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How do people aggregate value? An experiment with relative importance of criteria and relative goodness of alternatives as inputs

Ahonen-Jonnarth, Ulla ; Andersson, Hanna LU orcid and Bökman, Fredrik (2022) In Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis 29(3-4). p.259-273
Abstract

The concept of importance of criteria is used as a central element in several decision making contexts, specifically in value aggregation, e.g. as an input to decision support tools. For example, in the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) decision makers are asked to estimate how much more important one criterion is than another. However, it is not clear how people understand aggregation models based on importance of criteria in decision making situations. The purpose of this descriptive study is to investigate if people find an aggregation model in simple value aggregation tasks which remind of the way AHP elicits the input. Further, the purpose is to investigate if people's tendency to find a model depends on their cognitive abilities.... (More)

The concept of importance of criteria is used as a central element in several decision making contexts, specifically in value aggregation, e.g. as an input to decision support tools. For example, in the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) decision makers are asked to estimate how much more important one criterion is than another. However, it is not clear how people understand aggregation models based on importance of criteria in decision making situations. The purpose of this descriptive study is to investigate if people find an aggregation model in simple value aggregation tasks which remind of the way AHP elicits the input. Further, the purpose is to investigate if people's tendency to find a model depends on their cognitive abilities. In an exploratory laboratory experiment, participants assessed which of two alternatives is the best, based on information about the importance of two criteria and how good the two alternatives are compared to each other with respect to these criteria. The results confirm that people are willing to use importance of criteria and goodness of alternatives as input in value aggregations and show three main models for aggregation. More participants with higher numeracy applied a clear model compared to those with lower numeracy. None of the identified models was one of AHP's models but one of them reminded of one of the ways input can be aggregated in the AHP. The three models identified in the experiment are based on lexicographic order, multiplication and a combination of multiplication and addition. How the results could be used in a prescriptive context is discussed in the paper.

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author
; and
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
multi-criteria aggregation, numeracy, weights of criteria, working memory capacity
in
Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
volume
29
issue
3-4
pages
15 pages
publisher
John Wiley & Sons Inc.
external identifiers
  • scopus:85119174967
ISSN
1057-9214
DOI
10.1002/mcda.1773
language
English
LU publication?
no
additional info
Funding Information: The authors want to thank Jan Odelstad for valuable discussions and comments. Further, the authors wish to thank two anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments. Publisher Copyright: © 2021 The Authors. Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
id
67d526ee-5339-4903-8bdb-d3958e62c383
date added to LUP
2023-12-05 17:04:31
date last changed
2025-04-04 15:23:16
@article{67d526ee-5339-4903-8bdb-d3958e62c383,
  abstract     = {{<p>The concept of importance of criteria is used as a central element in several decision making contexts, specifically in value aggregation, e.g. as an input to decision support tools. For example, in the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) decision makers are asked to estimate how much more important one criterion is than another. However, it is not clear how people understand aggregation models based on importance of criteria in decision making situations. The purpose of this descriptive study is to investigate if people find an aggregation model in simple value aggregation tasks which remind of the way AHP elicits the input. Further, the purpose is to investigate if people's tendency to find a model depends on their cognitive abilities. In an exploratory laboratory experiment, participants assessed which of two alternatives is the best, based on information about the importance of two criteria and how good the two alternatives are compared to each other with respect to these criteria. The results confirm that people are willing to use importance of criteria and goodness of alternatives as input in value aggregations and show three main models for aggregation. More participants with higher numeracy applied a clear model compared to those with lower numeracy. None of the identified models was one of AHP's models but one of them reminded of one of the ways input can be aggregated in the AHP. The three models identified in the experiment are based on lexicographic order, multiplication and a combination of multiplication and addition. How the results could be used in a prescriptive context is discussed in the paper.</p>}},
  author       = {{Ahonen-Jonnarth, Ulla and Andersson, Hanna and Bökman, Fredrik}},
  issn         = {{1057-9214}},
  keywords     = {{multi-criteria aggregation; numeracy; weights of criteria; working memory capacity}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{05}},
  number       = {{3-4}},
  pages        = {{259--273}},
  publisher    = {{John Wiley & Sons Inc.}},
  series       = {{Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis}},
  title        = {{How do people aggregate value? An experiment with relative importance of criteria and relative goodness of alternatives as inputs}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1773}},
  doi          = {{10.1002/mcda.1773}},
  volume       = {{29}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}