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Modeling and mapping dynamic vulnerability to better assess WUI evacuation performance

Gwynne, Steve ; Ronchi, Enrico LU orcid ; Bénichou, Noureddine ; Kinateder, Max ; Kuligowski, Erica ; Gomaa, Islam and Adelzadeh, Masoud (2019) In Fire and Materials 43(6). p.644-660
Abstract

Wildland-urban interface (WUI) fire incidents are likely to become more severe and will affect more and more people. Given their scale and complexity, WUI incidents require a multidomain approach to assess their impact and the effectiveness of any mitigation efforts. The authors recently produced a specification for a simulation framework that quantifies evacuation performance during WUI incidents including inputs from three core domains: fire development, pedestrian performance and vehicular traffic [26]. This framework could produce new insights by simulating evolving conditions of WUI incidents based on developments and interactions between the core components. Thus, it aims to overcome known limitations of previous approaches (eg,... (More)

Wildland-urban interface (WUI) fire incidents are likely to become more severe and will affect more and more people. Given their scale and complexity, WUI incidents require a multidomain approach to assess their impact and the effectiveness of any mitigation efforts. The authors recently produced a specification for a simulation framework that quantifies evacuation performance during WUI incidents including inputs from three core domains: fire development, pedestrian performance and vehicular traffic [26]. This framework could produce new insights by simulating evolving conditions of WUI incidents based on developments and interactions between the core components. Thus, it aims to overcome known limitations of previous approaches (eg, static assessment, single domain approaches, or lack of projection), as well as to provide explanatory insights into the outcomes produced by the simulation. The proposed framework would also advance geo-spatial mapping of WUI incidents. The concept of dynamic vulnerability, (Formula presented.), is at the core of the framework and is enabled by the integrated simulation framework and the emergent conditions predicted. This allows users to construct richer incident narratives from the perspective of specific locations or subpopulations, and also makes fewer simplifying assumptions regarding interactions between the three core domains.

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Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
dynamic vulnerability, evacuation, simulation, wildland-urban interface, WUI Fire
in
Fire and Materials
volume
43
issue
6
pages
644 - 660
publisher
John Wiley & Sons Inc.
external identifiers
  • scopus:85065224581
ISSN
0308-0501
DOI
10.1002/fam.2708
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
e7547525-4cbc-4e78-b7e2-5cf76f039641
date added to LUP
2019-05-24 12:56:32
date last changed
2022-07-15 14:56:42
@article{e7547525-4cbc-4e78-b7e2-5cf76f039641,
  abstract     = {{<p>Wildland-urban interface (WUI) fire incidents are likely to become more severe and will affect more and more people. Given their scale and complexity, WUI incidents require a multidomain approach to assess their impact and the effectiveness of any mitigation efforts. The authors recently produced a specification for a simulation framework that quantifies evacuation performance during WUI incidents including inputs from three core domains: fire development, pedestrian performance and vehicular traffic [26]. This framework could produce new insights by simulating evolving conditions of WUI incidents based on developments and interactions between the core components. Thus, it aims to overcome known limitations of previous approaches (eg, static assessment, single domain approaches, or lack of projection), as well as to provide explanatory insights into the outcomes produced by the simulation. The proposed framework would also advance geo-spatial mapping of WUI incidents. The concept of dynamic vulnerability, (Formula presented.), is at the core of the framework and is enabled by the integrated simulation framework and the emergent conditions predicted. This allows users to construct richer incident narratives from the perspective of specific locations or subpopulations, and also makes fewer simplifying assumptions regarding interactions between the three core domains.</p>}},
  author       = {{Gwynne, Steve and Ronchi, Enrico and Bénichou, Noureddine and Kinateder, Max and Kuligowski, Erica and Gomaa, Islam and Adelzadeh, Masoud}},
  issn         = {{0308-0501}},
  keywords     = {{dynamic vulnerability; evacuation; simulation; wildland-urban interface; WUI Fire}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{6}},
  pages        = {{644--660}},
  publisher    = {{John Wiley & Sons Inc.}},
  series       = {{Fire and Materials}},
  title        = {{Modeling and mapping dynamic vulnerability to better assess WUI evacuation performance}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/fam.2708}},
  doi          = {{10.1002/fam.2708}},
  volume       = {{43}},
  year         = {{2019}},
}