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Evaluation of the RF-MEP Method for Merging Multiple Gridded Precipitation Products in the Chongqing City, China

Shi, Yongming ; Chen, Cheng ; Chen, Jun ; Mohammadi, Babak LU orcid ; Cheraghalizadeh, Majid ; Abdallah, Mohammed ; Mert Katipoğlu, Okan ; Li, Haotian and Duan, Zheng LU (2023) In Remote Sensing 15(17).
Abstract

Precipitation is a major component of the water cycle. Accurate and reliable estimation of precipitation is essential for various applications. Generally, there are three main types of precipitation products: satellite based, reanalysis, and ground measurements from rain gauge stations. Each type has its advantages and disadvantages. Recent efforts have been made to develop various merging methods to improve precipitation estimates by combining multiple precipitation products. This study evaluated for the first time the performance of the random forest-based merging procedure (RF-MEP) method in enhancing the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates in Chongqing city, China with a complex terrain and sparse observational data. The... (More)

Precipitation is a major component of the water cycle. Accurate and reliable estimation of precipitation is essential for various applications. Generally, there are three main types of precipitation products: satellite based, reanalysis, and ground measurements from rain gauge stations. Each type has its advantages and disadvantages. Recent efforts have been made to develop various merging methods to improve precipitation estimates by combining multiple precipitation products. This study evaluated for the first time the performance of the random forest-based merging procedure (RF-MEP) method in enhancing the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates in Chongqing city, China with a complex terrain and sparse observational data. The RF-MEP method was used to merge three widely used gridded precipitation products (CHIRPS, ERA5-Land, and GPM IMERG) with ground measurements from a limited number of rain gauge stations to produce the merged precipitation dataset. Eight stations (approximately 70% of the available stations) were used to train the RF-MEP approach, while four stations (30%) were used for independent testing. Various statistical metrics were employed to assess the performance of the merged precipitation dataset and the three existing precipitation products against the ground measurements. Our results demonstrated that the RF-MEP approach significantly enhances the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates, surpassing the performance of the individual precipitation products and two other merging methods (the simple linear regression model and the simple averaging). Among the three existing products, ERA5-Land exhibited the best performance in capturing daily precipitation, followed by GPM IMERG, while CHIRPS performed the worst. Regarding precipitation intensity, all three existing products and the RF-MEP merged dataset performed well in capturing light precipitation events with an intensity of less than 1 mm/day, which accounts for the majority (more than 70%) of occurrences. However, all datasets showed rather poor capability in capturing precipitation events beyond 1 mm/day, with the worst performance observed for extreme heavy precipitation events exceeding 50 mm/day. The RF-MEP approach significantly improves the detection ability for all precipitation intensities, except for the most extreme intensity (>50 mm/day), where only marginal improvement is observed. Analysis of the spatial pattern of precipitation estimates and the temporal bias of daily precipitation estimates further confirms the superior performance of the RF-MEP merged precipitation dataset over the three existing products.

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author
; ; ; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
merge, precipitation, rainfall intensity, random forest, reanalysis products, satellite products
in
Remote Sensing
volume
15
issue
17
article number
4230
publisher
MDPI AG
external identifiers
  • scopus:85170381644
ISSN
2072-4292
DOI
10.3390/rs15174230
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Funding Information: This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41901129). Publisher Copyright: © 2023 by the authors.
id
99bf0850-f5a4-4265-8e40-f0dcb8f20f69
date added to LUP
2023-09-18 15:49:36
date last changed
2023-10-02 20:30:41
@article{99bf0850-f5a4-4265-8e40-f0dcb8f20f69,
  abstract     = {{<p>Precipitation is a major component of the water cycle. Accurate and reliable estimation of precipitation is essential for various applications. Generally, there are three main types of precipitation products: satellite based, reanalysis, and ground measurements from rain gauge stations. Each type has its advantages and disadvantages. Recent efforts have been made to develop various merging methods to improve precipitation estimates by combining multiple precipitation products. This study evaluated for the first time the performance of the random forest-based merging procedure (RF-MEP) method in enhancing the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates in Chongqing city, China with a complex terrain and sparse observational data. The RF-MEP method was used to merge three widely used gridded precipitation products (CHIRPS, ERA5-Land, and GPM IMERG) with ground measurements from a limited number of rain gauge stations to produce the merged precipitation dataset. Eight stations (approximately 70% of the available stations) were used to train the RF-MEP approach, while four stations (30%) were used for independent testing. Various statistical metrics were employed to assess the performance of the merged precipitation dataset and the three existing precipitation products against the ground measurements. Our results demonstrated that the RF-MEP approach significantly enhances the accuracy of daily precipitation estimates, surpassing the performance of the individual precipitation products and two other merging methods (the simple linear regression model and the simple averaging). Among the three existing products, ERA5-Land exhibited the best performance in capturing daily precipitation, followed by GPM IMERG, while CHIRPS performed the worst. Regarding precipitation intensity, all three existing products and the RF-MEP merged dataset performed well in capturing light precipitation events with an intensity of less than 1 mm/day, which accounts for the majority (more than 70%) of occurrences. However, all datasets showed rather poor capability in capturing precipitation events beyond 1 mm/day, with the worst performance observed for extreme heavy precipitation events exceeding 50 mm/day. The RF-MEP approach significantly improves the detection ability for all precipitation intensities, except for the most extreme intensity (&gt;50 mm/day), where only marginal improvement is observed. Analysis of the spatial pattern of precipitation estimates and the temporal bias of daily precipitation estimates further confirms the superior performance of the RF-MEP merged precipitation dataset over the three existing products.</p>}},
  author       = {{Shi, Yongming and Chen, Cheng and Chen, Jun and Mohammadi, Babak and Cheraghalizadeh, Majid and Abdallah, Mohammed and Mert Katipoğlu, Okan and Li, Haotian and Duan, Zheng}},
  issn         = {{2072-4292}},
  keywords     = {{merge; precipitation; rainfall intensity; random forest; reanalysis products; satellite products}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{17}},
  publisher    = {{MDPI AG}},
  series       = {{Remote Sensing}},
  title        = {{Evaluation of the RF-MEP Method for Merging Multiple Gridded Precipitation Products in the Chongqing City, China}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/rs15174230}},
  doi          = {{10.3390/rs15174230}},
  volume       = {{15}},
  year         = {{2023}},
}