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Seven Decades of Aridity Transitions in China : Spatiotemporal Patterns and Contemporary Hydrological Responses

He, Jiasen ; Niu, Haishan ; Feng, Lei ; Li, Runkui ; Halefom, Afera ; He, Yan ; Song, Xianfeng and Duan, Zheng LU (2026) In Remote Sensing 18(5).
Abstract

Highlights: What are the main findings? A ~32-year aridity cycle is detected across China through Fourier spectrum analysis of 1950–2022 aridity data. An arid–humid climate divide is revealed by entropy-based climate stability indicators. Recent remote sensing data show a nationwide expansion of surface water bodies and localized groundwater recovery. What are the implications of the main findings? The identified ~32-year aridity cycle provides a basis for anticipating future dry–wet transitions and improving long-term climate adaptation planning in China. The contrasting response times of surface water and groundwater indicate that surface water responds rapidly to climatic wetting, whereas groundwater shows delayed and regionally... (More)

Highlights: What are the main findings? A ~32-year aridity cycle is detected across China through Fourier spectrum analysis of 1950–2022 aridity data. An arid–humid climate divide is revealed by entropy-based climate stability indicators. Recent remote sensing data show a nationwide expansion of surface water bodies and localized groundwater recovery. What are the implications of the main findings? The identified ~32-year aridity cycle provides a basis for anticipating future dry–wet transitions and improving long-term climate adaptation planning in China. The contrasting response times of surface water and groundwater indicate that surface water responds rapidly to climatic wetting, whereas groundwater shows delayed and regionally heterogeneous responses. Global warming profoundly affects hydrological processes and regional aridity. However, the shifts in the arid–humid transition zone and its relationship to divergent surface and subsurface hydrological responses remain not fully understood. This study investigates the spatiotemporal aridity changes in China using hydroclimate datasets (1950–2022) and examines associated hydrological responses via remote sensing (RS) since the early 2000s. The results reveal that: (1) a pronounced ~32-year oscillatory pattern governs both the expansion and contraction of drylands and non-drylands, with China currently in a wetting phase; (2) a distinct climatic transitional zone is identified, and a distinct boundary emerges separating drylands and non-drylands, here referred to as China’s Arid–Humid Divide, reflecting the climatic equilibrium shaped by multiple monsoon systems and local topography; and (3) the nationwide expansion of surface water bodies, following the increase of groundwater storage in partial areas, was detected via recent RS data. These findings provide new insights into the mechanisms driving long-term aridity transitions and support climate adaptation and sustainable land management in China.

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author
; ; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
aridity index, aridity zones, groundwater storage anomaly, Shannon entropy, surface water bodies
in
Remote Sensing
volume
18
issue
5
article number
749
publisher
MDPI AG
external identifiers
  • scopus:105032600929
ISSN
2072-4292
DOI
10.3390/rs18050749
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 2026 by the authors.
id
769ee15b-0b5e-4376-9cdd-4e5e73a1ceeb
date added to LUP
2026-05-04 15:34:38
date last changed
2026-05-05 08:35:46
@article{769ee15b-0b5e-4376-9cdd-4e5e73a1ceeb,
  abstract     = {{<p>Highlights: What are the main findings? A ~32-year aridity cycle is detected across China through Fourier spectrum analysis of 1950–2022 aridity data. An arid–humid climate divide is revealed by entropy-based climate stability indicators. Recent remote sensing data show a nationwide expansion of surface water bodies and localized groundwater recovery. What are the implications of the main findings? The identified ~32-year aridity cycle provides a basis for anticipating future dry–wet transitions and improving long-term climate adaptation planning in China. The contrasting response times of surface water and groundwater indicate that surface water responds rapidly to climatic wetting, whereas groundwater shows delayed and regionally heterogeneous responses. Global warming profoundly affects hydrological processes and regional aridity. However, the shifts in the arid–humid transition zone and its relationship to divergent surface and subsurface hydrological responses remain not fully understood. This study investigates the spatiotemporal aridity changes in China using hydroclimate datasets (1950–2022) and examines associated hydrological responses via remote sensing (RS) since the early 2000s. The results reveal that: (1) a pronounced ~32-year oscillatory pattern governs both the expansion and contraction of drylands and non-drylands, with China currently in a wetting phase; (2) a distinct climatic transitional zone is identified, and a distinct boundary emerges separating drylands and non-drylands, here referred to as China’s Arid–Humid Divide, reflecting the climatic equilibrium shaped by multiple monsoon systems and local topography; and (3) the nationwide expansion of surface water bodies, following the increase of groundwater storage in partial areas, was detected via recent RS data. These findings provide new insights into the mechanisms driving long-term aridity transitions and support climate adaptation and sustainable land management in China.</p>}},
  author       = {{He, Jiasen and Niu, Haishan and Feng, Lei and Li, Runkui and Halefom, Afera and He, Yan and Song, Xianfeng and Duan, Zheng}},
  issn         = {{2072-4292}},
  keywords     = {{aridity index; aridity zones; groundwater storage anomaly; Shannon entropy; surface water bodies}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{5}},
  publisher    = {{MDPI AG}},
  series       = {{Remote Sensing}},
  title        = {{Seven Decades of Aridity Transitions in China : Spatiotemporal Patterns and Contemporary Hydrological Responses}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/rs18050749}},
  doi          = {{10.3390/rs18050749}},
  volume       = {{18}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}