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The evolution of Thermal Performance Curves and life-history traits in responses to thermal selection

Zilio, Giacomo ; Moodie, Iain R LU orcid ; Malusare, Sarthak P ; Devillez, Marie-Ange ; Givens, Justina ; Gougat-Barbera, Claire and Fronhofer, Emanuel A (2026) In Evolution
Abstract
Thermal performance curves (TPCs) capture how population growth depends on temperature. When temperatures increase, such as during global change, TPCs may evolve to match new environmental temperatures. While previous studies mostly focus on population growth rate TPCs, evolution can also be strongly trait-dependent and require a multi-trait analysis. Here, we empirically tested how TPCs and multiple demographic, life-history and movement traits evolve by selecting four freshwater protist species at increased temperatures starting from clonal populations. After ten months of selection, populations showed a signature of evolutionary responses to the highest selection temperatures in different traits depending on the species. Particularly,... (More)
Thermal performance curves (TPCs) capture how population growth depends on temperature. When temperatures increase, such as during global change, TPCs may evolve to match new environmental temperatures. While previous studies mostly focus on population growth rate TPCs, evolution can also be strongly trait-dependent and require a multi-trait analysis. Here, we empirically tested how TPCs and multiple demographic, life-history and movement traits evolve by selecting four freshwater protist species at increased temperatures starting from clonal populations. After ten months of selection, populations showed a signature of evolutionary responses to the highest selection temperatures in different traits depending on the species. Particularly, we found consistent evolutionary reductions in body size in the three species having the largest cells and evolved changes in movement behaviour in all species. In contrast, we observed few modifications in population growth rate TPCs. These results suggest that adaptation, via evolution of TPCs, might involve the concurrent evolution of several traits. However, this may be species-specific and difficult from de-novo mutation alone, suggesting that natural populations that do not have sufficient standing genetic variation might have to rely on other means of mitigating the effects of climate change, such as dispersal. (Less)
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author
; ; ; ; ; and
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
keywords
thermal niche, experimental evolution, climate change, global change, adaptation
in
Evolution
article number
qpag052
publisher
Wiley-Blackwell
external identifiers
  • pmid:41894220
  • scopus:105041122487
ISSN
1558-5646
DOI
10.1093/evolut/qpag052
language
English
LU publication?
no
additional info
Giacomo Zilio, Iain R Moodie and Sarthak P. Malusare shared first authorship.
id
b5f3403c-df9e-4746-83e9-8897b1cc4fdf
date added to LUP
2026-04-16 21:10:06
date last changed
2026-07-23 04:00:52
@article{b5f3403c-df9e-4746-83e9-8897b1cc4fdf,
  abstract     = {{Thermal performance curves (TPCs) capture how population growth depends on temperature. When temperatures increase, such as during global change, TPCs may evolve to match new environmental temperatures. While previous studies mostly focus on population growth rate TPCs, evolution can also be strongly trait-dependent and require a multi-trait analysis. Here, we empirically tested how TPCs and multiple demographic, life-history and movement traits evolve by selecting four freshwater protist species at increased temperatures starting from clonal populations. After ten months of selection, populations showed a signature of evolutionary responses to the highest selection temperatures in different traits depending on the species. Particularly, we found consistent evolutionary reductions in body size in the three species having the largest cells and evolved changes in movement behaviour in all species. In contrast, we observed few modifications in population growth rate TPCs. These results suggest that adaptation, via evolution of TPCs, might involve the concurrent evolution of several traits. However, this may be species-specific and difficult from de-novo mutation alone, suggesting that natural populations that do not have sufficient standing genetic variation might have to rely on other means of mitigating the effects of climate change, such as dispersal.}},
  author       = {{Zilio, Giacomo and Moodie, Iain R and Malusare, Sarthak P and Devillez, Marie-Ange and Givens, Justina and Gougat-Barbera, Claire and Fronhofer, Emanuel A}},
  issn         = {{1558-5646}},
  keywords     = {{thermal niche; experimental evolution; climate change; global change; adaptation}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{03}},
  publisher    = {{Wiley-Blackwell}},
  series       = {{Evolution}},
  title        = {{The evolution of Thermal Performance Curves and life-history traits in responses to thermal selection}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/evolut/qpag052}},
  doi          = {{10.1093/evolut/qpag052}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}