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Machine Learning-Derived Echocardiographic Phenotypes Predict Heart Failure Incidence in Asymptomatic Individuals

Kobayashi, Masatake ; Huttin, Olivier ; Magnusson, Martin LU orcid ; Ferreira, João Pedro ; Bozec, Erwan ; Huby, Anne-Cecile ; Preud'homme, Gregoire ; Duarte, Kevin ; Lamiral, Zohra and Dalleau, Kevin , et al. (2022) In JACC: Cardiovascular Imaging 15(2). p.193-208
Abstract

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to identify homogenous echocardiographic phenotypes in community-based cohorts and assess their association with outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Asymptomatic cardiac dysfunction leads to a high risk of long-term cardiovascular morbidity and mortality; however, better echocardiographic classification of asymptomatic individuals remains a challenge.

METHODS: Echocardiographic phenotypes were identified using K-means clustering in the first generation of the STANISLAS (Yearly non-invasive follow-up of Health status of Lorraine insured inhabitants) cohort (N = 827; mean age: 60 ± 5 years; men: 48%), and their associations with vascular function and circulating biomarkers were also assessed. These phenotypes... (More)

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to identify homogenous echocardiographic phenotypes in community-based cohorts and assess their association with outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Asymptomatic cardiac dysfunction leads to a high risk of long-term cardiovascular morbidity and mortality; however, better echocardiographic classification of asymptomatic individuals remains a challenge.

METHODS: Echocardiographic phenotypes were identified using K-means clustering in the first generation of the STANISLAS (Yearly non-invasive follow-up of Health status of Lorraine insured inhabitants) cohort (N = 827; mean age: 60 ± 5 years; men: 48%), and their associations with vascular function and circulating biomarkers were also assessed. These phenotypes were externally validated in the Malmö Preventive Project cohort (N = 1,394; mean age: 67 ± 6 years; men: 70%), and their associations with the composite of cardiovascular mortality (CVM) or heart failure hospitalization (HFH) were assessed as well.

RESULTS: Three echocardiographic phenotypes were identified as "mostly normal (MN)" (n = 334), "diastolic changes (D)" (n = 323), and "diastolic changes with structural remodeling (D/S)" (n = 170). The D and D/S phenotypes had similar ages, body mass indices, cardiovascular risk factors, vascular impairments, and diastolic function changes. The D phenotype consisted mainly of women and featured increased levels of inflammatory biomarkers, whereas the D/S phenotype, consisted predominantly of men, displayed the highest values of left ventricular mass, volume, and remodeling biomarkers. The phenotypes were predicted based on a simple algorithm including e', left ventricular mass and volume (e'VM algorithm). In the Malmö cohort, subgroups derived from e'VM algorithm were significantly associated with a higher risk of CVM and HFH (adjusted HR in the D phenotype = 1.87; 95% CI: 1.04 to 3.37; adjusted HR in the D/S phenotype = 3.02; 95% CI: 1.71 to 5.34).

CONCLUSIONS: Among asymptomatic, middle-aged individuals, echocardiographic data-driven classification based on the simple e'VM algorithm identified profiles with different long-term HF risk. (4th Visit at 17 Years of Cohort STANISLAS-Stanislas Ancillary Study ESCIF [STANISLASV4]; NCT01391442).

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
@article{b3894f90-0c70-470d-a1eb-53e8cd1e5049,
  abstract     = {{<p>OBJECTIVES: This study sought to identify homogenous echocardiographic phenotypes in community-based cohorts and assess their association with outcomes.</p><p>BACKGROUND: Asymptomatic cardiac dysfunction leads to a high risk of long-term cardiovascular morbidity and mortality; however, better echocardiographic classification of asymptomatic individuals remains a challenge.</p><p>METHODS: Echocardiographic phenotypes were identified using K-means clustering in the first generation of the STANISLAS (Yearly non-invasive follow-up of Health status of Lorraine insured inhabitants) cohort (N = 827; mean age: 60 ± 5 years; men: 48%), and their associations with vascular function and circulating biomarkers were also assessed. These phenotypes were externally validated in the Malmö Preventive Project cohort (N = 1,394; mean age: 67 ± 6 years; men: 70%), and their associations with the composite of cardiovascular mortality (CVM) or heart failure hospitalization (HFH) were assessed as well.</p><p>RESULTS: Three echocardiographic phenotypes were identified as "mostly normal (MN)" (n = 334), "diastolic changes (D)" (n = 323), and "diastolic changes with structural remodeling (D/S)" (n = 170). The D and D/S phenotypes had similar ages, body mass indices, cardiovascular risk factors, vascular impairments, and diastolic function changes. The D phenotype consisted mainly of women and featured increased levels of inflammatory biomarkers, whereas the D/S phenotype, consisted predominantly of men, displayed the highest values of left ventricular mass, volume, and remodeling biomarkers. The phenotypes were predicted based on a simple algorithm including e', left ventricular mass and volume (e'VM algorithm). In the Malmö cohort, subgroups derived from e'VM algorithm were significantly associated with a higher risk of CVM and HFH (adjusted HR in the D phenotype = 1.87; 95% CI: 1.04 to 3.37; adjusted HR in the D/S phenotype = 3.02; 95% CI: 1.71 to 5.34).</p><p>CONCLUSIONS: Among asymptomatic, middle-aged individuals, echocardiographic data-driven classification based on the simple e'VM algorithm identified profiles with different long-term HF risk. (4th Visit at 17 Years of Cohort STANISLAS-Stanislas Ancillary Study ESCIF [STANISLASV4]; NCT01391442).</p>}},
  author       = {{Kobayashi, Masatake and Huttin, Olivier and Magnusson, Martin and Ferreira, João Pedro and Bozec, Erwan and Huby, Anne-Cecile and Preud'homme, Gregoire and Duarte, Kevin and Lamiral, Zohra and Dalleau, Kevin and Bresso, Emmanuel and Smaïl-Tabbone, Malika and Devignes, Marie-Dominique and Nilsson, Peter M and Leosdottir, Margret and Boivin, Jean-Marc and Zannad, Faiez and Rossignol, Patrick and Girerd, Nicolas}},
  issn         = {{1876-7591}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{2}},
  pages        = {{193--208}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{JACC: Cardiovascular Imaging}},
  title        = {{Machine Learning-Derived Echocardiographic Phenotypes Predict Heart Failure Incidence in Asymptomatic Individuals}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jcmg.2021.07.004}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.jcmg.2021.07.004}},
  volume       = {{15}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}