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The inverse association of body mass index with lung cancer : Exploring residual confounding, metabolic aberrations and within-person variability in smoking

Wood, Angela M. ; Jonsson, Håkan ; Nagel, Gabriele ; Häggström, Christel LU ; Manjer, Jonas LU ; Ulmer, Hanno ; Engeland, Anders ; Zitt, Emanuel ; Jochems, Sylvia H.J. LU and Ghaderi, Sara , et al. (2021) In Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers and Prevention 30(8). p.1489-1497
Abstract

Background: The inverse observational association between body mass index (BMI) and lung cancer risk remains unclear. We assessed whether the association is explained by metabolic aberrations, residual confounding, and within-person variability in smoking, and compared against other smoking-related cancers. Methods: We investigated the association between BMI, and its combination with a metabolic score (MS) of mid-blood pressure, glucose, and triglycerides, with lung cancer and other smoking-related cancers in 778,828 individuals. We used Cox regression, adjusted and corrected for within-person variability in smoking (status/pack-years), calculated from 600,201 measurements in 221,958 participants. Results: Over a median follow-up of 20... (More)

Background: The inverse observational association between body mass index (BMI) and lung cancer risk remains unclear. We assessed whether the association is explained by metabolic aberrations, residual confounding, and within-person variability in smoking, and compared against other smoking-related cancers. Methods: We investigated the association between BMI, and its combination with a metabolic score (MS) of mid-blood pressure, glucose, and triglycerides, with lung cancer and other smoking-related cancers in 778,828 individuals. We used Cox regression, adjusted and corrected for within-person variability in smoking (status/pack-years), calculated from 600,201 measurements in 221,958 participants. Results: Over a median follow-up of 20 years, 20,242 smoking-related cancers (6,735 lung cancers) were recorded. Despite adjustment and correction for substantial within-person variability in smoking, BMI remained inversely associated with lung cancer [HR per standard deviation increase, 0.87 (95% confidence interval 0.85–0.89)]. Individuals with BMI less than 25 kg/m2 and high MS had the highest risk [HR 1.52 (1.44–1.60) vs. BMI ≥25 with low MS]. These associations were weaker and nonsignificant among nonsmokers. Similar associations were observed for head and neck cancers and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, whereas for other smoking-related cancers, we generally observed positive associations with BMI. Conclusions: The increased lung cancer risk with low BMI and high MS is unlikely due to residual confounding and within-person variability in smoking. However, similar results for other cancers strongly related to smoking suggest a remaining, unknown, effect of smoking. Impact: Extensive smoking-adjustments may not capture all the effects of smoking on the relationship between obesity-related factors and risk of smoking-related cancers.

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organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
in
Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers and Prevention
volume
30
issue
8
pages
9 pages
publisher
American Association for Cancer Research
external identifiers
  • scopus:85111624918
  • pmid:34162656
ISSN
1055-9965
DOI
10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-21-0058
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
cd0d689b-b1b7-4d1a-96ed-4f19c8b92110
date added to LUP
2021-08-26 15:16:25
date last changed
2024-06-15 15:12:29
@article{cd0d689b-b1b7-4d1a-96ed-4f19c8b92110,
  abstract     = {{<p>Background: The inverse observational association between body mass index (BMI) and lung cancer risk remains unclear. We assessed whether the association is explained by metabolic aberrations, residual confounding, and within-person variability in smoking, and compared against other smoking-related cancers. Methods: We investigated the association between BMI, and its combination with a metabolic score (MS) of mid-blood pressure, glucose, and triglycerides, with lung cancer and other smoking-related cancers in 778,828 individuals. We used Cox regression, adjusted and corrected for within-person variability in smoking (status/pack-years), calculated from 600,201 measurements in 221,958 participants. Results: Over a median follow-up of 20 years, 20,242 smoking-related cancers (6,735 lung cancers) were recorded. Despite adjustment and correction for substantial within-person variability in smoking, BMI remained inversely associated with lung cancer [HR per standard deviation increase, 0.87 (95% confidence interval 0.85–0.89)]. Individuals with BMI less than 25 kg/m<sup>2</sup> and high MS had the highest risk [HR 1.52 (1.44–1.60) vs. BMI ≥25 with low MS]. These associations were weaker and nonsignificant among nonsmokers. Similar associations were observed for head and neck cancers and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, whereas for other smoking-related cancers, we generally observed positive associations with BMI. Conclusions: The increased lung cancer risk with low BMI and high MS is unlikely due to residual confounding and within-person variability in smoking. However, similar results for other cancers strongly related to smoking suggest a remaining, unknown, effect of smoking. Impact: Extensive smoking-adjustments may not capture all the effects of smoking on the relationship between obesity-related factors and risk of smoking-related cancers.</p>}},
  author       = {{Wood, Angela M. and Jonsson, Håkan and Nagel, Gabriele and Häggström, Christel and Manjer, Jonas and Ulmer, Hanno and Engeland, Anders and Zitt, Emanuel and Jochems, Sylvia H.J. and Ghaderi, Sara and Stattin, Pär and Bjørge, Tone and Stocks, Tanja}},
  issn         = {{1055-9965}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{8}},
  pages        = {{1489--1497}},
  publisher    = {{American Association for Cancer Research}},
  series       = {{Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers and Prevention}},
  title        = {{The inverse association of body mass index with lung cancer : Exploring residual confounding, metabolic aberrations and within-person variability in smoking}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-21-0058}},
  doi          = {{10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-21-0058}},
  volume       = {{30}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}