Skip to main content

Lund University Publications

LUND UNIVERSITY LIBRARIES

Narrowing uncertainties in the effects of elevated CO2 on crops

Toreti, Andrea ; Deryng, Delphine ; Tubiello, Francesco N. ; Müller, Christoph ; Kimball, Bruce A. ; Moser, Gerald ; Boote, Kenneth ; Asseng, Senthold ; Pugh, Thomas A.M. LU and Vanuytrecht, Eline , et al. (2020) In Nature Food 1(12). p.775-782
Abstract

Plant responses to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, together with projected variations in temperature and precipitation will determine future agricultural production. Estimates of the impacts of climate change on agriculture provide essential information to design effective adaptation strategies, and develop sustainable food systems. Here, we review the current experimental evidence and crop models on the effects of elevated CO2 concentrations. Recent concerted efforts have narrowed the uncertainties in CO2-induced crop responses so that climate change impact simulations omitting CO2 can now be eliminated. To address remaining knowledge gaps and uncertainties in... (More)

Plant responses to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations, together with projected variations in temperature and precipitation will determine future agricultural production. Estimates of the impacts of climate change on agriculture provide essential information to design effective adaptation strategies, and develop sustainable food systems. Here, we review the current experimental evidence and crop models on the effects of elevated CO2 concentrations. Recent concerted efforts have narrowed the uncertainties in CO2-induced crop responses so that climate change impact simulations omitting CO2 can now be eliminated. To address remaining knowledge gaps and uncertainties in estimating the effects of elevated CO2 and climate change on crops, future research should expand experiments on more crop species under a wider range of growing conditions, improve the representation of responses to climate extremes in crop models, and simulate additional crop physiological processes related to nutritional quality.

(Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
@article{7a569914-79c5-43f5-958e-7b18c0234e08,
  abstract     = {{<p>Plant responses to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) concentrations, together with projected variations in temperature and precipitation will determine future agricultural production. Estimates of the impacts of climate change on agriculture provide essential information to design effective adaptation strategies, and develop sustainable food systems. Here, we review the current experimental evidence and crop models on the effects of elevated CO<sub>2</sub> concentrations. Recent concerted efforts have narrowed the uncertainties in CO<sub>2</sub>-induced crop responses so that climate change impact simulations omitting CO<sub>2</sub> can now be eliminated. To address remaining knowledge gaps and uncertainties in estimating the effects of elevated CO<sub>2</sub> and climate change on crops, future research should expand experiments on more crop species under a wider range of growing conditions, improve the representation of responses to climate extremes in crop models, and simulate additional crop physiological processes related to nutritional quality.</p>}},
  author       = {{Toreti, Andrea and Deryng, Delphine and Tubiello, Francesco N. and Müller, Christoph and Kimball, Bruce A. and Moser, Gerald and Boote, Kenneth and Asseng, Senthold and Pugh, Thomas A.M. and Vanuytrecht, Eline and Pleijel, Håkan and Webber, Heidi and Durand, Jean Louis and Dentener, Frank and Ceglar, Andrej and Wang, Xuhui and Badeck, Franz and Lecerf, Remi and Wall, Gerard W. and van den Berg, Maurits and Hoegy, Petra and Lopez-Lozano, Raul and Zampieri, Matteo and Galmarini, Stefano and O’Leary, Garry J. and Manderscheid, Remy and Mencos Contreras, Erik and Rosenzweig, Cynthia}},
  issn         = {{2662-1355}},
  language     = {{eng}},
  number       = {{12}},
  pages        = {{775--782}},
  publisher    = {{Springer Nature}},
  series       = {{Nature Food}},
  title        = {{Narrowing uncertainties in the effects of elevated CO<sub>2</sub> on crops}},
  url          = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43016-020-00195-4}},
  doi          = {{10.1038/s43016-020-00195-4}},
  volume       = {{1}},
  year         = {{2020}},
}