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Artificial intelligence, hiring and employment : job postings evidence from Sweden

Engberg, Erik ; Hellsten, Mark ; Javed, Farrukh LU ; Lodefalk, Magnus LU ; Sabolová, Radka ; Schroeder, Sarah and Tang, Aili (2025) In Applied Economics Letters
Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on hiring and employment, using the universe of job postings published by the Swedish Public Employment Service from 2014 to 2022 and full-population administrative data for Sweden. We exploit a detailed measure of AI exposure according to occupational content and find that establishments exposed to AI are more likely to hire AI workers. Survey data further indicate that AI exposure aligns with greater use of AI services. Importantly, rather than displacing non-AI workers, AI exposure is positively associated with increased hiring for both AI and non-AI roles. In the absence of substantial productivity gains that might account for this increase, we interpret the positive... (More)

This paper investigates the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on hiring and employment, using the universe of job postings published by the Swedish Public Employment Service from 2014 to 2022 and full-population administrative data for Sweden. We exploit a detailed measure of AI exposure according to occupational content and find that establishments exposed to AI are more likely to hire AI workers. Survey data further indicate that AI exposure aligns with greater use of AI services. Importantly, rather than displacing non-AI workers, AI exposure is positively associated with increased hiring for both AI and non-AI roles. In the absence of substantial productivity gains that might account for this increase, we interpret the positive link between AI exposure and non-AI hiring as evidence that establishments are using AI to augment existing roles and expand task capabilities, rather than to replace non-AI workers.

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author
; ; ; ; ; and
organization
publishing date
type
Contribution to journal
publication status
epub
subject
keywords
Artificial intelligence, automation, labour demand, technological change
in
Applied Economics Letters
publisher
Routledge
external identifiers
  • scopus:105004803183
ISSN
1350-4851
DOI
10.1080/13504851.2025.2497431
language
English
LU publication?
yes
id
f9770a6c-481f-4c5d-b18e-5aa39dd6b50f
date added to LUP
2025-09-18 13:31:09
date last changed
2025-10-14 09:39:14
@article{f9770a6c-481f-4c5d-b18e-5aa39dd6b50f,
  abstract     = {{<p>This paper investigates the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on hiring and employment, using the universe of job postings published by the Swedish Public Employment Service from 2014 to 2022 and full-population administrative data for Sweden. We exploit a detailed measure of AI exposure according to occupational content and find that establishments exposed to AI are more likely to hire AI workers. Survey data further indicate that AI exposure aligns with greater use of AI services. Importantly, rather than displacing non-AI workers, AI exposure is positively associated with increased hiring for both AI and non-AI roles. In the absence of substantial productivity gains that might account for this increase, we interpret the positive link between AI exposure and non-AI hiring as evidence that establishments are using AI to augment existing roles and expand task capabilities, rather than to replace non-AI workers.</p>}},
  author       = {{Engberg, Erik and Hellsten, Mark and Javed, Farrukh and Lodefalk, Magnus and Sabolová, Radka and Schroeder, Sarah and Tang, Aili}},
  issn         = {{1350-4851}},
  keywords     = {{Artificial intelligence; automation; labour demand; technological change}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  publisher    = {{Routledge}},
  series       = {{Applied Economics Letters}},
  title        = {{Artificial intelligence, hiring and employment : job postings evidence from Sweden}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2025.2497431}},
  doi          = {{10.1080/13504851.2025.2497431}},
  year         = {{2025}},
}