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What is the substitution effect of e-bikes? A randomised controlled trial

Söderberg, Alfred LU ; Winslott Hiselius, Lena LU and Adell, Emeli (2021) In Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 90.
Abstract
As sales of e-bikes increase, so does the need for reliable evaluations of which means of transport the e-bike replaces, what we call the substitution effect. A randomised controlled trial with GPS data from 98 frequent drivers in Sweden was conducted to investigate the effect of the e-bike on modal choice, the number of trips, distance, as well as perceptions of the e-bike as a substitute for the car. The results demonstrate that the treatment group increased cycling on average with 1 trip and 6.5 km per day and person, which led to a 25% increase in total cycling. The whole increase was at the expense of car use, which on average decreased by 1 trip and 14 km per person and day, a decrease in car mileage of 37%. Implications for policy... (More)
As sales of e-bikes increase, so does the need for reliable evaluations of which means of transport the e-bike replaces, what we call the substitution effect. A randomised controlled trial with GPS data from 98 frequent drivers in Sweden was conducted to investigate the effect of the e-bike on modal choice, the number of trips, distance, as well as perceptions of the e-bike as a substitute for the car. The results demonstrate that the treatment group increased cycling on average with 1 trip and 6.5 km per day and person, which led to a 25% increase in total cycling. The whole increase was at the expense of car use, which on average decreased by 1 trip and 14 km per person and day, a decrease in car mileage of 37%. Implications for policy and further research are discussed. (Less)
Abstract (Swedish)
As sales of e-bikes increase, so does the need for reliable evaluations of which means of transport the e-bike replaces, what we call the substitution effect. A randomised controlled trial with GPS data from 98 frequent drivers in Sweden was conducted to investigate the effect of the e-bike on modal choice, the number of trips, distance, as well as perceptions of the e-bike as a substitute for the car. The results demonstrate that the treatment group increased cycling on average with 1 trip and 6.5 km per day and person, which led to a 25% increase in total cycling. The whole increase was at the expense of car use, which on average decreased by 1 trip and 14 km per person and day, a decrease in car mileage of 37%. Implications for policy... (More)
As sales of e-bikes increase, so does the need for reliable evaluations of which means of transport the e-bike replaces, what we call the substitution effect. A randomised controlled trial with GPS data from 98 frequent drivers in Sweden was conducted to investigate the effect of the e-bike on modal choice, the number of trips, distance, as well as perceptions of the e-bike as a substitute for the car. The results demonstrate that the treatment group increased cycling on average with 1 trip and 6.5 km per day and person, which led to a 25% increase in total cycling. The whole increase was at the expense of car use, which on average decreased by 1 trip and 14 km per person and day, a decrease in car mileage of 37%. Implications for policy and further research are discussed. (Less)
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author
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organization
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type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
E-bike, Substitution effect, Modal shift, Randomised controlled trial, TravelVu, Modal shift, TravelVu, Randomised controlled trial, E-bike, Substitution effect
in
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment
volume
90
pages
11 pages
publisher
Elsevier
external identifiers
  • scopus:85098457192
ISSN
1361-9209
DOI
10.1016/j.trd.2020.102648
project
Soft measures to shift modality
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
d45a22e4-677c-476c-8564-29f748f107cb
date added to LUP
2020-12-30 09:18:47
date last changed
2022-04-26 22:52:50
@article{d45a22e4-677c-476c-8564-29f748f107cb,
  abstract     = {{As sales of e-bikes increase, so does the need for reliable evaluations of which means of transport the e-bike replaces, what we call the substitution effect. A randomised controlled trial with GPS data from 98 frequent drivers in Sweden was conducted to investigate the effect of the e-bike on modal choice, the number of trips, distance, as well as perceptions of the e-bike as a substitute for the car. The results demonstrate that the treatment group increased cycling on average with 1 trip and 6.5 km per day and person, which led to a 25% increase in total cycling. The whole increase was at the expense of car use, which on average decreased by 1 trip and 14 km per person and day, a decrease in car mileage of 37%. Implications for policy and further research are discussed.}},
  author       = {{Söderberg, Alfred and Winslott Hiselius, Lena and Adell, Emeli}},
  issn         = {{1361-9209}},
  keywords     = {{E-bike; Substitution effect; Modal shift; Randomised controlled trial; TravelVu; Modal shift; TravelVu; Randomised controlled trial; E-bike; Substitution effect}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Elsevier}},
  series       = {{Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment}},
  title        = {{What is the substitution effect of e-bikes? A randomised controlled trial}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2020.102648}},
  doi          = {{10.1016/j.trd.2020.102648}},
  volume       = {{90}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}