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Systematic review of Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer

Vickers, Andrew J. ; Savage, Caroline ; Frank O'Brien, M. and Lilja, Hans LU orcid (2009) In Journal of Clinical Oncology 27(3). p.398-403
Abstract

Purpose Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics (PSA velocity and PSA doubling time) are widely advocated as useful prognostic markers in prostate cancer. We aimed to assess the published evidence for the clinical utility of PSA dynamics in this population. Methods We conducted a systematic review of studies published before March 2007 in which a PSA dynamic (velocity or doubling time) was calculated in patients before definitive treatment, a subsequent event (such as biopsy or recurrence) was ascertained, and the association between the two was analyzed. Our principal end point was the type of analysis reported, particularly whether the predictive accuracy of a statistical model that included both absolute PSA level and a... (More)

Purpose Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics (PSA velocity and PSA doubling time) are widely advocated as useful prognostic markers in prostate cancer. We aimed to assess the published evidence for the clinical utility of PSA dynamics in this population. Methods We conducted a systematic review of studies published before March 2007 in which a PSA dynamic (velocity or doubling time) was calculated in patients before definitive treatment, a subsequent event (such as biopsy or recurrence) was ascertained, and the association between the two was analyzed. Our principal end point was the type of analysis reported, particularly whether the predictive accuracy of a statistical model that included both absolute PSA level and a PSA dynamic was compared with that of a model that included only PSA. Results Eighty-seven articles were eligible for analysis. The most common end points were biopsy (42 articles), and either recurrence (14 articles) or metastases or death (14 articles) after definitive therapy. Although PSA dynamics were generally found to be associated with outcome, only one article compared predictive accuracy of models with and without a PSA dynamic: this reported that PSA velocity improved prediction slightly (from 0.81 to 0.83), but was subject to verification bias. No article used decision analytic methods to examine the clinical impact of PSA dynamics. Conclusion There is little evidence that calculation of PSA velocity or doubling time in untreated patients provides predictive information beyond that provided by absolute PSA level alone. We see no justification for the use of PSA dynamics in clinical decision making before treatment in early-stage prostate cancer.

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author
; ; and
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
in
Journal of Clinical Oncology
volume
27
issue
3
pages
398 - 403
publisher
American Society of Clinical Oncology
external identifiers
  • pmid:19064972
  • scopus:58549106592
ISSN
0732-183X
DOI
10.1200/JCO.2008.18.1685
language
English
LU publication?
no
id
870ad337-711c-4e38-84a8-c319734e249b
date added to LUP
2022-12-08 12:34:35
date last changed
2024-04-03 10:16:02
@article{870ad337-711c-4e38-84a8-c319734e249b,
  abstract     = {{<p>Purpose Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen (PSA) dynamics (PSA velocity and PSA doubling time) are widely advocated as useful prognostic markers in prostate cancer. We aimed to assess the published evidence for the clinical utility of PSA dynamics in this population. Methods We conducted a systematic review of studies published before March 2007 in which a PSA dynamic (velocity or doubling time) was calculated in patients before definitive treatment, a subsequent event (such as biopsy or recurrence) was ascertained, and the association between the two was analyzed. Our principal end point was the type of analysis reported, particularly whether the predictive accuracy of a statistical model that included both absolute PSA level and a PSA dynamic was compared with that of a model that included only PSA. Results Eighty-seven articles were eligible for analysis. The most common end points were biopsy (42 articles), and either recurrence (14 articles) or metastases or death (14 articles) after definitive therapy. Although PSA dynamics were generally found to be associated with outcome, only one article compared predictive accuracy of models with and without a PSA dynamic: this reported that PSA velocity improved prediction slightly (from 0.81 to 0.83), but was subject to verification bias. No article used decision analytic methods to examine the clinical impact of PSA dynamics. Conclusion There is little evidence that calculation of PSA velocity or doubling time in untreated patients provides predictive information beyond that provided by absolute PSA level alone. We see no justification for the use of PSA dynamics in clinical decision making before treatment in early-stage prostate cancer.</p>}},
  author       = {{Vickers, Andrew J. and Savage, Caroline and Frank O'Brien, M. and Lilja, Hans}},
  issn         = {{0732-183X}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{01}},
  number       = {{3}},
  pages        = {{398--403}},
  publisher    = {{American Society of Clinical Oncology}},
  series       = {{Journal of Clinical Oncology}},
  title        = {{Systematic review of Pretreatment prostate-specific antigen velocity and doubling time as predictors for prostate cancer}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1200/JCO.2008.18.1685}},
  doi          = {{10.1200/JCO.2008.18.1685}},
  volume       = {{27}},
  year         = {{2009}},
}