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Arguments for considering uncertainty in QSAR predictions in hazard and risk assessments.

Sahlin, Ullrika LU ; Golsteijn, Laura ; Iqbal, M Sarfraz and Peijnenburg, Willie (2013) In ATLA: Alternatives To Laboratory Animals 41(1). p.91-110
Abstract
Chemical regulation allows non-in vivo testing (i.e. in silico-derived and in vitro-derived) information to replace experimental values from in vivo studies in hazard and risk assessments. Although non-in vitro testing information on chemical activities or properties is subject to added uncertainty as compared to in vivo testing information, this uncertainty is commonly not (fully) taken into account. Considering uncertainty in predictions from quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSARs), which are a form of non-in vivo testing information, may improve the way that QSARs support chemical safety assessment under the EU Registration, Evaluation, Authorisation and Restriction of Chemicals (REACH) system. We argue that it is useful... (More)
Chemical regulation allows non-in vivo testing (i.e. in silico-derived and in vitro-derived) information to replace experimental values from in vivo studies in hazard and risk assessments. Although non-in vitro testing information on chemical activities or properties is subject to added uncertainty as compared to in vivo testing information, this uncertainty is commonly not (fully) taken into account. Considering uncertainty in predictions from quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSARs), which are a form of non-in vivo testing information, may improve the way that QSARs support chemical safety assessment under the EU Registration, Evaluation, Authorisation and Restriction of Chemicals (REACH) system. We argue that it is useful to consider uncertainty in QSAR predictions, as it: a) supports rational decision-making; b) facilitates cautious risk management; c) informs uncertainty analysis in probabilistic risk assessment; d) may aid the evaluation of QSAR predictions in weight-of-evidence approaches; and e) provides a probabilistic model to verify the experimental data used in risk assessment. The discussion is illustrated by using case studies of QSAR integrated hazard and risk assessment from the EU-financed CADASTER project. (Less)
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author
; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
ATLA: Alternatives To Laboratory Animals
volume
41
issue
1
pages
91 - 110
publisher
SAGE Publications
external identifiers
  • pmid:23614547
  • wos:000330896200028
  • scopus:84877120272
ISSN
0261-1929
project
Uncertainty and Evidence Lab
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
ad06d3ee-e35a-4980-8813-65975d04da72 (old id 3733390)
date added to LUP
2016-04-01 12:54:43
date last changed
2022-03-29 04:27:14
@article{ad06d3ee-e35a-4980-8813-65975d04da72,
  abstract     = {{Chemical regulation allows non-in vivo testing (i.e. in silico-derived and in vitro-derived) information to replace experimental values from in vivo studies in hazard and risk assessments. Although non-in vitro testing information on chemical activities or properties is subject to added uncertainty as compared to in vivo testing information, this uncertainty is commonly not (fully) taken into account. Considering uncertainty in predictions from quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSARs), which are a form of non-in vivo testing information, may improve the way that QSARs support chemical safety assessment under the EU Registration, Evaluation, Authorisation and Restriction of Chemicals (REACH) system. We argue that it is useful to consider uncertainty in QSAR predictions, as it: a) supports rational decision-making; b) facilitates cautious risk management; c) informs uncertainty analysis in probabilistic risk assessment; d) may aid the evaluation of QSAR predictions in weight-of-evidence approaches; and e) provides a probabilistic model to verify the experimental data used in risk assessment. The discussion is illustrated by using case studies of QSAR integrated hazard and risk assessment from the EU-financed CADASTER project.}},
  author       = {{Sahlin, Ullrika and Golsteijn, Laura and Iqbal, M Sarfraz and Peijnenburg, Willie}},
  issn         = {{0261-1929}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{1}},
  pages        = {{91--110}},
  publisher    = {{SAGE Publications}},
  series       = {{ATLA: Alternatives To Laboratory Animals}},
  title        = {{Arguments for considering uncertainty in QSAR predictions in hazard and risk assessments.}},
  volume       = {{41}},
  year         = {{2013}},
}