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Assessment of terrorism risk mitigation measures for iconic bridges

Thöns, Sebastian LU and Stewart, Mark G. (2018) 9th International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management, IABMAS 2018 In Maintenance, Safety, Risk, Management and Life-Cycle Performance of Bridges - Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management, IABMAS 2018 p.2097-2104
Abstract

This paper describes the assessment of the cost efficiency of risk mitigation measures for terrorist attacks with Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) for an iconic bridge structure. The assessment is performed with a decision theoretical framework building upon very recent advances in the framework of the COST Action TU1402 on Quantifying the Value of Structural Heath Monitoring. The decision scenario is formulated for a decision maker constituting an authority responsible for the societal safety of the infrastructure and consequently the direct risks for the infrastructure owner and the indirect risk due to fatalities and importance of the infrastructure are considered. The mitigation strategies are classified within the decision... (More)

This paper describes the assessment of the cost efficiency of risk mitigation measures for terrorist attacks with Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) for an iconic bridge structure. The assessment is performed with a decision theoretical framework building upon very recent advances in the framework of the COST Action TU1402 on Quantifying the Value of Structural Heath Monitoring. The decision scenario is formulated for a decision maker constituting an authority responsible for the societal safety of the infrastructure and consequently the direct risks for the infrastructure owner and the indirect risk due to fatalities and importance of the infrastructure are considered. The mitigation strategies are classified within the decision theoretical context as protection measures, which may be implemented in the design phase of a bridge, and as control, i.e. information acquirement, strategies. The identification of efficient measures for risk mitigation is based on (1) the risk and expected cost based optimization of actions and information and their combination before implementation, (2) on quantifying and assuring significance in risk reduction and (3) on the quantification of the uncertainties associated to the implementation. These criteria ensure a transparent decision and the performance of the measures before strategy implementation. It is found that the decision is relying on the identification of the threat level and that control strategies may be in favor as their costs are adjustable. However, for very high threat levels, bridge protection strategies or protection strategies in combination with control strategies may be more cost efficient.

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author
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publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
host publication
Maintenance, Safety, Risk, Management and Life-Cycle Performance of Bridges - Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management, IABMAS 2018
series title
Maintenance, Safety, Risk, Management and Life-Cycle Performance of Bridges - Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management, IABMAS 2018
editor
Powers, Nigel ; Frangopol, Dan M. ; Al-Mahaidi, Riadh and Caprani, Colin
pages
8 pages
publisher
CRC Press/Balkema
conference name
9th International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management, IABMAS 2018
conference location
Melbourne, Australia
conference dates
2018-07-09 - 2018-07-13
external identifiers
  • scopus:85066978251
ISBN
9781138730458
language
English
LU publication?
no
id
65ceee39-40e2-4568-a3fb-cc64ac6756af
date added to LUP
2020-09-09 09:07:42
date last changed
2022-03-26 06:25:53
@inproceedings{65ceee39-40e2-4568-a3fb-cc64ac6756af,
  abstract     = {{<p>This paper describes the assessment of the cost efficiency of risk mitigation measures for terrorist attacks with Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) for an iconic bridge structure. The assessment is performed with a decision theoretical framework building upon very recent advances in the framework of the COST Action TU1402 on Quantifying the Value of Structural Heath Monitoring. The decision scenario is formulated for a decision maker constituting an authority responsible for the societal safety of the infrastructure and consequently the direct risks for the infrastructure owner and the indirect risk due to fatalities and importance of the infrastructure are considered. The mitigation strategies are classified within the decision theoretical context as protection measures, which may be implemented in the design phase of a bridge, and as control, i.e. information acquirement, strategies. The identification of efficient measures for risk mitigation is based on (1) the risk and expected cost based optimization of actions and information and their combination before implementation, (2) on quantifying and assuring significance in risk reduction and (3) on the quantification of the uncertainties associated to the implementation. These criteria ensure a transparent decision and the performance of the measures before strategy implementation. It is found that the decision is relying on the identification of the threat level and that control strategies may be in favor as their costs are adjustable. However, for very high threat levels, bridge protection strategies or protection strategies in combination with control strategies may be more cost efficient.</p>}},
  author       = {{Thöns, Sebastian and Stewart, Mark G.}},
  booktitle    = {{Maintenance, Safety, Risk, Management and Life-Cycle Performance of Bridges - Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management, IABMAS 2018}},
  editor       = {{Powers, Nigel and Frangopol, Dan M. and Al-Mahaidi, Riadh and Caprani, Colin}},
  isbn         = {{9781138730458}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{01}},
  pages        = {{2097--2104}},
  publisher    = {{CRC Press/Balkema}},
  series       = {{Maintenance, Safety, Risk, Management and Life-Cycle Performance of Bridges - Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management, IABMAS 2018}},
  title        = {{Assessment of terrorism risk mitigation measures for iconic bridges}},
  year         = {{2018}},
}