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Cystatin C predicts long term mortality better than creatinine in a nationwide study of intensive care patients

Helmersson-Karlqvist, Johanna ; Lipcsey, Miklos ; Ärnlöv, Johan ; Bell, Max ; Ravn, Bo ; Dardashti, Alain LU and Larsson, Anders (2021) In Scientific Reports 11(1).
Abstract

Decreased glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is linked to poor survival. The predictive value of creatinine estimated GFR (eGFR) and cystatin C eGFR in critically ill patients may differ substantially, but has been less studied. This study compares long-term mortality risk prediction by eGFR using a creatinine equation (CKD-EPI), a cystatin C equation (CAPA) and a combined creatinine/cystatin C equation (CKD-EPI), in 22,488 patients treated in intensive care at three University Hospitals in Sweden, between 2004 and 2015. Patients were analysed for both creatinine and cystatin C on the same blood sample tube at admission, using accredited laboratory methods. During follow-up (median 5.1 years) 8401 (37%) patients died. Reduced eGFR was... (More)

Decreased glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is linked to poor survival. The predictive value of creatinine estimated GFR (eGFR) and cystatin C eGFR in critically ill patients may differ substantially, but has been less studied. This study compares long-term mortality risk prediction by eGFR using a creatinine equation (CKD-EPI), a cystatin C equation (CAPA) and a combined creatinine/cystatin C equation (CKD-EPI), in 22,488 patients treated in intensive care at three University Hospitals in Sweden, between 2004 and 2015. Patients were analysed for both creatinine and cystatin C on the same blood sample tube at admission, using accredited laboratory methods. During follow-up (median 5.1 years) 8401 (37%) patients died. Reduced eGFR was significantly associated with death by all eGFR-equations in Cox regression models. However, patients reclassified to a lower GFR-category by using the cystatin C-based equation, as compared to the creatinine-based equation, had significantly higher mortality risk compared to the referent patients not reclassified. The cystatin C equation increased C-statistics for death prediction (p < 0.001 vs. creatinine, p = 0.013 vs. combined equation). In conclusion, this data favours the sole cystatin C equation rather than the creatinine or combined equations when estimating GFR for risk prediction purposes in critically ill patients.

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type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Scientific Reports
volume
11
issue
1
article number
5882
publisher
Nature Publishing Group
external identifiers
  • pmid:33723337
  • scopus:85102498287
ISSN
2045-2322
DOI
10.1038/s41598-021-85370-8
language
English
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no
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8abdb987-0f09-4973-929f-eb5ef596c8b0
date added to LUP
2021-03-23 08:55:33
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2024-09-05 17:13:56
@article{8abdb987-0f09-4973-929f-eb5ef596c8b0,
  abstract     = {{<p>Decreased glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is linked to poor survival. The predictive value of creatinine estimated GFR (eGFR) and cystatin C eGFR in critically ill patients may differ substantially, but has been less studied. This study compares long-term mortality risk prediction by eGFR using a creatinine equation (CKD-EPI), a cystatin C equation (CAPA) and a combined creatinine/cystatin C equation (CKD-EPI), in 22,488 patients treated in intensive care at three University Hospitals in Sweden, between 2004 and 2015. Patients were analysed for both creatinine and cystatin C on the same blood sample tube at admission, using accredited laboratory methods. During follow-up (median 5.1 years) 8401 (37%) patients died. Reduced eGFR was significantly associated with death by all eGFR-equations in Cox regression models. However, patients reclassified to a lower GFR-category by using the cystatin C-based equation, as compared to the creatinine-based equation, had significantly higher mortality risk compared to the referent patients not reclassified. The cystatin C equation increased C-statistics for death prediction (p &lt; 0.001 vs. creatinine, p = 0.013 vs. combined equation). In conclusion, this data favours the sole cystatin C equation rather than the creatinine or combined equations when estimating GFR for risk prediction purposes in critically ill patients.</p>}},
  author       = {{Helmersson-Karlqvist, Johanna and Lipcsey, Miklos and Ärnlöv, Johan and Bell, Max and Ravn, Bo and Dardashti, Alain and Larsson, Anders}},
  issn         = {{2045-2322}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{1}},
  publisher    = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
  series       = {{Scientific Reports}},
  title        = {{Cystatin C predicts long term mortality better than creatinine in a nationwide study of intensive care patients}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-85370-8}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s41598-021-85370-8}},
  volume       = {{11}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}