Public Policy Decision-Aiding: An instructive case study in simplified Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis as an impact assessment toolPublic Policy Decision-Aiding An instructive case study in simplified Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis as an impact assessment tool
(2026) EKHS22 20261Department of Economic History
- Abstract
- This thesis examines whether, and in what ways, simplified Multi-Criteria Decision
Analysis (MCDA) can support ex-ante impact assessment in a public policy
context. Using the Lynetteholmen construction project as an instrumental case, the
study combines existing impact assessments, including environmental reports and
cost–benefit analyses, into a unified assessment framework that evaluates
Lynetteholmen against a base scenario.
The framework is applied in conjunction with a range of weighting schemes to
explore the underlying priorities required for the project to be recommended over
the base scenario. Sensitivity analysis is conducted through both manual variation
of key inputs and Monte Carlo simulation.
The findings... (More) - This thesis examines whether, and in what ways, simplified Multi-Criteria Decision
Analysis (MCDA) can support ex-ante impact assessment in a public policy
context. Using the Lynetteholmen construction project as an instrumental case, the
study combines existing impact assessments, including environmental reports and
cost–benefit analyses, into a unified assessment framework that evaluates
Lynetteholmen against a base scenario.
The framework is applied in conjunction with a range of weighting schemes to
explore the underlying priorities required for the project to be recommended over
the base scenario. Sensitivity analysis is conducted through both manual variation
of key inputs and Monte Carlo simulation.
The findings indicate that simplified MCDA has considerable potential as a means
of integrating existing impact assessments, enhancing transparency, and clarifying
the assumptions underpinning policy recommendations. These findings challenge
the methodological predominance of Cost–Benefit Analysis as the default appraisal
framework for public policy. Overall, the results suggest that embedding MCDA
within established impact assessment practices could contribute to more rigorous,
transparent, and well-founded decision-making in the public policy domain. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/record/9224153
- author
- Ford Holmberg, Johannes LU
- supervisor
- organization
- course
- EKHS22 20261
- year
- 2026
- type
- H1 - Master's Degree (One Year)
- subject
- keywords
- Cost-Benefit Analysis, Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, Public Policy, Decision Aiding, Public Investment, Lynetteholmen
- language
- English
- id
- 9224153
- date added to LUP
- 2026-09-07 13:51:54
- date last changed
- 2026-09-07 13:51:54
@misc{9224153,
abstract = {{This thesis examines whether, and in what ways, simplified Multi-Criteria Decision
Analysis (MCDA) can support ex-ante impact assessment in a public policy
context. Using the Lynetteholmen construction project as an instrumental case, the
study combines existing impact assessments, including environmental reports and
cost–benefit analyses, into a unified assessment framework that evaluates
Lynetteholmen against a base scenario.
The framework is applied in conjunction with a range of weighting schemes to
explore the underlying priorities required for the project to be recommended over
the base scenario. Sensitivity analysis is conducted through both manual variation
of key inputs and Monte Carlo simulation.
The findings indicate that simplified MCDA has considerable potential as a means
of integrating existing impact assessments, enhancing transparency, and clarifying
the assumptions underpinning policy recommendations. These findings challenge
the methodological predominance of Cost–Benefit Analysis as the default appraisal
framework for public policy. Overall, the results suggest that embedding MCDA
within established impact assessment practices could contribute to more rigorous,
transparent, and well-founded decision-making in the public policy domain.}},
author = {{Ford Holmberg, Johannes}},
language = {{eng}},
note = {{Student Paper}},
title = {{Public Policy Decision-Aiding: An instructive case study in simplified Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis as an impact assessment toolPublic Policy Decision-Aiding An instructive case study in simplified Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis as an impact assessment tool}},
year = {{2026}},
}