Climate, peace, and conflict—past and present: Bridging insights from historical sciences and contemporary research
(2025) In Ambio 54. p.774-792- Abstract
- Concern has risen that current global warming and more frequent extreme events such as droughts and floods will increase conflict around the world. This concern has spurred both social science research on contemporary climate, peace, and conflict as well as research in the historical sciences on past climate, weather, warfare, and violence. This perspectives article compares these two fields of scholarship and examines how each may benefit the other. It finds significant convergences in methods and insights across contemporary and historical research as well as persistent patterns in causal pathways between climate and conflict. Contemporary climate, peace, and conflict (CPC) research may sharpen methods and causal models for historical... (More)
- Concern has risen that current global warming and more frequent extreme events such as droughts and floods will increase conflict around the world. This concern has spurred both social science research on contemporary climate, peace, and conflict as well as research in the historical sciences on past climate, weather, warfare, and violence. This perspectives article compares these two fields of scholarship and examines how each may benefit the other. It finds significant convergences in methods and insights across contemporary and historical research as well as persistent patterns in causal pathways between climate and conflict. Contemporary climate, peace, and conflict (CPC) research may sharpen methods and causal models for historical researchers. Historical studies, particularly those informed by contemporary research, may elucidate deep origins and long-term effects of climate-related conflicts. For policymakers and the public, history offers comprehensible ways to make sense of complex and contingent linkages and to construct cogent narratives of the past as well as storylines for the future. (Less)
Please use this url to cite or link to this publication:
https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/b073c831-7b13-4bf3-b4e6-1d644d5816f0
- author
- White, Sam
; Collet, Dominik
; Alcoberro, Agustí
; Barriendos, Mariano
; Brázdil, Rudolf
; Castell, Pau
; Chen, Siyu
; de Coning, Cedric
; Degroot, Dagomar
; Dolák, Lukáš
; Döring, Stefan
; Gorostiza, Santiago
LU
; Kleemann, Katrin
; Krampe, Florian
LU
; Lin, Kuan-Hui
; Maughan, Nicolas
; Melo, Natália
; Molloy, Barry
; Ogilvie, Astrid E. J.
; Pai, Piling
; Pei, Qing
; Pfister, Christian
; Serafimova, Silviya
and Zhang, Diyang
(Less) - organization
- publishing date
- 2025-02-04
- type
- Contribution to journal
- publication status
- published
- subject
- keywords
- Archaeology, Climate change, Conflict, History, Peace, Science communication
- in
- Ambio
- volume
- 54
- pages
- 19 pages
- publisher
- Springer Science and Business Media B.V.
- external identifiers
-
- pmid:39903377
- scopus:85218850098
- ISSN
- 0044-7447
- DOI
- 10.1007/s13280-024-02109-1
- language
- English
- LU publication?
- yes
- additional info
- Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s) 2025.
- id
- b073c831-7b13-4bf3-b4e6-1d644d5816f0
- date added to LUP
- 2025-06-12 13:47:17
- date last changed
- 2025-06-25 03:38:05
@article{b073c831-7b13-4bf3-b4e6-1d644d5816f0,
abstract = {{Concern has risen that current global warming and more frequent extreme events such as droughts and floods will increase conflict around the world. This concern has spurred both social science research on contemporary climate, peace, and conflict as well as research in the historical sciences on past climate, weather, warfare, and violence. This perspectives article compares these two fields of scholarship and examines how each may benefit the other. It finds significant convergences in methods and insights across contemporary and historical research as well as persistent patterns in causal pathways between climate and conflict. Contemporary climate, peace, and conflict (CPC) research may sharpen methods and causal models for historical researchers. Historical studies, particularly those informed by contemporary research, may elucidate deep origins and long-term effects of climate-related conflicts. For policymakers and the public, history offers comprehensible ways to make sense of complex and contingent linkages and to construct cogent narratives of the past as well as storylines for the future.}},
author = {{White, Sam and Collet, Dominik and Alcoberro, Agustí and Barriendos, Mariano and Brázdil, Rudolf and Castell, Pau and Chen, Siyu and de Coning, Cedric and Degroot, Dagomar and Dolák, Lukáš and Döring, Stefan and Gorostiza, Santiago and Kleemann, Katrin and Krampe, Florian and Lin, Kuan-Hui and Maughan, Nicolas and Melo, Natália and Molloy, Barry and Ogilvie, Astrid E. J. and Pai, Piling and Pei, Qing and Pfister, Christian and Serafimova, Silviya and Zhang, Diyang}},
issn = {{0044-7447}},
keywords = {{Archaeology; Climate change; Conflict; History; Peace; Science communication}},
language = {{eng}},
month = {{02}},
pages = {{774--792}},
publisher = {{Springer Science and Business Media B.V.}},
series = {{Ambio}},
title = {{Climate, peace, and conflict—past and present: Bridging insights from historical sciences and contemporary research}},
url = {{http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s13280-024-02109-1}},
doi = {{10.1007/s13280-024-02109-1}},
volume = {{54}},
year = {{2025}},
}