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Monte Carlo Filtering Objectives

Chen, Shuangshuang ; Ding, Sihao ; Karayiannidis, Yiannis LU orcid and Björkman, Mårten (2021) the 30th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-21) p.2256-2262
Abstract
Learning generative models and inferring latent trajectories have shown to be challenging for time series due to the intractable marginal likelihoods of flexible generative models. It can be addressed by surrogate objectives for optimization. We propose Monte Carlo filtering objectives (MCFOs), a family of variational objectives for jointly learning parametric generative models and amortized adaptive importance proposals of time series. MCFOs extend the choices of likelihood estimators beyond Sequential Monte Carlo in state-of-the-art objectives, possess important properties revealing the factors for the tightness of objectives, and allow for less biased and variant gradient estimates. We demonstrate that the proposed MCFOs and gradient... (More)
Learning generative models and inferring latent trajectories have shown to be challenging for time series due to the intractable marginal likelihoods of flexible generative models. It can be addressed by surrogate objectives for optimization. We propose Monte Carlo filtering objectives (MCFOs), a family of variational objectives for jointly learning parametric generative models and amortized adaptive importance proposals of time series. MCFOs extend the choices of likelihood estimators beyond Sequential Monte Carlo in state-of-the-art objectives, possess important properties revealing the factors for the tightness of objectives, and allow for less biased and variant gradient estimates. We demonstrate that the proposed MCFOs and gradient estimations lead to efficient and stable model learning, and learned generative models well explain data and importance proposals are more sample efficient on various kinds of time series data. (Less)
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author
; ; and
publishing date
type
Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding
publication status
published
subject
host publication
IJCAI International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence
pages
7 pages
conference name
the 30th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-21)
conference dates
2021-08-19 - 2021-08-26
external identifiers
  • scopus:85125449391
language
English
LU publication?
no
additional info
Part of proceedings: ISBN 978-0-9992411-9-6QC 20220816
id
f75f17ae-5235-4692-9d5b-6cbe70346e1b
alternative location
https://www.ijcai.org/proceedings/2021/0311.pdf
date added to LUP
2022-12-14 15:08:01
date last changed
2024-01-30 00:01:54
@inproceedings{f75f17ae-5235-4692-9d5b-6cbe70346e1b,
  abstract     = {{Learning generative models and inferring latent trajectories have shown to be challenging for time series due to the intractable marginal likelihoods of flexible generative models. It can be addressed by surrogate objectives for optimization. We propose Monte Carlo filtering objectives (MCFOs), a family of variational objectives for jointly learning parametric generative models and amortized adaptive importance proposals of time series. MCFOs extend the choices of likelihood estimators beyond Sequential Monte Carlo in state-of-the-art objectives, possess important properties revealing the factors for the tightness of objectives, and allow for less biased and variant gradient estimates. We demonstrate that the proposed MCFOs and gradient estimations lead to efficient and stable model learning, and learned generative models well explain data and importance proposals are more sample efficient on various kinds of time series data.}},
  author       = {{Chen, Shuangshuang and Ding, Sihao and Karayiannidis, Yiannis and Björkman, Mårten}},
  booktitle    = {{IJCAI International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  pages        = {{2256--2262}},
  title        = {{Monte Carlo Filtering Objectives}},
  url          = {{https://www.ijcai.org/proceedings/2021/0311.pdf}},
  year         = {{2021}},
}