Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts
(2021) In Nature Ecology and Evolution 5(2). p.155-164- Abstract
Climate warming has caused the seasonal timing of many components of ecological food chains to advance. In the context of trophic interactions, the match–mismatch hypothesis postulates that differential shifts can lead to phenological asynchrony with negative impacts for consumers. However, at present there has been no consistent analysis of the links between temperature change, phenological asynchrony and individual-to-population-level impacts across taxa, trophic levels and biomes at a global scale. Here, we propose five criteria that all need to be met to demonstrate that temperature-mediated trophic asynchrony poses a growing risk to consumers. We conduct a literature review of 109 papers studying 129 taxa, and find that all five... (More)
Climate warming has caused the seasonal timing of many components of ecological food chains to advance. In the context of trophic interactions, the match–mismatch hypothesis postulates that differential shifts can lead to phenological asynchrony with negative impacts for consumers. However, at present there has been no consistent analysis of the links between temperature change, phenological asynchrony and individual-to-population-level impacts across taxa, trophic levels and biomes at a global scale. Here, we propose five criteria that all need to be met to demonstrate that temperature-mediated trophic asynchrony poses a growing risk to consumers. We conduct a literature review of 109 papers studying 129 taxa, and find that all five criteria are assessed for only two taxa, with the majority of taxa only having one or two criteria assessed. Crucially, nearly every study was conducted in Europe or North America, and most studies were on terrestrial secondary consumers. We thus lack a robust evidence base from which to draw general conclusions about the risk that climate-mediated trophic asynchrony may pose to populations worldwide.
(Less)
- author
- organization
- publishing date
- 2021-02
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- in
- Nature Ecology and Evolution
- volume
- 5
- issue
- 2
- pages
- 155 - 164
- publisher
- Nature Publishing Group
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85094629867
- scopus:85094629867
- pmid:33318690
- ISSN
- 2397-334X
- DOI
- 10.1038/s41559-020-01357-0
- project
- Pollinators and seasonal variation in floral resources
- Predicting the successful flowering time strategies of future climates using life history theory and molecular genetics
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 8644298a-2977-4c1f-ad28-f448345adb88
- date added to LUP
- 2021-04-22 22:46:17
- date last changed
- 2024-06-15 10:16:15
@article{8644298a-2977-4c1f-ad28-f448345adb88,
abstract = {{<p>Climate warming has caused the seasonal timing of many components of ecological food chains to advance. In the context of trophic interactions, the match–mismatch hypothesis postulates that differential shifts can lead to phenological asynchrony with negative impacts for consumers. However, at present there has been no consistent analysis of the links between temperature change, phenological asynchrony and individual-to-population-level impacts across taxa, trophic levels and biomes at a global scale. Here, we propose five criteria that all need to be met to demonstrate that temperature-mediated trophic asynchrony poses a growing risk to consumers. We conduct a literature review of 109 papers studying 129 taxa, and find that all five criteria are assessed for only two taxa, with the majority of taxa only having one or two criteria assessed. Crucially, nearly every study was conducted in Europe or North America, and most studies were on terrestrial secondary consumers. We thus lack a robust evidence base from which to draw general conclusions about the risk that climate-mediated trophic asynchrony may pose to populations worldwide.</p>}},
author = {{Samplonius, Jelmer M. and Atkinson, Angus and Hassall, Christopher and Keogan, Katharine and Thackeray, Stephen J. and Assmann, Jakob J. and Burgess, Malcolm D. and Johansson, Jacob and Macphie, Kirsty H. and Pearce-Higgins, James W. and Simmonds, Emily G. and Varpe, Øystein and Weir, Jamie C. and Childs, Dylan Z. and Cole, Ella F. and Daunt, Francis and Hart, Tom and Lewis, Owen T. and Pettorelli, Nathalie and Sheldon, Ben C. and Phillimore, Albert B.}},
issn = {{2397-334X}},
language = {{eng}},
number = {{2}},
pages = {{155--164}},
publisher = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
series = {{Nature Ecology and Evolution}},
title = {{Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41559-020-01357-0}},
doi = {{10.1038/s41559-020-01357-0}},
volume = {{5}},
year = {{2021}},
}