Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling
Wang, Xinchi ; Feng, Lian ; Qi, Wei ; Cai, Xiaobin ; Zheng, Yi ; Gibson, Luke ; Tang, Jing LU
; Song, Xiao peng
; Liu, Junguo
and Zheng, Chunmiao
, et al.
(2022)
In Geophysical Research Letters
49(12).
- Abstract
Lake ice loss has been detected worldwide due to recent climate warming, yet spatially and temporally detailed information on the changes in global ice phenology does not exist. Here, we build a global lake ice phenology database comprising three lake ice phenologies—freeze-up, break-up, and ice duration—for each year across two centuries (1900–2099). The timing of all three phenologies experienced mild but statistically significant warming trends in the 20th century; continued warming trends were detected in ∼60% of the lakes from 2001 to 2020. Under a high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), future global median ice duration would be shortened by 49.9 days by the end of the 21st century; such change can be substantially reduced under lower... (More)
Lake ice loss has been detected worldwide due to recent climate warming, yet spatially and temporally detailed information on the changes in global ice phenology does not exist. Here, we build a global lake ice phenology database comprising three lake ice phenologies—freeze-up, break-up, and ice duration—for each year across two centuries (1900–2099). The timing of all three phenologies experienced mild but statistically significant warming trends in the 20th century; continued warming trends were detected in ∼60% of the lakes from 2001 to 2020. Under a high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), future global median ice duration would be shortened by 49.9 days by the end of the 21st century; such change can be substantially reduced under lower emission scenarios. We revealed continuous loss of global lake ice during the observed period, our generated database provides critical baseline information to evaluate the consequences of historical and future lake ice changes.
(Less)
- author
- Wang, Xinchi
; Feng, Lian
; Qi, Wei
; Cai, Xiaobin
; Zheng, Yi
; Gibson, Luke
; Tang, Jing
LU
; Song, Xiao peng
; Liu, Junguo
and Zheng, Chunmiao
, et al. (More)
- Wang, Xinchi
; Feng, Lian
; Qi, Wei
; Cai, Xiaobin
; Zheng, Yi
; Gibson, Luke
; Tang, Jing
LU
; Song, Xiao peng
; Liu, Junguo
; Zheng, Chunmiao
and Bryan, Brett A.
(Less)
- organization
- publishing date
- 2022-06-28
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- air temperature, climate warming, lake ice phenology, lake-specific model, remote sensing
- in
- Geophysical Research Letters
- volume
- 49
- issue
- 12
- article number
- e2022GL099022
- publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- external identifiers
-
- scopus:85133037259
- ISSN
- 0094-8276
- DOI
- 10.1029/2022GL099022
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- 979774a0-219e-4024-85fa-9f71a638561a
- date added to LUP
- 2022-09-30 13:20:32
- date last changed
- 2022-09-30 13:20:32
@article{979774a0-219e-4024-85fa-9f71a638561a,
abstract = {{<p>Lake ice loss has been detected worldwide due to recent climate warming, yet spatially and temporally detailed information on the changes in global ice phenology does not exist. Here, we build a global lake ice phenology database comprising three lake ice phenologies—freeze-up, break-up, and ice duration—for each year across two centuries (1900–2099). The timing of all three phenologies experienced mild but statistically significant warming trends in the 20th century; continued warming trends were detected in ∼60% of the lakes from 2001 to 2020. Under a high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), future global median ice duration would be shortened by 49.9 days by the end of the 21st century; such change can be substantially reduced under lower emission scenarios. We revealed continuous loss of global lake ice during the observed period, our generated database provides critical baseline information to evaluate the consequences of historical and future lake ice changes.</p>}},
author = {{Wang, Xinchi and Feng, Lian and Qi, Wei and Cai, Xiaobin and Zheng, Yi and Gibson, Luke and Tang, Jing and Song, Xiao peng and Liu, Junguo and Zheng, Chunmiao and Bryan, Brett A.}},
issn = {{0094-8276}},
keywords = {{air temperature; climate warming; lake ice phenology; lake-specific model; remote sensing}},
language = {{eng}},
month = {{06}},
number = {{12}},
publisher = {{American Geophysical Union (AGU)}},
series = {{Geophysical Research Letters}},
title = {{Continuous Loss of Global Lake Ice Across Two Centuries Revealed by Satellite Observations and Numerical Modeling}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099022}},
doi = {{10.1029/2022GL099022}},
volume = {{49}},
year = {{2022}},
}