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Evolutionary polynomial regression approach to predict longitudinal dispersion coefficient in rivers

Balf, Mohammad Rezaie ; Noori, Roohollah LU ; Berndtsson, Ronny LU orcid ; Ghaemi, Alireza and Ghiasi, Behzad (2018) In Journal of Water Supply: Research and Technology - AQUA 67(5). p.447-457
Abstract

The fate of pollutants in rivers is mainly affected by the longitudinal dispersion coefficient (Kx). Thus, improved Kx estimation could greatly enhance the water quality management of rivers. In this regard, evolutionary polynomial regression (EPR) was used to accurately predict Kx in rivers as a function of flow depth, channel width, and average and shear velocities. The predicted Kx by EPR modelling was compared with results obtained by more conventional Kx estimation formulas. Initial data analyses using general linear models of variance revealed that all input variables were statistically significant for Kx estimation. The calibrated EPR model showed good performance... (More)

The fate of pollutants in rivers is mainly affected by the longitudinal dispersion coefficient (Kx). Thus, improved Kx estimation could greatly enhance the water quality management of rivers. In this regard, evolutionary polynomial regression (EPR) was used to accurately predict Kx in rivers as a function of flow depth, channel width, and average and shear velocities. The predicted Kx by EPR modelling was compared with results obtained by more conventional Kx estimation formulas. Initial data analyses using general linear models of variance revealed that all input variables were statistically significant for Kx estimation. The calibrated EPR model showed good performance with coefficient of determination and root mean square error of 0.82 and 79 m2/s, respectively. This is better that other more conventional estimation methods. Application of sensitivity analysis for the EPR model indicated that channel width, average velocity, shear velocity, and flow depth were the main variables in descending order that affected Kx variability. The introduced EPR estimation model for Kx can be incorporated in one-dimensional water quality models for improved simulation of solute concentration in natural rivers.

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author
; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Dispersion coefficient, Evolutionary polynomial regression, Pollution transport, Rivers, Sensitivity analysis
in
Journal of Water Supply: Research and Technology - AQUA
volume
67
issue
5
pages
11 pages
publisher
IWA Publishing
external identifiers
  • scopus:85053433014
ISSN
1606-9935
DOI
10.2166/aqua.2018.021
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
73ba6e7a-4e6b-44a1-baec-5707495a266e
date added to LUP
2018-10-17 15:43:47
date last changed
2023-09-08 09:05:14
@article{73ba6e7a-4e6b-44a1-baec-5707495a266e,
  abstract     = {{<p>The fate of pollutants in rivers is mainly affected by the longitudinal dispersion coefficient (K<sub>x</sub>). Thus, improved K<sub>x</sub> estimation could greatly enhance the water quality management of rivers. In this regard, evolutionary polynomial regression (EPR) was used to accurately predict K<sub>x</sub> in rivers as a function of flow depth, channel width, and average and shear velocities. The predicted K<sub>x</sub> by EPR modelling was compared with results obtained by more conventional K<sub>x</sub> estimation formulas. Initial data analyses using general linear models of variance revealed that all input variables were statistically significant for K<sub>x</sub> estimation. The calibrated EPR model showed good performance with coefficient of determination and root mean square error of 0.82 and 79 m<sup>2</sup>/s, respectively. This is better that other more conventional estimation methods. Application of sensitivity analysis for the EPR model indicated that channel width, average velocity, shear velocity, and flow depth were the main variables in descending order that affected K<sub>x</sub> variability. The introduced EPR estimation model for K<sub>x</sub> can be incorporated in one-dimensional water quality models for improved simulation of solute concentration in natural rivers.</p>}},
  author       = {{Balf, Mohammad Rezaie and Noori, Roohollah and Berndtsson, Ronny and Ghaemi, Alireza and Ghiasi, Behzad}},
  issn         = {{1606-9935}},
  keywords     = {{Dispersion coefficient; Evolutionary polynomial regression; Pollution transport; Rivers; Sensitivity analysis}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{5}},
  pages        = {{447--457}},
  publisher    = {{IWA Publishing}},
  series       = {{Journal of Water Supply: Research and Technology - AQUA}},
  title        = {{Evolutionary polynomial regression approach to predict longitudinal dispersion coefficient in rivers}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.2166/aqua.2018.021}},
  doi          = {{10.2166/aqua.2018.021}},
  volume       = {{67}},
  year         = {{2018}},
}