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An objective approach to identifying individual atrial fibrillation triggers : A simulation study

Pluščiauskaitė, Vilma ; Butkuvienė, Monika ; Rapalis, Andrius ; Marozas, Vaidotas ; Sörnmo, Leif LU and Petrėnas, Andrius (2024) In Biomedical Signal Processing and Control 87.
Abstract

Background and Objective: Growing evidence shows that certain acute exposures, especially alcohol, may trigger episodes of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF). However, there is a lack of methods for assessing the relation between triggers and AF episodes in individual patients. The present paper proposes an approach to identifying AF triggers based on the assumption that the post-trigger AF burden is larger than the pre-trigger AF burden during the analysis time interval. Method: For the purpose of identification, a measure of relational strength between pre- and post-trigger burden is introduced, accounting for the cumulative effect of the triggers contained in the observation interval. The proposed approach is explored for different... (More)

Background and Objective: Growing evidence shows that certain acute exposures, especially alcohol, may trigger episodes of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF). However, there is a lack of methods for assessing the relation between triggers and AF episodes in individual patients. The present paper proposes an approach to identifying AF triggers based on the assumption that the post-trigger AF burden is larger than the pre-trigger AF burden during the analysis time interval. Method: For the purpose of identification, a measure of relational strength between pre- and post-trigger burden is introduced, accounting for the cumulative effect of the triggers contained in the observation interval. The proposed approach is explored for different types of AF episode pattern, generated using the alternating, bivariate Hawkes model, whose conditional intensity function is designed to account for the effect of alcohol. In total, 7200 different AF patterns were generated for different numbers of AF triggers and alcohol units. Results: The simulation study demonstrates that, depending on the pattern type, the relational strength increases 3–6 times with alcohol consumption in comparison with no consumption. Conclusions: The proposed approach to identifying triggers in individual patients with paroxysmal AF should facilitate the implementation of longitudinal studies for the objective assessment of trigger effect on AF occurrence.

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author
; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Alcohol, Arrhythmia, Atrial fibrillation episode pattern, Causality, Relation assessment, Simulation model
in
Biomedical Signal Processing and Control
volume
87
article number
105369
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:85169547462
ISSN
1746-8094
DOI
10.1016/j.bspc.2023.105369
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
64e6037b-f25c-40cc-a0f3-60ac9a70cad4
date added to LUP
2023-10-19 15:43:32
date last changed
2023-11-07 15:34:22
@article{64e6037b-f25c-40cc-a0f3-60ac9a70cad4,
  abstract     = {{<p>Background and Objective: Growing evidence shows that certain acute exposures, especially alcohol, may trigger episodes of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF). However, there is a lack of methods for assessing the relation between triggers and AF episodes in individual patients. The present paper proposes an approach to identifying AF triggers based on the assumption that the post-trigger AF burden is larger than the pre-trigger AF burden during the analysis time interval. Method: For the purpose of identification, a measure of relational strength between pre- and post-trigger burden is introduced, accounting for the cumulative effect of the triggers contained in the observation interval. The proposed approach is explored for different types of AF episode pattern, generated using the alternating, bivariate Hawkes model, whose conditional intensity function is designed to account for the effect of alcohol. In total, 7200 different AF patterns were generated for different numbers of AF triggers and alcohol units. Results: The simulation study demonstrates that, depending on the pattern type, the relational strength increases 3–6 times with alcohol consumption in comparison with no consumption. Conclusions: The proposed approach to identifying triggers in individual patients with paroxysmal AF should facilitate the implementation of longitudinal studies for the objective assessment of trigger effect on AF occurrence.</p>}},
  author       = {{Pluščiauskaitė, Vilma and Butkuvienė, Monika and Rapalis, Andrius and Marozas, Vaidotas and Sörnmo, Leif and Petrėnas, Andrius}},
  issn         = {{1746-8094}},
  keywords     = {{Alcohol; Arrhythmia; Atrial fibrillation episode pattern; Causality; Relation assessment; Simulation model}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Biomedical Signal Processing and Control}},
  title        = {{An objective approach to identifying individual atrial fibrillation triggers : A simulation study}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.bspc.2023.105369}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.bspc.2023.105369}},
  volume       = {{87}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}