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Fertility Intentions Among Immigrants and Non-Immigrants in France: A Quantitative Study Focusing on Gender and Gender Equality Values

Mitola, Valentina Gioia LU (2026) SIMZ51 20261
Master of Science in Social Scientific Data Analysis
Abstract
Fertility in France has been rapidly declining in the last years, moving far from replacement levels despite the country’s historically high fertility and family-support policies. Using data from the second round Wave 1 of the French Generations and Gender Survey and building on the Second Demographic Transition theory (Lesthaeghe and van de Kaa, 1986), according to which population decline needs to be compensated with migration, this study examines the fertility intentions of immigrants and non-immigrants in France and how individual level factors are associated with them. Six nested binary logistic regression models and a separate model, run on the immigrant sub-sample only, tested individual-level factors in association with fertility... (More)
Fertility in France has been rapidly declining in the last years, moving far from replacement levels despite the country’s historically high fertility and family-support policies. Using data from the second round Wave 1 of the French Generations and Gender Survey and building on the Second Demographic Transition theory (Lesthaeghe and van de Kaa, 1986), according to which population decline needs to be compensated with migration, this study examines the fertility intentions of immigrants and non-immigrants in France and how individual level factors are associated with them. Six nested binary logistic regression models and a separate model, run on the immigrant sub-sample only, tested individual-level factors in association with fertility intentions, grounding in Ajzen’s (1991) theory of Planned Behaviour, McDonald’s (2000) Gender Equity theory, Goldscheider et al.’s (2015) Gender Revolution Framework and migration’s adaptation and socialization hypotheses. Results show gender equality values as significantly associated with fertility intentions, but strongly gendered towards men, rather than acting uniformly among all groups. Additionally, fertility intention significantly depends on the region of birth, with respondents from high fertility countries showing much higher intentions than French-born respondents. This study demonstrates how individual-level factors and specifically gender egalitarian values and region of origin, operate heterogeneously among the population, with implications for future family policies. (Less)
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author
Mitola, Valentina Gioia LU
supervisor
organization
course
SIMZ51 20261
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
Fertility Intentions, France, Gender Equality, Migration, Generations and Gender Survey, Second Demographic Transition, Theory of Planned Behaviour, Gender Equity Theory, Gender Revolution, Adaptation, Socialization.
language
English
id
9250045
date added to LUP
2026-09-07 16:18:19
date last changed
2026-09-07 16:18:19
@misc{9250045,
  abstract     = {{Fertility in France has been rapidly declining in the last years, moving far from replacement levels despite the country’s historically high fertility and family-support policies. Using data from the second round Wave 1 of the French Generations and Gender Survey and building on the Second Demographic Transition theory (Lesthaeghe and van de Kaa, 1986), according to which population decline needs to be compensated with migration, this study examines the fertility intentions of immigrants and non-immigrants in France and how individual level factors are associated with them. Six nested binary logistic regression models and a separate model, run on the immigrant sub-sample only, tested individual-level factors in association with fertility intentions, grounding in Ajzen’s (1991) theory of Planned Behaviour, McDonald’s (2000) Gender Equity theory, Goldscheider et al.’s (2015) Gender Revolution Framework and migration’s adaptation and socialization hypotheses. Results show gender equality values as significantly associated with fertility intentions, but strongly gendered towards men, rather than acting uniformly among all groups. Additionally, fertility intention significantly depends on the region of birth, with respondents from high fertility countries showing much higher intentions than French-born respondents. This study demonstrates how individual-level factors and specifically gender egalitarian values and region of origin, operate heterogeneously among the population, with implications for future family policies.}},
  author       = {{Mitola, Valentina Gioia}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Fertility Intentions Among Immigrants and Non-Immigrants in France: A Quantitative Study Focusing on Gender and Gender Equality Values}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}