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Risk assessment for comprehensive meteorological disaster of winter wheat based on multisource gridded data : A case study in the upper Huaihe River basin, China

Zhao, Mingjie ; Shi, Xiaofang ; Sun, Xiaolin ; Jin, Ke ; Duan, Zheng LU and Gao, Chao (2022) In International Journal of Climatology 42(16). p.9595-9611
Abstract

Crop production security is an essential guarantee for the prosperity of country and the well-being of people. In the context of frequent occurrence of extreme weather events, how to comprehensively evaluate the risk of multiple hazards and quantitatively describe spatial differences will be one of the significant topics in agricultural disaster mitigation. In this study, based on the gridded meteorological data and other datasets (crop, socioeconomic, disaster loss, and actual planting location) from 2000 to 2020, multihazard risk model for different growth period was built to assess the comprehensive risk of winter wheat in the upper Huaihe River basin (UHRB), China. The conclusions were as follows: (a) The spatial distribution of... (More)

Crop production security is an essential guarantee for the prosperity of country and the well-being of people. In the context of frequent occurrence of extreme weather events, how to comprehensively evaluate the risk of multiple hazards and quantitatively describe spatial differences will be one of the significant topics in agricultural disaster mitigation. In this study, based on the gridded meteorological data and other datasets (crop, socioeconomic, disaster loss, and actual planting location) from 2000 to 2020, multihazard risk model for different growth period was built to assess the comprehensive risk of winter wheat in the upper Huaihe River basin (UHRB), China. The conclusions were as follows: (a) The spatial distribution of continuous rain risk increased gradually from north to south; the area of the highest lodging risk was located in the east; the spatial trend of drought risk was the highest in the south and the lowest in the northeast. (b) The weights of continuous rain, lodging, and drought disasters were 41, 31, and 28%, respectively, which indicated that winter wheat in UHRB was most affected by continuous rain during the harvest period. (c) The spatial distribution of comprehensive disaster risk assessment showed that the higher risk areas were located in the central and southern parts (Huaibin, Linquan, Luoshan). After verification by historical disasters information, the results are credible, providing a concrete scientific basis for implementing regional agricultural disaster response measures.

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author
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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
meteorological disaster, multihazard, risk assessment, the upper Huaihe River basin, winter wheat
in
International Journal of Climatology
volume
42
issue
16
pages
9595 - 9611
publisher
John Wiley & Sons Inc.
external identifiers
  • scopus:85138258822
ISSN
0899-8418
DOI
10.1002/joc.7849
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
89798314-65cb-444d-baef-93733374b0f9
date added to LUP
2022-12-05 11:38:29
date last changed
2023-01-16 10:15:07
@article{89798314-65cb-444d-baef-93733374b0f9,
  abstract     = {{<p>Crop production security is an essential guarantee for the prosperity of country and the well-being of people. In the context of frequent occurrence of extreme weather events, how to comprehensively evaluate the risk of multiple hazards and quantitatively describe spatial differences will be one of the significant topics in agricultural disaster mitigation. In this study, based on the gridded meteorological data and other datasets (crop, socioeconomic, disaster loss, and actual planting location) from 2000 to 2020, multihazard risk model for different growth period was built to assess the comprehensive risk of winter wheat in the upper Huaihe River basin (UHRB), China. The conclusions were as follows: (a) The spatial distribution of continuous rain risk increased gradually from north to south; the area of the highest lodging risk was located in the east; the spatial trend of drought risk was the highest in the south and the lowest in the northeast. (b) The weights of continuous rain, lodging, and drought disasters were 41, 31, and 28%, respectively, which indicated that winter wheat in UHRB was most affected by continuous rain during the harvest period. (c) The spatial distribution of comprehensive disaster risk assessment showed that the higher risk areas were located in the central and southern parts (Huaibin, Linquan, Luoshan). After verification by historical disasters information, the results are credible, providing a concrete scientific basis for implementing regional agricultural disaster response measures.</p>}},
  author       = {{Zhao, Mingjie and Shi, Xiaofang and Sun, Xiaolin and Jin, Ke and Duan, Zheng and Gao, Chao}},
  issn         = {{0899-8418}},
  keywords     = {{meteorological disaster; multihazard; risk assessment; the upper Huaihe River basin; winter wheat}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{16}},
  pages        = {{9595--9611}},
  publisher    = {{John Wiley & Sons Inc.}},
  series       = {{International Journal of Climatology}},
  title        = {{Risk assessment for comprehensive meteorological disaster of winter wheat based on multisource gridded data : A case study in the upper Huaihe River basin, China}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.7849}},
  doi          = {{10.1002/joc.7849}},
  volume       = {{42}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}