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Compensating affected parties necessary for rapid coal phase-out but expensive if extended to major emitters

Nacke, Lola ; Vinichenko, Vadim LU ; Cherp, Aleh LU ; Jakhmola, Avi and Jewell, Jessica (2024) In Nature Communications 15.
Abstract

Coal power phase-out is critical for climate mitigation, yet it harms workers, companies, and coal-dependent regions. We find that more than half of countries that pledge coal phase-out have "just transition" policies which compensate these actors. Compensation is larger in countries with more ambitious coal phase-out pledges and most commonly directed to national and regional governments or companies, with a small share going directly to workers. Globally, compensation amounts to over $200 billion (uncertainty 163-258), about half of which is funded through international schemes, mostly through Just Energy Transition Partnerships and the European Union Just Transition Fund. If similar transfers are extended to China and India to phase... (More)

Coal power phase-out is critical for climate mitigation, yet it harms workers, companies, and coal-dependent regions. We find that more than half of countries that pledge coal phase-out have "just transition" policies which compensate these actors. Compensation is larger in countries with more ambitious coal phase-out pledges and most commonly directed to national and regional governments or companies, with a small share going directly to workers. Globally, compensation amounts to over $200 billion (uncertainty 163-258), about half of which is funded through international schemes, mostly through Just Energy Transition Partnerships and the European Union Just Transition Fund. If similar transfers are extended to China and India to phase out coal in line with the Paris temperature targets, compensation flows could become larger than current international climate financing. Our findings highlight that the socio-political acceptance of coal phase-out has a tangible economic component which should be factored into assessing the feasibility of achieving climate targets.

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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Nature Communications
volume
15
article number
3742
publisher
Nature Publishing Group
external identifiers
  • scopus:85192249355
  • pmid:38714652
ISSN
2041-1723
DOI
10.1038/s41467-024-47667-w
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
7f336f39-64d1-4316-bd93-15ee53f228bb
date added to LUP
2024-05-11 15:04:57
date last changed
2024-06-09 06:45:31
@article{7f336f39-64d1-4316-bd93-15ee53f228bb,
  abstract     = {{<p>Coal power phase-out is critical for climate mitigation, yet it harms workers, companies, and coal-dependent regions. We find that more than half of countries that pledge coal phase-out have "just transition" policies which compensate these actors. Compensation is larger in countries with more ambitious coal phase-out pledges and most commonly directed to national and regional governments or companies, with a small share going directly to workers. Globally, compensation amounts to over $200 billion (uncertainty 163-258), about half of which is funded through international schemes, mostly through Just Energy Transition Partnerships and the European Union Just Transition Fund. If similar transfers are extended to China and India to phase out coal in line with the Paris temperature targets, compensation flows could become larger than current international climate financing. Our findings highlight that the socio-political acceptance of coal phase-out has a tangible economic component which should be factored into assessing the feasibility of achieving climate targets.</p>}},
  author       = {{Nacke, Lola and Vinichenko, Vadim and Cherp, Aleh and Jakhmola, Avi and Jewell, Jessica}},
  issn         = {{2041-1723}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{05}},
  publisher    = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
  series       = {{Nature Communications}},
  title        = {{Compensating affected parties necessary for rapid coal phase-out but expensive if extended to major emitters}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-47667-w}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s41467-024-47667-w}},
  volume       = {{15}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}