is needed for the different methods, and the kind of results they produce, is also presented. Furthermore, a thorough discussion of the arguments for and against each of the methods is given, and of different levels of treatment based on the problem under consideration. Recommendations for future research and

standardisation efforts are proposed. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
supervisor
organization
publishing date
type
Thesis
publication status
published
subject
keywords
kvantitativ riskanalys, decision making, safety, quantitative risk analysis, uncertainty analysis, osäkerhetsanalys, säkerhet, beslutsfattande
pages
88 pages
publisher
Fire Safety Engineering and Systems Safety
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
031a0fba-05b2-414b-87af-ad35f180b570 (old id 642153)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 15:40:58
date last changed
2018-11-21 20:35:45
@misc{031a0fba-05b2-414b-87af-ad35f180b570,
  abstract     = {{The fundamental problems related to uncertainty in quantitative risk analyses, used in decision making<br/><br>
in safety-related issues (for instance, in land use planning and licensing procedures for hazardous<br/><br>
establishments and activities) are presented and discussed, together with the different types of<br/><br>
uncertainty that are introduced in the various stages of an analysis. A survey of methods for the practical treatment of uncertainty, with emphasis on the kind of information that is needed for the different methods, and the kind of results they produce, is also presented. Furthermore, a thorough discussion of the arguments for and against each of the methods is given, and of different levels of treatment based on the problem under consideration. Recommendations for future research and<br/><br>
standardisation efforts are proposed.}},
  author       = {{Abrahamsson, Marcus}},
  keywords     = {{kvantitativ riskanalys; decision making; safety; quantitative risk analysis; uncertainty analysis; osäkerhetsanalys; säkerhet; beslutsfattande}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Licentiate Thesis}},
  publisher    = {{Fire Safety Engineering and Systems Safety}},
  title        = {{Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk Analysis - Characterisation and Methods of Treatment}},
  url          = {{https://lup.lub.lu.se/search/files/4448408/642162.pdf}},
  year         = {{2002}},
}