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Leveraging multi-source satellite imagery for improving daily reservoir water storage and inflow estimation in a catchment hydrological model

Ma, Qiumei ; Gui, Xu ; Duan, Zheng LU ; Li, Jiqing ; Li, Yuying and Xiong, Lihua (2025) In Journal of Hydrology 661.
Abstract

Accurate reservoir dynamics, particularly water storage and inflow, are crucial for release decisions and operation rule assessments. However, the lack of sufficient monitoring data has hindered the accurate representation of reservoir behavior in hydrological models. While the increasing availability of satellite imagery provides unprecedented opportunities for dynamic reservoir monitoring, its potential to enhance hydrological models for simulating daily storage and inflow remains largely unexplored. This study aims to evaluate the applicability of optical (Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2) and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR, Sentinel-1) satellite imagery in extracting reservoir-specific Surface Water Extent (SWE), using these data as a... (More)

Accurate reservoir dynamics, particularly water storage and inflow, are crucial for release decisions and operation rule assessments. However, the lack of sufficient monitoring data has hindered the accurate representation of reservoir behavior in hydrological models. While the increasing availability of satellite imagery provides unprecedented opportunities for dynamic reservoir monitoring, its potential to enhance hydrological models for simulating daily storage and inflow remains largely unexplored. This study aims to evaluate the applicability of optical (Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2) and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR, Sentinel-1) satellite imagery in extracting reservoir-specific Surface Water Extent (SWE), using these data as a calibration reference to constrain the Xinanjiang (XAJ) hydrological model for estimating daily reservoir water storage and inflow. To improve the accuracy of SWE identification, we use the random forest classification (RFC) for optical imagery and the OTSU algorithm for SAR imagery to distinguish water from non-water areas. Our study focuses on a large, multi-year regulating reservoir located in the upper reaches of the Wujiang River in China, namely the Hongjiadu Reservoir. The results show that: (1) SWE of the Hongjiadu Reservoir can be accurately extracted from satellite imagery using the RFC and OTSU algorithms, particularly for Sentinel-1; (2) Using Sentinel-1-derived SWE as a calibration reference, the XAJ model performs excellently in simulating daily inflow, with a Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.92, and in reconstructing daily water storage volume with NSE of 0.98; and (3) A merged dataset of Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and Landsat 8 outperforms Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8 alone in reservoir area identification, water storage change estimation, and the XAJ simulation, likely due to the greater availability and accuracy of Sentinel-1. These findings highlight the potential of satellite imagery in constraining hydrological models to simulate daily reservoir behaviors in highly regulated basins. This approach provides a crucial supplement or alternative to traditional streamflow gauging stations and opens new avenues for improving water resources management in data-scarce regions.

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author
; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
Hydrological modeling, Model calibration, Reservoir water storage, Satellite imagery, Surface water extent
in
Journal of Hydrology
volume
661
article number
133761
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:105009509675
ISSN
0022-1694
DOI
10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133761
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
8a53d8d9-89f2-46a3-b77b-ec82fe8e373c
date added to LUP
2025-10-27 14:02:13
date last changed
2025-10-27 15:56:53
@article{8a53d8d9-89f2-46a3-b77b-ec82fe8e373c,
  abstract     = {{<p>Accurate reservoir dynamics, particularly water storage and inflow, are crucial for release decisions and operation rule assessments. However, the lack of sufficient monitoring data has hindered the accurate representation of reservoir behavior in hydrological models. While the increasing availability of satellite imagery provides unprecedented opportunities for dynamic reservoir monitoring, its potential to enhance hydrological models for simulating daily storage and inflow remains largely unexplored. This study aims to evaluate the applicability of optical (Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2) and Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR, Sentinel-1) satellite imagery in extracting reservoir-specific Surface Water Extent (SWE), using these data as a calibration reference to constrain the Xinanjiang (XAJ) hydrological model for estimating daily reservoir water storage and inflow. To improve the accuracy of SWE identification, we use the random forest classification (RFC) for optical imagery and the OTSU algorithm for SAR imagery to distinguish water from non-water areas. Our study focuses on a large, multi-year regulating reservoir located in the upper reaches of the Wujiang River in China, namely the Hongjiadu Reservoir. The results show that: (1) SWE of the Hongjiadu Reservoir can be accurately extracted from satellite imagery using the RFC and OTSU algorithms, particularly for Sentinel-1; (2) Using Sentinel-1-derived SWE as a calibration reference, the XAJ model performs excellently in simulating daily inflow, with a Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.92, and in reconstructing daily water storage volume with NSE of 0.98; and (3) A merged dataset of Sentinel-1, Sentinel-2, and Landsat 8 outperforms Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8 alone in reservoir area identification, water storage change estimation, and the XAJ simulation, likely due to the greater availability and accuracy of Sentinel-1. These findings highlight the potential of satellite imagery in constraining hydrological models to simulate daily reservoir behaviors in highly regulated basins. This approach provides a crucial supplement or alternative to traditional streamflow gauging stations and opens new avenues for improving water resources management in data-scarce regions.</p>}},
  author       = {{Ma, Qiumei and Gui, Xu and Duan, Zheng and Li, Jiqing and Li, Yuying and Xiong, Lihua}},
  issn         = {{0022-1694}},
  keywords     = {{Hydrological modeling; Model calibration; Reservoir water storage; Satellite imagery; Surface water extent}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Journal of Hydrology}},
  title        = {{Leveraging multi-source satellite imagery for improving daily reservoir water storage and inflow estimation in a catchment hydrological model}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133761}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133761}},
  volume       = {{661}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}