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Threats of projected changes in fire regime for newly affected areas in Europe and Northern Africa

Thonicke, Kirsten; Almut, Arneth; Knorr, Wolfgang LU ; Wu, Minchao LU and Fyllas, Nikolaos (2014) In Forest fires under climate, social and economic changes in Europe, the Mediterranean and other fire-affected areas of the world p.34-35
Abstract
Under climate change conditions, climatic wildfire danger could also increase in ecosystems not dominated by fires until now. This increasing trend could lead to more area burned in the future. We have developed an algorithm to map new fire-prone areas in Europe and Northern Africa that identifies grid points where a rare fire event is becoming the mean at the end of the 21st century. When applying the model to simulated changes in future fire regimes it revealed that these new fire-prone areas would be found mostly in Eastern Europe. Depending on the climate scenario and vegetation-fire model used, it could also extend to central and South-Eastern Europe.
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author
organization
publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
categories
Popular Science
in
Forest fires under climate, social and economic changes in Europe, the Mediterranean and other fire-affected areas of the world
editor
Moreno, José M. and
pages
2 pages
publisher
FUME
ISBN
978-84-695-9759-0
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
a364ad91-242d-4504-b3a9-7573fa17022f
alternative location
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/69301173/FUME_Lessons%20Learned%20and%20Outlook.pdf
date added to LUP
2017-01-12 01:20:18
date last changed
2017-02-13 15:52:34
@inbook{a364ad91-242d-4504-b3a9-7573fa17022f,
  abstract     = {Under climate change conditions, climatic wildfire danger could also increase in ecosystems not dominated by fires until now. This increasing trend could lead to more area burned in the future. We have developed an algorithm to map new fire-prone areas in Europe and Northern Africa that identifies grid points where a rare fire event is becoming the mean at the end of the 21st century. When applying the model to simulated changes in future fire regimes it revealed that these new fire-prone areas would be found mostly in Eastern Europe. Depending on the climate scenario and vegetation-fire model used, it could also extend to central and South-Eastern Europe.},
  author       = {Thonicke, Kirsten and Almut, Arneth and Knorr, Wolfgang and Wu, Minchao and Fyllas, Nikolaos},
  editor       = {Moreno, José M. },
  isbn         = {978-84-695-9759-0},
  language     = {eng},
  month        = {01},
  pages        = {34--35},
  publisher    = {FUME},
  series       = {Forest fires under climate, social and economic changes in Europe, the Mediterranean and other fire-affected areas of the world},
  title        = {Threats of projected changes in fire regime for newly affected areas in Europe and Northern Africa},
  year         = {2014},
}