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Linking environmental and economic modelling for informing policymaking in agriculture

López I Losada, Raül LU orcid (2024)
Abstract
The European Green Deal recognises the importance of addressing the environmental challenges posed by agriculture to meet the global biodiversity and climate agendas. Environmental policymaking is needed to drive and speed up sustainability transitions in agriculture because the environmental consequences of agricultural activities are not generally reflected in production costs and lead to market-driven production systems that are not delivering optimal outcomes for society. This thesis contributes scientific analysis for informing policymaking on the benefits and trade-offs of environmental measures concerning arable-land management, bioenergy crops with local soil co-benefits, a price on greenhouse gas emissions, and the removal of... (More)
The European Green Deal recognises the importance of addressing the environmental challenges posed by agriculture to meet the global biodiversity and climate agendas. Environmental policymaking is needed to drive and speed up sustainability transitions in agriculture because the environmental consequences of agricultural activities are not generally reflected in production costs and lead to market-driven production systems that are not delivering optimal outcomes for society. This thesis contributes scientific analysis for informing policymaking on the benefits and trade-offs of environmental measures concerning arable-land management, bioenergy crops with local soil co-benefits, a price on greenhouse gas emissions, and the removal of coupled income support to cattle.
Chapters 1 and 2 study the societal benefits of improving arable-land management across the EU. This is done with a systematic review and meta-analysis of time series data in long-term field experiments, reported statistics on farm management and economic valuation of C sequestration for climate-change mitigation. Results from chapter 1 show that combining crop rotations, reduced tillage, organic amendments and soil cover can effectively restore soil organic carbon stocks in intensive arable land in climatic regions where wheat can grow. Chapter 2 shows substantial variation in climate-change mitigation benefits from soil management improvements across the EU. This indicates substantial potential to enhance cost-effectiveness of a payment eco-scheme promoting C sequestration through soil management by basing payment levels on expected benefits rather than adoption costs.
Chapters 3 and 4 analyse the environmental implications of policy interventions that advance (at least some) aspects of the European Green Deal for agriculture, namely a subsidy to promote arable grass for bioenergy, a price on greenhouse gas emissions, and removal of the Coupled Income Support to cattle. Both regional and global environmental aspects are captured by linking agent-based modelling of farming regions and territorial Life Cycle Assessment. The environmental implications of policy interventions are strongly influenced by regional structure features, and in particular changes in relative productivity, which can vary widely between intensive and extensive farming regions in the EU. This confirms the importance of adapting environmental policymaking to regional conditions and supports the regional development of the 2023 reform of the Common Agricultural Policy, which also enhances national governance of the payment structure. Agent-based Life Cycle Assessment has thus the potential to speed up sustainability transitions in agriculture by contributing to identify the need or redundance of complementary policy interventions prior to implementation. (Less)
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author
supervisor
opponent
  • Associate Professor Styles, David, School of Biological & Chemical Sciences, University of Galway
organization
publishing date
type
Thesis
publication status
published
subject
keywords
carbon sequestration, CAP, crop-specialist holding, conservation agriculture, sustainable soil management, territorial LCA, carbon price, soil carbon, biofuel, arable grass rotation, european green deal, Agent-based modelling
pages
177 pages
publisher
Lund University
defense location
Blue Hall, Ekologihuset
defense date
2025-01-31 09:30:00
ISBN
978-91-8104-326-6
978-91-8104-327-3
project
Production potential of agricultural biomass and policy instruments to promote a fossil-free society while meeting food production and environmental objectives
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
b9301019-e01e-49b5-b7af-c8f25a3f97b6
date added to LUP
2025-01-07 12:09:45
date last changed
2025-04-04 15:01:56
@phdthesis{b9301019-e01e-49b5-b7af-c8f25a3f97b6,
  abstract     = {{The European Green Deal recognises the importance of addressing the environmental challenges posed by agriculture to meet the global biodiversity and climate agendas. Environmental policymaking is needed to drive and speed up sustainability transitions in agriculture because the environmental consequences of agricultural activities are not generally reflected in production costs and lead to market-driven production systems that are not delivering optimal outcomes for society. This thesis contributes scientific analysis for informing policymaking on the benefits and trade-offs of environmental measures concerning arable-land management, bioenergy crops with local soil co-benefits, a price on greenhouse gas emissions, and the removal of coupled income support to cattle.<br/>Chapters 1 and 2 study the societal benefits of improving arable-land management across the EU. This is done with a systematic review and meta-analysis of time series data in long-term field experiments, reported statistics on farm management and economic valuation of C sequestration for climate-change mitigation. Results from chapter 1 show that combining crop rotations, reduced tillage, organic amendments and soil cover can effectively restore soil organic carbon stocks in intensive arable land in climatic regions where wheat can grow. Chapter 2 shows substantial variation in climate-change mitigation benefits from soil management improvements across the EU. This indicates substantial potential to enhance cost-effectiveness of a payment eco-scheme promoting C sequestration through soil management by basing payment levels on expected benefits rather than adoption costs.<br/>Chapters 3 and 4 analyse the environmental implications of policy interventions that advance (at least some) aspects of the European Green Deal for agriculture, namely a subsidy to promote arable grass for bioenergy, a price on greenhouse gas emissions, and removal of the Coupled Income Support to cattle. Both regional and global environmental aspects are captured by linking agent-based modelling of farming regions and territorial Life Cycle Assessment. The environmental implications of policy interventions are strongly influenced by regional structure features, and in particular changes in relative productivity, which can vary widely between intensive and extensive farming regions in the EU. This confirms the importance of adapting environmental policymaking to regional conditions and supports the regional development of the 2023 reform of the Common Agricultural Policy, which also enhances national governance of the payment structure. Agent-based Life Cycle Assessment has thus the potential to speed up sustainability transitions in agriculture by contributing to identify the need or redundance of complementary policy interventions prior to implementation.}},
  author       = {{López I Losada, Raül}},
  isbn         = {{978-91-8104-326-6}},
  keywords     = {{carbon sequestration; CAP; crop-specialist holding; conservation agriculture; sustainable soil management; territorial LCA; carbon price; soil carbon; biofuel; arable grass rotation; european green deal; Agent-based modelling}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{12}},
  publisher    = {{Lund University}},
  school       = {{Lund University}},
  title        = {{Linking environmental and economic modelling for informing policymaking in agriculture}},
  url          = {{https://lup.lub.lu.se/search/files/204443115/Thesis_RLL_OA.pdf}},
  year         = {{2024}},
}