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Climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing in California : Adaptability of California’s high-elevation hydropower system to climate change considering simultaneously warming effects on energy supply and demand

Guégan, Marion LU (2010) In TVVR10/5007 VVR820 20101
Division of Water Resources Engineering
Abstract
High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California’s high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using... (More)
High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California’s high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. California’s Energy-Based Hydropower Optimization Model (EBHOM) is then applied to estimate the adaptability of California’s high-elevation hydropower system to climate warming considering simultaneous changes in supply, demand and pricing. The model is run for dry and wet warming scenarios, representing a range of hydrological changes under climate change. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
author
Guégan, Marion LU
supervisor
organization
course
VVR820 20101
year
type
H2 - Master's Degree (Two Years)
subject
keywords
Energy Demand and Pricing, California, Climate Change, Hydropower, Artificial Neural Network, Electricity Generation
publication/series
TVVR10/5007
report number
10/5007
ISSN
1101-9824
language
English
additional info
Examiner: Rolf Larsson
id
1718168
date added to LUP
2010-11-18 09:21:59
date last changed
2019-03-27 11:19:27
@misc{1718168,
  abstract     = {High-elevation hydropower units in California might be sensitive to climate warming since they have been designed to take advantage of snowmelt and have low built-in storage capacities. Snowmelt is expected to shift to earlier in the year and the system might not be able to store sufficient water for release in high-electricity-demanding periods. Previous studies have tried to explore the climate warming effects on California’s high-elevation hydropower system by focusing on the supply side only (exploring the effects of hydrological changes on generation and revenues). This study extends the previous work by also considering climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing. A long-term price forecasting tool is developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. California’s Energy-Based Hydropower Optimization Model (EBHOM) is then applied to estimate the adaptability of California’s high-elevation hydropower system to climate warming considering simultaneous changes in supply, demand and pricing. The model is run for dry and wet warming scenarios, representing a range of hydrological changes under climate change.},
  author       = {Guégan, Marion},
  issn         = {1101-9824},
  keyword      = {Energy Demand and Pricing,California,Climate Change,Hydropower,Artificial Neural Network,Electricity Generation},
  language     = {eng},
  note         = {Student Paper},
  series       = {TVVR10/5007},
  title        = {Climate warming effects on hydropower demand and pricing in California : Adaptability of California’s high-elevation hydropower system to climate change considering simultaneously warming effects on energy supply and demand},
  year         = {2010},
}