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Developing Rainfall Spatial Distribution for Using Geostatistical Gap-Filled Terrestrial Gauge Records in the Mountainous Region of Oman

El-Basir, Mahmoud A.Abd ; Hamed, Yasser ; Selim, Tarek ; Berndtsson, Ronny LU orcid and Helmi, Ahmed M. (2025) In Water (Switzerland) 17(18).
Abstract

Arid mountainous regions are vulnerable to extreme hydrological events such as floods and droughts. Providing accurate and continuous rainfall records with no gaps is crucial for effective flood mitigation and water resource management in these and downstream areas. Satellite data and geospatial interpolation can be employed for this purpose and to provide continuous data series. However, it is essential to thoroughly assess these methods to avoid an increase in errors and uncertainties in the design of flood protection and water resource management systems. The current study focuses on the mountainous region in northern Oman, which covers approximately 50,000 square kilometers, accounting for 16% of Oman’s total area. The study... (More)

Arid mountainous regions are vulnerable to extreme hydrological events such as floods and droughts. Providing accurate and continuous rainfall records with no gaps is crucial for effective flood mitigation and water resource management in these and downstream areas. Satellite data and geospatial interpolation can be employed for this purpose and to provide continuous data series. However, it is essential to thoroughly assess these methods to avoid an increase in errors and uncertainties in the design of flood protection and water resource management systems. The current study focuses on the mountainous region in northern Oman, which covers approximately 50,000 square kilometers, accounting for 16% of Oman’s total area. The study utilizes data from 279 rain gauges spanning from 1975 to 2009, with varying annual data gaps. Due to the limited accuracy of satellite data in arid and mountainous regions, 51 geospatial interpolations were used to fill data gaps to yield maximum annual and total yearly precipitation data records. The root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (R) were used to assess the most suitable geospatial interpolation technique. The selected geospatial interpolation technique was utilized to generate the spatial distribution of annual maxima and total yearly precipitation over the study area for the period from 1975 to 2009. Furthermore, gamma, normal, and extreme value families of probability density functions (PDFs) were evaluated to fit the rain gauge gap-filled datasets. Finally, maximum annual precipitation values for return periods of 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years were generated for each rain gauge. The results show that the geostatistical interpolation techniques outperformed the deterministic interpolation techniques in generating the spatial distribution of maximum and total yearly records over the study area.

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author
; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
published
subject
keywords
arid region, data gaps, extreme value, frequency analysis, gamma distribution, geospatial interpolation, kriging, normal distribution
in
Water (Switzerland)
volume
17
issue
18
article number
2695
publisher
MDPI AG
external identifiers
  • scopus:105017371417
ISSN
2073-4441
DOI
10.3390/w17182695
language
English
LU publication?
yes
additional info
Publisher Copyright: © 2025 by the authors.
id
e9b13f73-12b9-43f4-918a-20f4116289df
date added to LUP
2025-10-14 08:56:34
date last changed
2025-10-16 09:44:55
@article{e9b13f73-12b9-43f4-918a-20f4116289df,
  abstract     = {{<p>Arid mountainous regions are vulnerable to extreme hydrological events such as floods and droughts. Providing accurate and continuous rainfall records with no gaps is crucial for effective flood mitigation and water resource management in these and downstream areas. Satellite data and geospatial interpolation can be employed for this purpose and to provide continuous data series. However, it is essential to thoroughly assess these methods to avoid an increase in errors and uncertainties in the design of flood protection and water resource management systems. The current study focuses on the mountainous region in northern Oman, which covers approximately 50,000 square kilometers, accounting for 16% of Oman’s total area. The study utilizes data from 279 rain gauges spanning from 1975 to 2009, with varying annual data gaps. Due to the limited accuracy of satellite data in arid and mountainous regions, 51 geospatial interpolations were used to fill data gaps to yield maximum annual and total yearly precipitation data records. The root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (R) were used to assess the most suitable geospatial interpolation technique. The selected geospatial interpolation technique was utilized to generate the spatial distribution of annual maxima and total yearly precipitation over the study area for the period from 1975 to 2009. Furthermore, gamma, normal, and extreme value families of probability density functions (PDFs) were evaluated to fit the rain gauge gap-filled datasets. Finally, maximum annual precipitation values for return periods of 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years were generated for each rain gauge. The results show that the geostatistical interpolation techniques outperformed the deterministic interpolation techniques in generating the spatial distribution of maximum and total yearly records over the study area.</p>}},
  author       = {{El-Basir, Mahmoud A.Abd and Hamed, Yasser and Selim, Tarek and Berndtsson, Ronny and Helmi, Ahmed M.}},
  issn         = {{2073-4441}},
  keywords     = {{arid region; data gaps; extreme value; frequency analysis; gamma distribution; geospatial interpolation; kriging; normal distribution}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{18}},
  publisher    = {{MDPI AG}},
  series       = {{Water (Switzerland)}},
  title        = {{Developing Rainfall Spatial Distribution for Using Geostatistical Gap-Filled Terrestrial Gauge Records in the Mountainous Region of Oman}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/w17182695}},
  doi          = {{10.3390/w17182695}},
  volume       = {{17}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}