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Från insatspris till konsumentpris - En empirisk analys av pristransmission i den svenska livsmedelskedjan under perioden 2015-2024.

Gruvberger, Matilda LU and Edlund Bäckström, Tilde LU (2026) NEKH03 20252
Department of Economics
Abstract
Recent increases in Swedish food prices have raised concerns about how input cost changes are transmitted to consumers. This study examines the extent and timing of price transmission in the Swedish food sector and whether the relationship changed after 2020, a period characterized by major macroeconomic and supply-chain shocks. Using monthly data for 2015-2024, we estimate first-differences panel regressions for three product groups with different production structures and import exposure. Consumer price indices are matched with upstream cost proxies and estimated with contemporaneous and lagged cost changes, macroeconomic controls and interactions capturing post-2020 supply-chain shocks. The results suggest that price transmission is... (More)
Recent increases in Swedish food prices have raised concerns about how input cost changes are transmitted to consumers. This study examines the extent and timing of price transmission in the Swedish food sector and whether the relationship changed after 2020, a period characterized by major macroeconomic and supply-chain shocks. Using monthly data for 2015-2024, we estimate first-differences panel regressions for three product groups with different production structures and import exposure. Consumer price indices are matched with upstream cost proxies and estimated with contemporaneous and lagged cost changes, macroeconomic controls and interactions capturing post-2020 supply-chain shocks. The results suggest that price transmission is heterogeneous across the Swedish food sector, with both its magnitude and timing shaped by supply-chain structure and the extent to which cost proxies capture relevant marginal costs. Given the use of aggregated cost proxies and reduced-form first-difference regressions, results should be interpreted as correlations consistent with price transmission rather than causal estimates. (Less)
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author
Gruvberger, Matilda LU and Edlund Bäckström, Tilde LU
supervisor
organization
course
NEKH03 20252
year
type
M2 - Bachelor Degree
subject
keywords
Price transmission, consumer food prices, supply-chain shocks, Cournot competition, food supply chain
language
Swedish
id
9220458
date added to LUP
2026-02-04 08:25:07
date last changed
2026-02-04 08:25:07
@misc{9220458,
  abstract     = {{Recent increases in Swedish food prices have raised concerns about how input cost changes are transmitted to consumers. This study examines the extent and timing of price transmission in the Swedish food sector and whether the relationship changed after 2020, a period characterized by major macroeconomic and supply-chain shocks. Using monthly data for 2015-2024, we estimate first-differences panel regressions for three product groups with different production structures and import exposure. Consumer price indices are matched with upstream cost proxies and estimated with contemporaneous and lagged cost changes, macroeconomic controls and interactions capturing post-2020 supply-chain shocks. The results suggest that price transmission is heterogeneous across the Swedish food sector, with both its magnitude and timing shaped by supply-chain structure and the extent to which cost proxies capture relevant marginal costs. Given the use of aggregated cost proxies and reduced-form first-difference regressions, results should be interpreted as correlations consistent with price transmission rather than causal estimates.}},
  author       = {{Gruvberger, Matilda and Edlund Bäckström, Tilde}},
  language     = {{swe}},
  note         = {{Student Paper}},
  title        = {{Från insatspris till konsumentpris - En empirisk analys av pristransmission i den svenska livsmedelskedjan under perioden 2015-2024.}},
  year         = {{2026}},
}