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Is the Effect of Mediterranean Diet on Hip Fracture Mediated through Type 2 Diabetes and Body Mass Index?

Mitchell, Adam LU ; Fall, Tove ; Melhus, Håkan ; Wolk, Alicja ; Michaëlsson, Karl and Byberg, Liisa (2021) In International Journal of Epidemiology 50(1). p.234-244
Abstract
Background
We examined whether the inverse association between adherence to a Mediterranean diet and hip fracture risk is mediated by incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and body mass index (BMI).

Methods
We included 50 755 men and women from the Cohort of Swedish Men and the Swedish Mammography Cohort who answered lifestyle and medical questionnaires in 1997 and 2008 (used for calculation of the Mediterranean diet score 9mMED; low, medium, high) and BMI in 1997, and incident T2DM in 1997–2008). The cumulative incidence of hip fracture from the National Patient Register (2009–14) was considered as outcome.

Results
We present conditional odds ratios (OR) 9[95% confidence interval, CI) of hip fracture for... (More)
Background
We examined whether the inverse association between adherence to a Mediterranean diet and hip fracture risk is mediated by incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and body mass index (BMI).

Methods
We included 50 755 men and women from the Cohort of Swedish Men and the Swedish Mammography Cohort who answered lifestyle and medical questionnaires in 1997 and 2008 (used for calculation of the Mediterranean diet score 9mMED; low, medium, high) and BMI in 1997, and incident T2DM in 1997–2008). The cumulative incidence of hip fracture from the National Patient Register (2009–14) was considered as outcome.

Results
We present conditional odds ratios (OR) 9[95% confidence interval, CI) of hip fracture for medium and high adherence to mMED, compared with low adherence. The total effect ORs were 0.82 (0.71, 0.95) and 0.75 (0.62, 0.91), respectively. The controlled direct effect of mMED on hip fracture (not mediated by T2DM, considering BMI as an exposure-induced confounder), calculated using inverse probability weighting of marginal structural models, rendered ORs of 0.82 (0.72, 0.95) and 0.73 (0.60, 0.88), respectively. The natural direct effect ORs (not mediated by BMI or T2DM, calculated using flexible mediation analysis) were 0.82 (0.71, 0.95) and 0.74(0.61, 0.89), respectively. The path-specific indirect and partial indirect natural effects ORs (through BMI or T2DM) were close to 1.

Conclusions
Mediterranean diet has a direct effect on hip fracture risk via pathways other than through T2DM and BMI. We cannot exclude mediating effects of T2DM or BMI, or that their effects cancel each other out. (Less)
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author
; ; ; ; and
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
in
International Journal of Epidemiology
volume
50
issue
1
pages
234 - 244
publisher
Oxford University Press
external identifiers
  • scopus:85102657831
ISSN
1464-3685
DOI
10.1093/ije/dyaa239
language
English
LU publication?
no
id
c5c2273c-641a-4e67-ab7e-badefe832375
date added to LUP
2025-02-07 11:27:41
date last changed
2025-02-08 04:01:56
@article{c5c2273c-641a-4e67-ab7e-badefe832375,
  abstract     = {{Background<br/>We examined whether the inverse association between adherence to a Mediterranean diet and hip fracture risk is mediated by incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and body mass index (BMI).<br/><br/>Methods<br/>We included 50 755 men and women from the Cohort of Swedish Men and the Swedish Mammography Cohort who answered lifestyle and medical questionnaires in 1997 and 2008 (used for calculation of the Mediterranean diet score 9mMED; low, medium, high) and BMI in 1997, and incident T2DM in 1997–2008). The cumulative incidence of hip fracture from the National Patient Register (2009–14) was considered as outcome.<br/><br/>Results<br/>We present conditional odds ratios (OR) 9[95% confidence interval, CI) of hip fracture for medium and high adherence to mMED, compared with low adherence. The total effect ORs were 0.82 (0.71, 0.95) and 0.75 (0.62, 0.91), respectively. The controlled direct effect of mMED on hip fracture (not mediated by T2DM, considering BMI as an exposure-induced confounder), calculated using inverse probability weighting of marginal structural models, rendered ORs of 0.82 (0.72, 0.95) and 0.73 (0.60, 0.88), respectively. The natural direct effect ORs (not mediated by BMI or T2DM, calculated using flexible mediation analysis) were 0.82 (0.71, 0.95) and 0.74(0.61, 0.89), respectively. The path-specific indirect and partial indirect natural effects ORs (through BMI or T2DM) were close to 1.<br/><br/>Conclusions<br/>Mediterranean diet has a direct effect on hip fracture risk via pathways other than through T2DM and BMI. We cannot exclude mediating effects of T2DM or BMI, or that their effects cancel each other out.}},
  author       = {{Mitchell, Adam and Fall, Tove and Melhus, Håkan and Wolk, Alicja and Michaëlsson, Karl and Byberg, Liisa}},
  issn         = {{1464-3685}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{1}},
  pages        = {{234--244}},
  publisher    = {{Oxford University Press}},
  series       = {{International Journal of Epidemiology}},
  title        = {{Is the Effect of Mediterranean Diet on Hip Fracture Mediated through Type 2 Diabetes and Body Mass Index?}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyaa239}},
  doi          = {{10.1093/ije/dyaa239}},
  volume       = {{50}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}