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Joint Modeling of Singleton Preterm Birth and Perinatal Death Using Birth Registry Cohort Data in Northern Tanzania

Mboya, Innocent B. LU orcid ; Mahande, Michael J. ; Obure, Joseph and Mwambi, Henry G. (2021) In Frontiers in Pediatrics 9.
Abstract

Understanding independent and joint predictors of adverse pregnancy outcomes is essential to inform interventions toward achieving sustainable development goals. We aimed to determine the joint predictors of preterm birth and perinatal death among singleton births in northern Tanzania based on cohort data from the Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Center (KCMC) zonal referral hospital birth registry between 2000 and 2017. We determined the joint predictors of preterm birth and perinatal death using the random-effects models to account for the correlation between these outcomes. The joint predictors of higher preterm birth and perinatal death risk were inadequate (<4) antenatal care (ANC) visits, referred for delivery, experiencing... (More)

Understanding independent and joint predictors of adverse pregnancy outcomes is essential to inform interventions toward achieving sustainable development goals. We aimed to determine the joint predictors of preterm birth and perinatal death among singleton births in northern Tanzania based on cohort data from the Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Center (KCMC) zonal referral hospital birth registry between 2000 and 2017. We determined the joint predictors of preterm birth and perinatal death using the random-effects models to account for the correlation between these outcomes. The joint predictors of higher preterm birth and perinatal death risk were inadequate (<4) antenatal care (ANC) visits, referred for delivery, experiencing pre-eclampsia/eclampsia, postpartum hemorrhage, low birth weight, abruption placenta, and breech presentation. Younger maternal age (15–24 years), premature rupture of membranes, placenta previa, and male children had higher odds of preterm birth but a lessened likelihood of perinatal death. These findings suggest ANC is a critical entry point for delivering the recommended interventions to pregnant women, especially those at high risk of experiencing adverse pregnancy outcomes. Improved management of complications during pregnancy and childbirth and the postnatal period may eventually lead to a substantial reduction of adverse perinatal outcomes and improving maternal and child health.

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author
; ; and
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
keywords
adverse perinatal outcomes, bivariate binary outcomes, joint modeling, perinatal death, preterm birth, sub-Saharan Africa
in
Frontiers in Pediatrics
volume
9
article number
749707
publisher
Frontiers Media S. A.
external identifiers
  • scopus:85121206384
  • pmid:34917558
ISSN
2296-2360
DOI
10.3389/fped.2021.749707
language
English
LU publication?
no
additional info
Funding Information: This work was funded by GSK Africa Non-Communicable Disease Open Lab through the DELTAS Africa Sub-Saharan African Consortium for Advanced Biostatistics (SSACAB) Grant No. 107754/Z/15/Z-training programme. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of GSK. Publisher Copyright: Copyright © 2021 Mboya, Mahande, Obure and Mwambi.
id
8f3f3cc6-4da9-4136-9b45-4f0d4e79cfb5
date added to LUP
2022-09-29 10:03:03
date last changed
2024-05-30 18:51:28
@article{8f3f3cc6-4da9-4136-9b45-4f0d4e79cfb5,
  abstract     = {{<p>Understanding independent and joint predictors of adverse pregnancy outcomes is essential to inform interventions toward achieving sustainable development goals. We aimed to determine the joint predictors of preterm birth and perinatal death among singleton births in northern Tanzania based on cohort data from the Kilimanjaro Christian Medical Center (KCMC) zonal referral hospital birth registry between 2000 and 2017. We determined the joint predictors of preterm birth and perinatal death using the random-effects models to account for the correlation between these outcomes. The joint predictors of higher preterm birth and perinatal death risk were inadequate (&lt;4) antenatal care (ANC) visits, referred for delivery, experiencing pre-eclampsia/eclampsia, postpartum hemorrhage, low birth weight, abruption placenta, and breech presentation. Younger maternal age (15–24 years), premature rupture of membranes, placenta previa, and male children had higher odds of preterm birth but a lessened likelihood of perinatal death. These findings suggest ANC is a critical entry point for delivering the recommended interventions to pregnant women, especially those at high risk of experiencing adverse pregnancy outcomes. Improved management of complications during pregnancy and childbirth and the postnatal period may eventually lead to a substantial reduction of adverse perinatal outcomes and improving maternal and child health.</p>}},
  author       = {{Mboya, Innocent B. and Mahande, Michael J. and Obure, Joseph and Mwambi, Henry G.}},
  issn         = {{2296-2360}},
  keywords     = {{adverse perinatal outcomes; bivariate binary outcomes; joint modeling; perinatal death; preterm birth; sub-Saharan Africa}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{11}},
  publisher    = {{Frontiers Media S. A.}},
  series       = {{Frontiers in Pediatrics}},
  title        = {{Joint Modeling of Singleton Preterm Birth and Perinatal Death Using Birth Registry Cohort Data in Northern Tanzania}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fped.2021.749707}},
  doi          = {{10.3389/fped.2021.749707}},
  volume       = {{9}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}