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Anticipating drought-related food security changes

Krishnamurthy, Krishna ; Fisher, Joshua B. ; Choularton, Richard LU orcid and Kareiva, Peter M. (2022) In Nature Sustainability p.956-964
Abstract
Food insecurity early warning can provide time to mitigate unfolding crises; however, drought remains a large source of uncertainty. The challenge is to filter unclear or conflicting signals from various climatic and socio-economic variables and link them to food security outcomes. Integrating lag-1 autocorrelation diagnostics into remotely sensed observations from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission and food prices, we found a dramatic improvement in anticipating the timing and intensity of food crises, except in conflict settings.
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; and
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
early warning, Food Crisis
in
Nature Sustainability
pages
12 pages
publisher
Nature Publishing Group
external identifiers
  • scopus:85139189944
ISSN
2398-9629
DOI
10.1038/s41893-022-00962-0
language
English
LU publication?
no
id
d3060cf1-b45e-4978-8996-ee1fdf825208
date added to LUP
2022-11-30 16:53:19
date last changed
2023-09-20 15:11:30
@article{d3060cf1-b45e-4978-8996-ee1fdf825208,
  abstract     = {{Food insecurity early warning can provide time to mitigate unfolding crises; however, drought remains a large source of uncertainty. The challenge is to filter unclear or conflicting signals from various climatic and socio-economic variables and link them to food security outcomes. Integrating lag-1 autocorrelation diagnostics into remotely sensed observations from the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission and food prices, we found a dramatic improvement in anticipating the timing and intensity of food crises, except in conflict settings.}},
  author       = {{Krishnamurthy, Krishna and Fisher, Joshua B. and Choularton, Richard and Kareiva, Peter M.}},
  issn         = {{2398-9629}},
  keywords     = {{early warning; Food Crisis}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  month        = {{09}},
  pages        = {{956--964}},
  publisher    = {{Nature Publishing Group}},
  series       = {{Nature Sustainability}},
  title        = {{Anticipating drought-related food security changes}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00962-0}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s41893-022-00962-0}},
  year         = {{2022}},
}