Threats of projected changes in fire regime for newly affected areas in Europe and Northern Africa
(2014) p.34-35- Abstract
- Under climate change conditions, climatic wildfire danger could also increase in ecosystems not dominated by fires until now. This increasing trend could lead to more area burned in the future. We have developed an algorithm to map new fire-prone areas in Europe and Northern Africa that identifies grid points where a rare fire event is becoming the mean at the end of the 21st century. When applying the model to simulated changes in future fire regimes it revealed that these new fire-prone areas would be found mostly in Eastern Europe. Depending on the climate scenario and vegetation-fire model used, it could also extend to central and South-Eastern Europe.
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/a364ad91-242d-4504-b3a9-7573fa17022f
- author
- Thonicke, Kirsten
; Almut, Arneth
; Knorr, Wolfgang
LU
; Wu, Minchao
LU
and Fyllas, Nikolaos
- organization
- publishing date
- 2014-01-01
- type
- Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
- publication status
- published
- subject
- categories
- Popular Science
- host publication
- Forest fires under climate, social and economic changes in Europe, the Mediterranean and other fire-affected areas of the world
- editor
- Moreno, José M.
- article number
- 15
- pages
- 2 pages
- publisher
- FUME
- ISBN
- 978-84-695-9759-0
- project
- Land-atmosphere interactions and regional Earth system dynamics due to natural and anthropogenic vegetation changes
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- id
- a364ad91-242d-4504-b3a9-7573fa17022f
- alternative location
- https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/69301173/FUME_Lessons%20Learned%20and%20Outlook.pdf
- date added to LUP
- 2017-01-12 01:20:18
- date last changed
- 2024-02-09 13:51:47
@inbook{a364ad91-242d-4504-b3a9-7573fa17022f, abstract = {{Under climate change conditions, climatic wildfire danger could also increase in ecosystems not dominated by fires until now. This increasing trend could lead to more area burned in the future. We have developed an algorithm to map new fire-prone areas in Europe and Northern Africa that identifies grid points where a rare fire event is becoming the mean at the end of the 21st century. When applying the model to simulated changes in future fire regimes it revealed that these new fire-prone areas would be found mostly in Eastern Europe. Depending on the climate scenario and vegetation-fire model used, it could also extend to central and South-Eastern Europe.}}, author = {{Thonicke, Kirsten and Almut, Arneth and Knorr, Wolfgang and Wu, Minchao and Fyllas, Nikolaos}}, booktitle = {{Forest fires under climate, social and economic changes in Europe, the Mediterranean and other fire-affected areas of the world}}, editor = {{Moreno, José M.}}, isbn = {{978-84-695-9759-0}}, language = {{eng}}, month = {{01}}, pages = {{34--35}}, publisher = {{FUME}}, title = {{Threats of projected changes in fire regime for newly affected areas in Europe and Northern Africa}}, url = {{https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/69301173/FUME_Lessons%20Learned%20and%20Outlook.pdf}}, year = {{2014}}, }